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Andrew Sullivan: READ THE (WMD) REPORT
andrewsullivan.com ^ | 10/03/03 | Andrew Sullivan

Posted on 10/02/2003 9:33:18 PM PDT by Pokey78

If you think that David Kay's report on Iraqi WMDs can be adequately summarized by idiotic headlines such as: "No Illicit Arms Found in Iraq," then you need to read this report. If you believe the following "news analysis" by David Sanger in today's New York Times summarizes the findings of David Kay, then you need to read this report. Sanger's piece is, in fact, political propaganda disguised as analysis, designed to obscure and distort the evidence that you can read with your own eyes. His opening paragraph culminates in a simple, knowing, well-crafted lie:

The preliminary report delivered on Thursday by the chief arms inspector in Iraq forces the Bush administration to come face to face with this reality: that Saddam Hussein's armory appears to have been stuffed with precursors, potential weapons and bluffs, but that nothing found so far backs up administration claims that Mr. Hussein posed an imminent threat to the world.
That is not what the administration claimed. (The Times has even had to run a correction recently correcting their attempt, retroactively, to distort and misrepresent the administration's position.) The administration claimed that Saddam had used WMDs in the past, had hidden materials from the United Nations, was hiding a continued program for weapons of mass destruction, and that we should act before the threat was imminent. The argument was that it was impossible to restrain Saddam Hussein unless he were removed from power and disarmed. The war was based on the premise that Saddam had clearly violated U.N. resolutions, was in open breach of such resolutions and was continuing to conceal his programs with the intent of restarting them in earnest once sanctions were lifted. Having read the report carefully, I'd say that the administration is vindicated in every single respect of that argument. This war wasn't just moral; it wasn't just prudent; it was justified on the very terms the administration laid out. And we don't know the half of it yet.

THE MONEY QUOTES: If you don't have time, here are my highlights. First off:

We have discovered dozens of WMD-related program activities and significant amounts of equipment that Iraq concealed from the United Nations during the inspections that began in late 2002. The discovery of these deliberate concealment efforts have come about both through the admissions of Iraqi scientists and officials concerning information they deliberately withheld and through physical evidence of equipment and activities that ISG has discovered that should have been declared to the UN.
Translation: Saddam was lying to the U.N. as late as 2002. He was required by the U.N. to fully cooperate. He didn't. The war was justified on those grounds alone. Case closed. Some of the physical evidence still remains, despite what was clearly a deliberate, coordinated and thorough attempt to destroy evidence before during and after the war. Among the discoveries:
* A clandestine network of laboratories and safehouses within the Iraqi Intelligence Service that contained equipment subject to UN monitoring and suitable for continuing CBW research.

* A prison laboratory complex, possibly used in human testing of BW agents, that Iraqi officials working to prepare for UN inspections were explicitly ordered not to declare to the UN.

* Reference strains of biological organisms concealed in a scientist's home, one of which can be used to produce biological weapons.

* New research on BW-applicable agents, Brucella and Congo Crimean Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), and continuing work on ricin and aflatoxin were not declared to the UN.

* Documents and equipment, hidden in scientists' homes, that would have been useful in resuming uranium enrichment by centrifuge and electromagnetic isotope separation (EMIS).

* A line of UAVs not fully declared at an undeclared production facility and an admission that they had tested one of their declared UAVs out to a range of  500 km, 350 km beyond the permissible limit.

* Continuing covert capability to manufacture fuel propellant useful only for prohibited SCUD variant missiles, a capability that was maintained at least until the end of 2001 and that cooperating Iraqi scientists have said they were told to conceal from the UN.

* Plans and advanced design work for new long-range missiles with ranges up to at least 1000 km - well beyond the 150 km range limit imposed by the UN. Missiles of a 1000 km range would have allowed Iraq to threaten targets through out the Middle East, including Ankara, Cairo, and Abu Dhabi.

* Clandestine attempts between late-1999 and 2002 to obtain from North Korea technology related to 1,300 km range ballistic missiles --probably the No Dong -- 300 km range anti-ship cruise missiles, and other prohibited military equipment.
Would you be happy, after 9/11, if the president had allowed such capabilities to remain at large, and be reinvigorated, with French and Russian help, after sanctions were removed? I wouldn't. But the New York Times and Dominique de Villepin would have happily looked the other way rather than do anything real to enforce the very resolutions they claimed to support.

