To: PhiKapMom
Sorry, but if Zogby's numbers are based on tips of Dem fraud, why is Jeb's lead(in Zogby's poll) in FL so big?
Your theory doesn't hold water.
To: Diddle E. Squat
I said 2000 not this year for Florida -- how could it be this year when I said the Florida was called before the polls in Panhandle were closed?
To: Diddle E. Squat
It not cooking the polls by showing outright lead. The adjust up to a point. Zogby can't zero any opposing votes.
Clinton did adjusting with teacher competency exams. He surveyed the public to see what percentage they expect to fail and adjusted accordingly. it was like 5%. So the curve only alloved 5% to fail.
In an election if a republican is running away, they decrease the spread to keep up the competitive nature of the candidate. (mcbride is sliding fast. That is why bill Clinton is attempting to excite a group that votes 92% democrat. Never Forget Pinelas and Clinton!!!)
Look at the Mondale pole that used a sample of 51% democrats. That was a push poll to create the desired result.
At this point, even if the democrat candidate is loosing the race must be close so as not to drag down the rest of the party. Mcbride is dragging the rest of the candidates and they are complaing to the D party.
There was a thread here about McCall being the democrat's worst nightmare.
To: Diddle E. Squat
Jeb has far outrun his opponent in the actual vote. They can only muster up so many fraudulent votes, and it only works in relatively close elections.
Even when they fire up their machine to do this, you see them play the game of only maufacturing the number of votes they think they will need to win. To minimize the risk they keep it as close as possible.
Do you remember in the last election that it took Oregon nearly a month to report their final numbers? One of the counties in southern Oregon had a computer problem that hindered their count. Bush was ahead in Oregon at that time and that county was going to go for Bush. The city of Portland suddenly could not complete their count for a miriad of reasons including spilled coffee on ballots and other such nonsense.
I really think the county in Southern Oregon was trying to force Potland to finish before they turned in their results, but they did not win. Weeks later, Portland came up with just the right number of votes to eliminate the Bush lead and win for the Dems several other very close key races and ballot measures.
This is done all over the country - all the time - in large cities controlled by Dems, but the races have to be relatively close.
98 posted on
11/03/2002 10:10:46 AM PST by
Route66
To: Diddle E. Squat
Your theory doesn't hold water. How about Jeb and the Pubbies have gotten the Dims number in Fla??? They'll be watching the Dims like hawks, eh?
FGS
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