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TARGET: Tom Tancredo (Warned "never to darken the door of the White House again.")
Roll Call ^ | November 18, 2002 | Josh Kurtz

Posted on 11/18/2002 6:23:24 PM PST by Mark Felton

November 18, 2002

Target: Tom Tancredo

Some Say GOPPrimary Challenge Likely

By Josh Kurtz He represents one of the most conservative districts in the nation. He just trounced his Democratic challenger by 37 points. Yet Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-Colo.) may be one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the 2004 election cycle.

Tancredo, a controversial, outspoken voice for the Republican right who is entering his third term, has angered leading Republicans back home and in the White House.

The House Member's criticisms of President Bush's immigration policy bought him a 40-minute rebuke earlier this year from Bush adviser Karl Rove, who, in the Congressman's own words, warned him "never to darken the door of the White House again." And his decision to renounce his pledge to serve only three terms has infuriated powerful Colorado Republicans, including his political patron, former Sen. Bill Armstrong (R).

"I'll be surprised if he doesn't have a primary [in 2004]," said Floyd Ciruli, an independent Colorado pollster.

Several Republicans, including popular state Treasurer Mike Coffman, who just won a landslide re-election of his own, are considering taking on Tancredo in the '04 primary.

Other potential candidates include state Sen. Jim Dyer (R) and former Arapahoe County Commissioner Steve Ward. "It's a given" that someone will run against the 56-year-old lawmaker, Coffman said. "There are questions about his term-limit pledge. When you have someone like Senator Armstrong, who was his mentor, backing away from him - I think that resonates."

Armstrong was instrumental in getting Tancredo elected in the first place, endorsing him over four strong opponents in a competitive GOP primary to replace retiring Rep. Dan Schaefer (R) in 1998. By Tancredo's reckoning, Armstrong's blessing was worth 3 points at the polls - which just happened to be his margin of victory in the primary.

Even though he may not seek re-election in 2004 - and would consider running for Senate if Sen. Ben Nighthorse Campbell (R) retires - he has chucked the term-limit promise nevertheless.

"The term-limit pledge in and of itself is not the deciding factor if he will run again," said Tancredo spokeswoman Lara Kennedy.

Like all Members who change their minds on term limits, Tancredo has cast his decision as being in the best interests of his district and pet causes. Tancredo wants to preserve his seniority for his suburban district south of Denver and angle for better committee assignments. Plus, he does not want to lose the momentum he has built fighting the government's open immigration policies, Kennedy said. Tancredo is the founder of the House Immigration Reform Caucus.

While plenty of politicians have broken their term-limit pledges before, including Rep. Scott McInnis (R-Colo.), Tancredo's decision is more noteworthy because he once headed Colorado's term-limit organization.

"All too often you have terrific candidates who come to Washington with the best of intentions, but they get too comfortable, and when the time comes, they don't want to go home," lamented Stacie Rumenap, a spokeswoman for U.S.Term Limits.

Whether Tancredo suffers any political damage remains to be seen. So far, the handful of Members who have broken their pledges, including McInnis, have not suffered any consequences at the polls, Rumenap conceded. And U.S.Term Limits is not in the business of recruiting challengers to incumbents who have broken the pledge.

Tancredo has promised to return campaign contributions to donors who are dismayed at his decision to ignore the term-limits pledge. But Armstrong - who did not respond to several messages left at his Denver law office - called the refund offer "hollow," according to The Rocky Mountain News.

Armstrong, meanwhile, has offered some kind words about Coffman.

"Mike Coffman is someone the Republican Party and the people of Colorado will rally around,"he told the News. "There is no doubt in my mind that he will be on the short list for whatever comes along - it could be governor, it could be Senator, it could be Congress."

Coffman, in fact, began running for Congress last year - in the new 7th district, which adjoins Tancredo's. But when the final district lines were drawn, Coffman found himself in Tancredo's 6th district, just a few blocks from the 7th, and chose not to move or run.

Coffman said that while he has not given much thought to the 2004 election yet, he believes that Tancredo will be vulnerable. The three Republicans most frequently mentioned as challengers are all military veterans, while Tancredo is not, and that could make a difference in a district that values military service, political insiders said.

