Posted on 08/18/2002 4:55:44 AM PDT by snopercod
Bonds and the Budget
AN OVERVIEW OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S BORROWING PROPOSALS
The 2002-03 Governor's Budget reflects 11 separate borrowing proposals, including one that is already on the March 2002 Ballot (Proposition 40, Clean Water Bonds). As shown in Table 1, eight of these borrowing proposals are intended to provide resources for the budget in 2002-03, while the other four address ongoing infrastructure or energy crisis issues. The total amount of the borrowing proposals is approximately $58 billion, although not all of this amount would be borrowed during 2002-03.
For each of the borrowing proposals, the table shows three figures. First, the table identifies the nominal amount of the borrowing that is proposed by the administration. Second, the annual cost of paying for the borrowing is identified. These amounts reflect the yearly cost associated with paying off the principal and interest on a bond. Because bonds are typically sold over time, this annual cost figure represents the approximate payment, including interest, once all of the bonds are sold. In the case of the short-term loans, the figure represents the expected cost of the repayment including interest. Most of these loans are to be repaid in 2003-04, although the repayment date for some was not specified. Finally, the table identifies the total cost of the borrowing over time, including interest expenses. Thus, in the case of the K-12/Higher Education Bonds, the Administration proposes a total authorization of $30 billion over three election cycles. These bonds will require an annual payment of about $2.4 billion once all of the bonds have been sold, and the state will pay out a total of $53 billion over the life of the bonds.
In the aggregate, the $58 Billion worth of borrowing reflected in the budget will result in total costs of $108 billion over the 30-year life of the borrowings. If all of the transactions are in fact concluded, the state could face much higher costs for debt service, peaking at about $5 billion (all funds) annually in 2006-07. In every year after the budget year, these additional costs are significant and make the state's long-term structural budget deficit worse. The Legislative Analyst's most recent estimates indicate that the General Fund's structural budget deficit is about $4 billion for the 2003-04 fiscal year. These borrowings could add almost $2 billion in General Fund costs to that 2003-04 deficit.
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Amount | Annual Cost1 | Total Cost | |
Bonds: | |||
K-12/Higher Ed GO Bonds | $30 Billion | $2.4 Billion | $53 Billion |
Proposition 40 Clean Water GO Bonds | $2.6 Billion | $200 Million | $4.6 Billion |
Housing GO Bonds | $2 Billion | $160 Million | $3.2 Billion |
Economic Stimulus lease-revenue bonds | $678 Million | $68 Million | $1.2 Billion |
UC & Other Projects Lease-Revenue Bonds | $371 Million | $37 Million | $571 Million |
Tobacco Settlement revenue bonds | $2.4 Billion | $192 Million | $4.2 Billion |
Electrical Energy Revenue Bonds | $14 Billion | $1.1 Billion | $30 Billion |
Revenue Anticipation Notes | $2.5 Billion | $100 Million | $100 Million |
Other Borrowing: | |||
PERS Loan | $1.029 Billion | $231 Million | $7 Billion |
STRS Loan | $950 | $114 Million | $3.4 Billion |
TCRP Loan | $672 Million | $40 Million | $712 Million |
Other Special Fund loans | $579 Million | $35 Million | $614 Million |
$58 Billion | NMF | $108 Billion |
1Represents initial annual cost following completion of bond sales.
My wife is a Professor in the State University system.
1. The bottom line is that no matter how much one dislikes the union one must pay union dues.
2. She has to participate in the PERS system, which is actually a pretty good system.
3. She does not willingly "lie down with dogs." In fact she does a lot to support the conservative cause. Some of her classes cover public policy as it relates to welfare & children. She uses materials from the CATO Institute to show students the truth of these issues.
To really know what is going on, one would have to look at the form of the borrowing, which should be available to PERS employees (one would think?)
I couldn't resist. How about assuming 30 years, compounded monthly. Or conversly, assume 4% interest rate compounded monthly, and solve for the number of periods.
Try annually if monthly doesn't work.
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