[Sir_Ed]

I tend to believe Nate Silver’s polls that say Dear Leader, Obamugabe, will win...unfortunately.

The guy is rarely wrong.

The idiots who live and vote in this country just make me shake my head in disbelief. We’re headed down the same path as Venezuela and Rhodesia if we vote for that thug, but we probably will, and the parasite sheeple will never know what hit them, if they even care.

Ed

[MNJohnnie]

Nate Silver is basically allowing his personal political agenda color his analysis. He basically ignores all the polling that shows Obama in trouble.

One good thing about this election, there are certain media hyped reputations like Silvers that are going to be completely discredited. Silvers is spinning a big Obama win. Everyone knows that is not going to happen. He is so far out on a limb now no matter what happens, Silver over inflated reputation is gone.

[kara37]

The guy is rarely wrong.
*******************************************

The guy only called one election.

[LongWayHome]

Silver called the 08 election with leaked internal polls from the Obama team. He did nothing special in 10.

[Utmost Certainty]

Eh, Nate Silver’s a stinky partisan turd and I wouldn’t pay him too much mind.

However, I do suspect the parasite class may indeed be too large to overcome now; this inflection point had been creeping up for awhile.

[GeronL]

I doubt FReepers think Intrade is reliable

[CaptainK]

He was correct in 2008 because the Obama people gave him their very expensive, very detailed, not released to the public, internal polls. That little nugget of information just came to light a few weeks ago. I could have been that right if they had been given to me. His 2010 predictions regarding the House race weren't as accurate without that little tool. He was off by 10 seats, while Charlie Cook and Mark Halprin got it right

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/331828/two-polls-have-chicago-terrified-josh-jordan