Coffman, a 47-year-old Marine Corps vet who served in Operation Desert Storm, said Tancredo's military deferments during the Vietnam War would hurt him as America prepares to attack Iraq, and could be linked to his decision to ignore the term-limit pledge.

"Here's a guy ordering young men off to war and he himself didn't serve," he said. "I think in this conservative district, something like that could resonate."

Certainly, Tancredo's record would contrast with Coffman's, or Dyer's, who is an Air Force veteran, or Ward's, who is a lieutenant colonel in the Marine Corps Reserves and is on active duty in Florida.

Dyer called it "highly unlikely" that he would challenge Tancredo, but said somebody else might, and predicted that the term-limit issue would sting the incumbent.

"I think a number of people that support Tom are not going to support him if he breaks the term-limit pledge,"said Dyer, who was a surrogate for Tancredo at a candidate forum this fall. "We can't say that situational ethics is bad for party A but not for party B."

Ward, a former mayor of suburban Glendale, could not be reached for comment, but is expected to return to Colorado next year. In an interview with the News after completing his one term on the Arapahoe County Commission, Ward made his opinion of politicians who stay in office too long perfectly clear.

"Any politician who can't find the bathrooms in the first week doesn't deserve to be in public office," he said.

It is unclear whether the White House would try to get involved in a primary challenge to Tancredo.

But it is fair to say that Tancredo is not one of the president's favorite people. Earlier this year, the Congressman accused Bush of pandering to Hispanic voters and trying to prop up Mexican President Vicente Fox by offering amnesty to certain undocumented immigrants. That declaration brought an angry 40-minute phone call from Rove, and Bush pointedly failed to introduce Tancredo to the crowd during a political rally in Colorado in September.

With his hard-line views on immigration, Tancredo is no stranger to controversy. In 1999, he gained publicity for reaffirming his support for gun owners' rights just days after the massacre at Columbine High School, which is six blocks from his house.

The Southern Poverty Law Center released a report last summer linking Tancredo to extremist groups, which the Congressman dismissed as "McCarthyism."

And he was embarrassed earlier this year when it was revealed that undocumented workers had been hired to do some construction work on his Littleton home.

But pollster Ciruli said Tancredo's views on immigration are in line with his constituents'.

"Nobody who's going to argue the soft side of immigration is going to beat him in the Republican primary, or even in the general," he said.

After seeing two fairly viable opponents get wiped out by Tancredo in 1998 and 2000, Democrats appear to have abandoned the 6th district - leaving Republicans there to decide whether they want him to remain in office.


TOPICS: Activism/Chapters; Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: immigrantlist
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To: APBaer
Con salsa?

Hopefully, and in the cesspool del sur he's evidently been pandering to. You know, the one the vast majority of Americans want nothing to do with.

41 posted on 11/18/2002 6:57:44 PM PST by Tancredo Fan
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To: sinkspur
Has George W. Bush raised taxes, dimwit?

You argue like a High School freshman, sinkspur.

42 posted on 11/18/2002 6:58:17 PM PST by ambrose
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To: henderson field
Coffman, the Marine Corps vet, seems to find something wrong with Tancredo because he didn't serve in the military.

Frankly, all this "thank you for your service to our country" BS is getting a little tired. Anyone who has served in the military knows that the services are replete with foul-ups and clymers (from General to Private). The fact that one has or has not served in the military offers no real gauge for potential success in the political arena.

As for Tancredo himelf, he is a tough campaigner, and he is taking-on the illegal immigration issue when no one else will; he would probably defeat Coffman, or anyone else, that takes him on -- regardless of what Rove or Bush do.

43 posted on 11/18/2002 6:58:57 PM PST by gaspar
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To: RLK
Would not you prefer someone who pursued his agenda, or much of it, in a way that was more effective?
44 posted on 11/18/2002 6:59:06 PM PST by Torie
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To: Common Tator
Republican and Democratic party are teams. If you are not on the team you are off it.

That is only the case for conservatives. Liberals like John Warner can buck the team and get wet kissed from the powers that be. Conservatives are tossed out if they fail to bow to the party elite.

45 posted on 11/18/2002 6:59:47 PM PST by SUSSA
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To: RLK
God damn the useless Republican party.

Using God's name in vain is the "old fart" response to an argument. Especially when the Republican party is in total control of the United States Government for the first time in 50 Years!

Really "useless," huh?

