Posted on 11/24/2025 11:02:06 AM PST by SeekAndFind
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said Friday he expects the central bank can lower its key interest rate from here as labor market weakness poses a bigger economic threat than higher inflation.
With divisions in the central bank running high over the future of rates, Williams took the side of the doves who still see policy as a bit restrictive when it comes to economic growth.
“I view monetary policy as being modestly restrictive, although somewhat less so than before our recent actions,” he said in remarks for a speech in Santiago, Chile. “Therefore, I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral, thereby maintaining the balance between the achievement of our two goals.”
Williams’ comments helped move financial markets in several ways.
Stock market futures rose further into positive territory while Treasury yields were sharply lower.
At the same time, fed funds futures pricing for the next Fed move also tilted. Traders now see a better than 72% probability of another quarter percentage point reduction at the Dec. 9-10 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, and just a 28% chance of no cut, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch gauge. That’s a dramatic flip from where expectations were Thursday at the same time.
Williams’ comments are significant in that he is considered part of a leadership troika that also includes Chair Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson. Powell has not spoken publicly since the late October FOMC meeting, during which the committee approved a quarter-point, or 25 basis point, reduction.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
Too late the Fed is all out of tools...
Because overpriced houses aren’t selling like hotcakes old folks should see incomes under $4,000/year decreased?
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