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Romney Will Lose If He Continues To Play It Safe
Rightwing Wing Nuts Blog ^ | 10/26/12 | John Alan

Posted on 10/26/2012 4:28:18 PM PDT by not romney

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To: not romney

I hate Romney more than most...but you are wrong, he will win in a landslide. I take no happiness from this, but that is the way I see it. We’ll talk on Nov. 7th.


41 posted on 10/26/2012 5:05:28 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: johniegrad

Thanks, LOL. Now that song is stuck in my mind.


42 posted on 10/26/2012 5:06:43 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (Ignorance is bliss- I'm stoked)
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To: Longbow1969

The key is to get away from places like FR and take an objective look at hard numbers. The polls support the narrow Obama victory side of things. They are all close but the EV count still favors Obama. Can Romney pull it off? Sure, but the euphoria that pervades places like FR tend to leave you heartbroken.


43 posted on 10/26/2012 5:06:49 PM PDT by paul544
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To: Responsibility2nd

He’s a pimp himself.


44 posted on 10/26/2012 5:07:16 PM PDT by humblegunner
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To: marktwain
I'm disturbed by my own insights ~ can't be I'm the only person seeing these problems ~ but then again not all that many people have spent as much time as I have over the decades dwelling on the minutiae of statistical sampling.

Gallup and Rassmussen have 'splained some of what they are doing to mitigate these problems ~ which means they read these threads of ours where we have people looking at what's going on with polling technology.

We may well have helped solve the problem

45 posted on 10/26/2012 5:07:58 PM PDT by muawiyah (quack quack quack stomp stomp SQUAWK! oh, mommy, look what the mean man did to my Obamaduck)
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To: annieokie
Me thinks someone is trying to lure Romney into a trap.


Yep, 0bama wants to blame Bush (and Romney by proxy) again, since it seems the leader of the attack was A.Q. released from Gitmo in 2007.

46 posted on 10/26/2012 5:08:26 PM PDT by SecondAmendment (Restoring our Republic at 9.8357x10^8 FPS)
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To: not romney

Obama’s only hope is that Romney makes a blunder in going aggressive at this point.

The only folks that don’t want Romney to “play it safe”, are those in the Obama camp.

This is a great opportunity to fund down ticket conservative candidates, in close races.
This has the advantage of getting the vote out, for (R)’s up and down the ticket.


47 posted on 10/26/2012 5:12:25 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: not romney

Your concern is duly noted.

Thanks, Romney Campaign


48 posted on 10/26/2012 5:12:43 PM PDT by 98ZJ USMC
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To: Lazamataz
Dude is gonna win no matter what, at this point.

True dat. Unless video of Romney beating a child to death surfaces, he's got this thing in the bag. Even then, it depends on whether the kid is ugly.

49 posted on 10/26/2012 5:19:23 PM PDT by Sloth (If a tax break counts as "spending" then every time I don't rob a bank should be a "deposit.")
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To: JPG

We were all upset that Romney didn’t hit zero more on Libya. However, in hindsight, he played it smart. Its all unraveling right now without soundbites from him for the MSM to play ad nauseum.


50 posted on 10/26/2012 5:19:54 PM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
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To: paul544

I tend to believe Nate Silver’s polls that say Dear Leader, Obamugabe, will win...unfortunately.

The guy is rarely wrong.

The idiots who live and vote in this country just make me shake my head in disbelief. We’re headed down the same path as Venezuela and Rhodesia if we vote for that thug, but we probably will, and the parasite sheeple will never know what hit them, if they even care.

Ed


51 posted on 10/26/2012 5:20:11 PM PDT by Sir_Ed
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To: not romney

I love the way ever Anti Romney clown thinks they can tell Romney how to win.

How about you people get off the bench and win some elections before you have the arrogance to tell people how to win elections.


52 posted on 10/26/2012 5:21:31 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Sir_Ed

Nate Silver is basically allowing his personal political agenda color his analysis. He basically ignores all the polling that shows Obama in trouble.

One good thing about this election, there are certain media hyped reputations like Silvers that are going to be completely discredited. Silvers is spinning a big Obama win. Everyone knows that is not going to happen. He is so far out on a limb now no matter what happens, Silver over inflated reputation is gone.


53 posted on 10/26/2012 5:23:47 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: not romney

Hold it, hold it, folks! I perdict that not romney is going to lose!


54 posted on 10/26/2012 5:25:18 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious!)
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To: paul544
The polls support the narrow Obama victory side of things.

I tend to agree with that assessment, probably because I am a pessimist who has long ago lost faith in what passes as the American public these days.

Saying that, once upon a time we generally relied on national polls and the gold standard tended to be Gallup. Gallup has Romney up between 3-5 points almost every day now. It is hard to imagine Gallup getting it so wrong when they are usually at least reasonably close. Rasmussen also has Romney up 3 nationally for days now. That poll may not be perfect, but it seems to be picking up on something.

Then again, the state polls look kinda rough for Mitt. So at this time the real question is, are the national polls right or is it the state polls that are more accurately telling how this thing will end up. I agree with your view of things, but I suspect Obama is still sweating a bit at how close it got.

55 posted on 10/26/2012 5:27:02 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Utmost Certainty

And Intertrade had Obamacare an 90% chance to overturn in the SC.

If you have rich sugar daddies willing to waste money like Obama Intrade is easy to manipulate.

What is a wonder is supposedly “smart” people still buy their marketing nonsense about their accuracy.


56 posted on 10/26/2012 5:27:15 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Sir_Ed

The guy is rarely wrong.
*******************************************

The guy only called one election.


57 posted on 10/26/2012 5:32:09 PM PDT by kara37
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To: MNJohnnie
Everyone knows that is not going to happen

No, I think the majority of the media DO think Obama is going to win. It really seems like this time around that both sides, at least at this point, think they are going to win. If you can stomach a trip over to MSDNC you would believe Obama is headed to a smashing victory based on all the state polls that seem to support that view of things.

In general, the media and left are banking entirely on Nate Silver's "model".

58 posted on 10/26/2012 5:33:46 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: not romney

We only win by fraud.

59 posted on 10/26/2012 5:34:04 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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Comment #60 Removed by Moderator


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