The key is to get away from places like FR and take an objective look at hard numbers. The polls support the narrow Obama victory side of things. They are all close but the EV count still favors Obama. Can Romney pull it off? Sure, but the euphoria that pervades places like FR tend to leave you heartbroken.
I tend to believe Nate Silver’s polls that say Dear Leader, Obamugabe, will win...unfortunately.
The guy is rarely wrong.
The idiots who live and vote in this country just make me shake my head in disbelief. We’re headed down the same path as Venezuela and Rhodesia if we vote for that thug, but we probably will, and the parasite sheeple will never know what hit them, if they even care.
Ed
I tend to agree with that assessment, probably because I am a pessimist who has long ago lost faith in what passes as the American public these days.
Saying that, once upon a time we generally relied on national polls and the gold standard tended to be Gallup. Gallup has Romney up between 3-5 points almost every day now. It is hard to imagine Gallup getting it so wrong when they are usually at least reasonably close. Rasmussen also has Romney up 3 nationally for days now. That poll may not be perfect, but it seems to be picking up on something.
Then again, the state polls look kinda rough for Mitt. So at this time the real question is, are the national polls right or is it the state polls that are more accurately telling how this thing will end up. I agree with your view of things, but I suspect Obama is still sweating a bit at how close it got.