Hurricane Lili Now A Category 4

TWC | 10-02-02 | my favorite headache

[Tuxedo]

We get another update a 23:00 EDT. That should tell the tale. Probably will lose 5-10 mph of velocity during the overnight. Still, my guess is it will strike as a 4. It is moving too fast I think for the GOMEX temps to affect it enough. Still don't like the turn though....

This is probably the last one of the season (not counting Kyle, who never got his act together).

[Cold Heat]

DumB!

[WFTR]

Thanks for the warning. I'm going to sign off in a few minutes to get more food. I may stop by my storage unit and get my kayak. If the news shows a fat guy in a blue kayak waiting on his roof for the waters to lift him, it's probably me. I still really don't think that it will be that bad, but I'm going to try to get more tape and make an attempt at waiting it out.

WFTR
Bill

[My Favorite Headache]

You are right on the money. I went through Andrew from 12:30 am til what it felt like 10 pm the next night. There was no power for days and ice was running like 20 dollars a bag. It was crazy but I will never forget it as long as I live.

[woofie]

Its pretty clear here in Albuquerque ...how is it east of the mountains?

[Tuxedo]

That sounds great!!!! I am definitely looking forward to it! Thanks!

[Free Trapper]

I keep seeing a beautiful blue Huron Indian hunkered down behind your pond dam.HeHe.

Took me a second to figure out that you meant a heron,I need a nap. :)

[blam]

You do know Bo don't you. (same around here)

[KC Burke]

LOL...I'm in tornado ally in Kansas City.....Its not going to get tttooooooclose to me.

[spunkets]

I have IE ver 5.00.2... and I can't get that radar to run at all. Must need some upgrade. Sorry

[Conservababe]

You are correct in your assumption. There were cases after Andrew where looters were shot/killed by those guarding their homes, and I do not recall anyone charged.

[kinghorse]

It like waiting for your wife to have her baby. That's the only other thing that has made me as apprehensive and nervous. Alicia was pretty mean near downtown Houston and the eye and everything about it was pretty unforgettable. Going up on the roof at 10:00 in the evening to look at the stars while waiting for the eye to pass was weird. The storm part was incredibly intense, black maelstrom and fiery lightning everywhere.

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

Still, my guess is it will strike as a 4.

I agree with 4 - NHC says 145, at least in their 5 PM ET package. I think 140 is more like it.

[KC Burke]

God be with you.

[blam]

"I keep seeing a beautiful blue Huron Indian hunkered down behind your pond dam.HeHe."

Sorry my mistake. No blue Indians around here. lol

[kinghorse]

Heck I would even be scared in Pensacola. That Unisys map makes it look like it's about to do a 90 to the east. Probably just the angle but I dunno.

[newsperson999]

Yikes looks like its moving north! even slighly east of due north the past 1/2 hour......I pray this is a just a jog otherwisw NO is in deep trouble. but it also looks like the COD is shrinking some

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

This is probably the last one of the season (not counting Kyle, who never got his act together).

Kyle is an enigma. Should have died twice already, but keeps hanging in there.

Let me tell you, if it survives the next round of upper-level shear that is going to be thrown at it from VT +24 till VT +72 hrs forecast time (5 PM ET basis), then this system could be a problem.

It has continually drifted SW to an extent where is has migrated away from the westerlies and has been meandering ever so slowly but steadily toward the manna of tropical cyclones - the Gulf Stream.

Ironically, the same HP center that is steering Lili is beginning to offer steering control for Kyle, and will slip northward of Kyle. Beyond that ridge, is "open" air - little shear.

[Black Agnes]

*cackle*. My dad's pond (stocked) is visited by one of those just after he feeds the fish. Darned thing waits in a nearby stand of trees till dad gets done, then swoops down and scoops up all the fishies as they eat. It's like McDonalds drive by for big blue birds. Course my father curses and shakes his fist at the bird and my mother would probably hurt my dad if he actually ever *did* anything to the bird. *cackle*. Big pretty blue bird, taller than me but spindly-gorgeous.

[CedarDave]

Down south in Hobbs. Very warm, humid, small thunderstorm forming further south by Jal.