THERE'S MORE: One of the crazy premises of the "Where Are They?" crowd is that we would walk into that huge country and find large piles of Acme bombs with anthrax in them. That's not what a WMD program is about; and never was. Saddam was careful. He had to hide from the U.N. and he had to find ways, over more than a decade, to maintain a WMD program as best he could, ready to reactivate whenever the climate altered in his favor. Everything points to such a strategy and to such weapons being maintained. The bio-warfare stuff is particularly worrying:

With regard to biological warfare activities, which has been one of our two initial areas of focus, ISG teams are uncovering significant information - including research and development of BW-applicable organisms, the involvement of Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS) in possible BW activities, and deliberate concealment activities. All of this suggests Iraq after 1996 further compartmentalized its program and focused on maintaining smaller, covert capabilities that could be activated quickly to surge the production of BW agents.
Mustard gas in a matter of months. And concealment all the time:
A very large body of information has been developed through debriefings, site visits, and exploitation of captured Iraqi documents that confirms that Iraq concealed equipment and materials from UN inspectors when they returned in 2002. One noteworthy example is a collection of reference strains that ought to have been declared to the UN. Among them was a vial of live C. botulinum Okra B. from which a biological agent can be produced. This discovery - hidden in the home of a BW scientist - illustrates the point I made earlier about the difficulty of locating small stocks of material that can be used to covertly surge production of deadly weapons. The scientist who concealed the vials containing this agent  has identified a large cache of agents that he was asked, but refused, to conceal. ISG is actively searching for this second cache.
When you read this kind of information, you can see why the president has ordered more money to go to this effort. We need every cent. We have to show to the world - and to the appeasers at home - the extent of the threat that this monstrous regime potentially represented.

FOR THE FUTURE: But Kay makes a more important point at the end. He notes that our ability to examine this entire edifice in a liberated Iraq, to see where our intelligence failed and where it succeeded, is a hugely helpful task in the broader war on terror. Over to Kay:

[W]hatever we find will probably differ from pre-war intelligence. Empirical reality on the ground is, and has always been, different from intelligence judgments that must be made under serious constraints of time, distance and information. It is, however, only by understanding precisely what those differences are that the quality of future intelligence and investment decisions concerning future intelligence systems can be improved. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is such a continuing threat to global society that learning those lessons has a high imperative.
Of course it has. I've waited a long time for this report, and kept my peace until it came out and we had some empirical data to measure. What we now see may not impress those who are looking for any way to discredit this administration and this war. But it shows to my mind the real danger that Saddam posed - and would still pose today, if one president and one prime minister hadn't had the fortitude to face him down. We live in a dangerous but still safer world because of it. Now is the time for the administration to stop the internal quibbling, the silence and passivity, and go back on the offensive. Show the dangers that the opposition was happy for us to tolerate; show the threat - real and potential - that this war averted; defend the record with pride and vigor; and fund the reconstruction in ways that will make it work now not just for our sake but for the sake of those once killed in large numbers by the weapons some are so eager not to find.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Editorial; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: andrewsullivan; andrewsullivanlist; davidkay; davidkaywmd; iraq; weapons; wmd
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To: Mo1
Just when we thought we couldn't hate them anymore...
41 posted on 10/02/2003 10:36:02 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: 1Mike; 3catsanadog; ~Vor~; ~Kim4VRWC's~; A CA Guy; A Citizen Reporter; abner; Aeronaut; AFPhys; ...
Everybody needs to read and bookmark this!
42 posted on 10/02/2003 10:45:42 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Pokey78
Thanks for the thread! BTW, I just came back from another conservative site.And one of the posters was saying that according to the son of G Gordon Liddy-Tom - the story about the Kuwaiti's stopping a chem/bio weapons shipment is TRUE and that the FBI and the CIA have the items in custody.I also saw a post which said that Brit Hume made pretty much the same statement. I don't know about Hume's because I did not see "Special Report" this evening.Need somebody to confirm.
43 posted on 10/02/2003 10:48:51 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Pokey78
It's all lies. Kay is nothing but a partisan hack for the right wing and Bush to cover up the fact that they are just taking the oil to give to their rich friends at Halliburton.

They are just trying to justify the lies they put in the 2002 State of the Union address (which we all know is chisled in stone) to gut the UN and pay off big money contributers.

How's that? Can I peddle that for a job at CNN?
44 posted on 10/02/2003 10:53:48 PM PDT by Fledermaus (I DONATED! HAVE YOU? DONATE NOW OR I'LL HAVE YOU PUT BACK ON THE DO NOT CALL LIST)
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To: Jewels1091
China just found buried chemical weapons the Japenese put there during World War I, I think. If not, World War II.

