Free Republic 2nd Qtr 2024 Fundraising Target: $81,000 Receipts & Pledges to-date: $26,157
32%  
Woo hoo!! And we're now over 32%!! Thank you all very much!! God bless.

Keyword: sornette

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Prediction: The future of the USA stock market

    04/25/2003 9:33:44 AM PDT · by hripka · 27 replies · 356+ views
    UCLA professor ^ | April 18, 2003 | Didier Sornette
    Based on a theory of cooperative herding and imitation working both in bullish as well as in bearish regimes, we have detected the existence of a clear signature of herding in the decay of the US S&P500 index since August 2000 with high statistical significance, in the form of strong log- periodic components. Please refer to the following paper for a detailed description: D. Sornette and W.-X. Zhou, The US 2000-2002 Market Descent: How Much Longer and Deeper? Quantitative Finance 2 (6), 468-481 (2002) (e-print at http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0209065). For a general presentation of the underlying concepts, theory, empirical tests and concrete...
  • Prediction: The future of the USA stock market

    08/02/2003 11:04:34 PM PDT · by ThePythonicCow · 72 replies · 878+ views
    UCLA Department of Earth and Space Sciences ^ | July 17, 2003 | D. Sornette and W.-X. Zhou
    Based on a theory of cooperative herding and imitation working both in bullish as well as in bearish regimes, we have detected the existence of a clear signature of herding in the decay of the US S&P500 index since August 2000 with high statistical significance, in the form of strong log-periodic components.Please refer to the following paper for a detailed description: D. Sornette and W.-X. Zhou, The US 2000-2002 Market Descent: How Much Longer and Deeper? Quantitative Finance 2 (6), 468-481 (2002) (e-print at http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0209065). For a general presentation of the underlying concepts, theory, empirical tests and concrete applications, with...