46 posted on 11/18/2002 6:59:56 PM PST by sinkspur
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To: Cicero
Something needs to be done about illegal immigrants. But it needs to be done in a way that won't offend Hispanics and other groups Republicans need if they are to have any future.

Something needs to be done about illegals before the Republican base becomes "offended" and looks elsewhere. The way this administration is appeasing Hispanics and other groups is offending me!

47 posted on 11/18/2002 7:00:35 PM PST by gubamyster
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To: sinkspur
Watch your language!

I'll ask you again... (although I think I'm wasting my time with you) Defend G.W. Bush's actions. What conclusions did you come up with after reading this story? Forget about Tancredo for a second. He is not the story. It might as well have been anyone with Tancredo's platform. Bush is, for some reason, dead set against preserving our borders, language and culture. (apologies to Michael Savage)Do you agree with this?

48 posted on 11/18/2002 7:01:15 PM PST by Captainpaintball
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To: Common Tator; holyscroller; Spiff; HiJinx; flamefront; Drill Alaska; healey22; lutine; ...
If he keeps screwing with the power structure the DOJ will get him an all expense paid trip to join James Traficant in making license plates. Scottie can beam them both up.

We're being overrun, and this administration isn't doing a thing about it. When the team starts acting like the opposition, it's time to 'fix' it. Does the U.S. look like some sort of kingdom to you?



49 posted on 11/18/2002 7:02:38 PM PST by Tancredo Fan
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To: Tancredo Fan
With people like you we are sure to reach that elusive 10% mark with the Hsipanic vote in 2004. I am glad Bush is in charge of winning elections and not you or some of the other posters here. Bush just proved he knows what he is doing.
50 posted on 11/18/2002 7:03:07 PM PST by ACAC
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To: Captainpaintball
Forget about Tancredo for a second. He is not the story.

Psst. Scroll waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay up on the thread. I'll wait.

51 posted on 11/18/2002 7:03:43 PM PST by AmishDude
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To: Captainpaintball
Bush is, for some reason, dead set against preserving our borders, language and culture. (apologies to Michael Savage)Do you agree with this?

I don't. Where do you get the idea Bush is "dead set" against preserving American culture?

52 posted on 11/18/2002 7:04:15 PM PST by sinkspur
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To: sinkspur
Tancredo is my kind of man. President Bush is extremely weak when it comes to protecting our borders. Quit trying to defend him (President Bush)concerning this issue.
53 posted on 11/18/2002 7:04:33 PM PST by Renatus
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To: Mark Felton
Tom Tancredo is an elected representative belonging to the Republican Party.

Karl Rove is a political hack who has no standing to close the White House door on Tancredo.

If President Bush had the gumption to tell him to "never to darken the door of the White House again." I would not have a problem with this.

And the part about W pointedly not introducing him seems awfully petty to me. I remember when John Sununu (sp?) was CoS and he took back tickets to a Kennedy Center show that he had promised to some congressman who crossed him.

How lame, unseemly, and juvenile, in both cases.
54 posted on 11/18/2002 7:04:38 PM PST by VMI70
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To: Captainpaintball
I think you mean apologies to David Duke.
55 posted on 11/18/2002 7:05:05 PM PST by ACAC
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To: Commander8
Bush is a globalist, like his old man. No borders.
56 posted on 11/18/2002 7:05:45 PM PST by ladylib
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To: Torie
Who are they, and who expelled them? Trancredo is ineffective because he is strident.

Few in power can handle the simple truth he tells about immigration. That's the real deal. Tancredo is blameless. The traitors who want this nation to be invaded by illegal aliens and profit off them are to blame. 

When I was little you used to see notices (reminders) for aliens to register each year. What along long, long way come since then. (BARF!)

57 posted on 11/18/2002 7:05:51 PM PST by dennisw
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To: gubamyster
The way this administration is appeasing Hispanics and other groups is offending me!

How is Bush "appeasing Hispanics"?

58 posted on 11/18/2002 7:06:10 PM PST by sinkspur
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To: RLK
The Republican Party doesn't want or need your God damn vote.
59 posted on 11/18/2002 7:06:28 PM PST by Ben Ficklin
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To: Mark Felton; Clemenza
btt
60 posted on 11/18/2002 7:07:29 PM PST by Cacique
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