45 posted on 10/02/2003 10:55:01 PM PDT by Fledermaus (I DONATED! HAVE YOU? DONATE NOW OR I'LL HAVE YOU PUT BACK ON THE DO NOT CALL LIST)
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To: piasa
FYI.
46 posted on 10/02/2003 10:55:23 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Timesink
3) They specifically time an attack on Arnold Schwarzenegger in an attempt to destroy him. The result? In a few days he will be elected governor of the largest state in America, by a much wider margin than anyone was expecting.


Just saw a post on another site from a California poster who called the L.A.Times to cancel his subscription and had to wait 15 minutes.When the clerk finally got on the phone with him,he asked her why he had to wait so long.The answer was that they had received THOUSANDSof cancellations!

47 posted on 10/02/2003 10:55:47 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: MHGinTN
The left wing hates Sullivan. I hear they are going to out him from the closet! :-)
48 posted on 10/02/2003 10:55:59 PM PDT by Fledermaus (I DONATED! HAVE YOU? DONATE NOW OR I'LL HAVE YOU PUT BACK ON THE DO NOT CALL LIST)
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To: TrappedInLiberalHell
You know, in my more bitter moments (read: all of the time), I think that most liberals would rather die in a 9/11-scale attack than admit we were right to launch the War on Terror,

Exactly why I consistently suggest they put up or shut up and move to the most vunerable targets of the terrorist in our country like NY, DC, Chicago, LA, Houston, etc. Terrorist aren't going to create much panic trying to blow up Memphis.

49 posted on 10/02/2003 10:58:33 PM PDT by Fledermaus (I DONATED! HAVE YOU? DONATE NOW OR I'LL HAVE YOU PUT BACK ON THE DO NOT CALL LIST)
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To: Lady In Blue; martin_fierro; reformed_democrat; Loyalist; =Intervention=; PianoMan; GOPJ; ...

See post 47! Los Angeles Times loses THOUSANDS of subscribers for its Schwarzenegger smear!


Schadenfreude

This is the New York Times Los Angeles Times Schadenfreude Ping List. Freepmail me to be added or dropped.


50 posted on 10/02/2003 11:27:24 PM PDT by Timesink (For a good time, visit clark2004.meetup.com. Ask for Mary!)
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To: Pokey78
marking
51 posted on 10/02/2003 11:30:17 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 ("Our Al-Mighty will whip your Al-Qaeda."---jigsaw..... Too true, and too clever, to be retired.)
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To: Pokey78
Bump for later read.
52 posted on 10/02/2003 11:41:56 PM PDT by lainde
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To: Lady In Blue
Brit didn't attest to the veracity of the story. He pretty much related the original story from the Kuwaiti paper, noting that if it the story were true, then it would prove the WMD claims were correct.

While it seems some in Kuwait have backed off yesterday's WMD story, read between the lines of this story over at MSNBC.com and note the curious references to "other items" :

Kuwaiti authorities have seized archaeological artefacts and ''other items''

53 posted on 10/02/2003 11:53:15 PM PDT by AHerald
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To: Howlin; Alamo-Girl; Cindy; Grampa Dave; Travis McGee; Squantos; Lion's Cub; All
Thank you, Howlin, I'll add this and the links to the timeline/home page as a quick reference resource for everyone.
54 posted on 10/03/2003 12:27:47 AM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge.)
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To: TrappedInLiberalHell
No, most liberals would rather WE die in another attack. They are convinced that they, as the elite, will be safe.
55 posted on 10/03/2003 12:35:21 AM PDT by OldFriend (DEMS INHABIT A PARALLEL UNIVERSE)
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To: Howlin; Timesink
Great column by Sullivan.Those who misquote the president's prewar statement as Rockefeller did today citing "immediate danger"statement to back the war,will not bend.They say imminent and immediate for political reasons and no report will satify them unless we find missiles loaded with poison.
56 posted on 10/03/2003 1:30:57 AM PDT by MEG33
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To: Pokey78; kdf1; AMERIKA; Lancey Howard; MudPuppy; SMEDLEYBUTLER; opbuzz; Snow Bunny; gitmogrunt; ...
this must be bumped!! WMD programs found!!
57 posted on 10/03/2003 2:07:56 AM PDT by RaceBannon (It is perfectly fine to kill people when you are defending yourself)
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To: Pokey78
BTTT
58 posted on 10/03/2003 3:21:09 AM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Right_in_Virginia
btt
59 posted on 10/03/2003 3:50:02 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (God Bless Our Troops!!)
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To: Howlin
bttt for later, thanks ...

60 posted on 10/03/2003 3:51:14 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Check out the Texas Chicken D 'RATS!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/keyword/Redistricting)
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