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Nolte: Early Vote Shows Enthusiasm Gap for Democrats in Must-Win PA
Breitbart ^ | 11/04/2024 | John Nolte

Posted on 11/04/2024 5:02:13 PM PST by ChicagoConservative27

We are a night away from Election Day and the early vote totals show Pennsylvania Democrats are nowhere near as enthused as they were in 2020. Republican enthusiasm to vote early is, however, matching 2020 levels.

According to the latest numbers dropped by the state of Pennsylvania, 997,450 Democrats have voted early compared to 578,546 Republicans. That gives Democrats a vote lead of 409,904.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: earlyvote; enthusiasm; gap; pa
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Tomorrow will tell all
1 posted on 11/04/2024 5:02:13 PM PST by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

#NEW FINAL BATTLEGROUND polls Atlas Intel. Most accurate pollster in 2020 hands down.

🔴 AZ: Trump+5.1
🔴 NV: Trump+3.1
🔴 NC: Trump+2.1
🔴 GA: Trump+1.6
🔴 MI: Trump+1.5
🔴 PA: Trump+1
🔴 WI: Trump+0.9
🔵 MN: Harris+2
🔵 VA: Harris+5.4


2 posted on 11/04/2024 5:07:10 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

3 posted on 11/04/2024 5:08:03 PM PST by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

don’t count our chickens. They have been dropping tons of ballots late the last few elections. Creates chaos.


4 posted on 11/04/2024 5:08:52 PM PST by llevrok (Say NO to a fourth Obama term!)
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To: traderrob6

I pray that those numbers are correct.


5 posted on 11/04/2024 5:08:56 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Parley Baer

I pray those numbers are on the small side, but I’ll be happy as long as Trump hits 270+!


6 posted on 11/04/2024 5:10:26 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Me thinks the people who voted RAT in 2020 are having buyer’s remorse.


7 posted on 11/04/2024 5:10:29 PM PST by EvilCapitalist (Pets are no substitute for children)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

It couldn’t be that Democrat fraidy-cats voted by mail in large numbers in 2020 because of COVID, but with no such plandemic around in 2024 they may actually show up at the polls on election day in greater numbers than 2020?

One of the huge ***assumptions*** about the Republicans doing so well in early voting this year in places like PA (where we’re only down several hundred thousand, but not as much as before!!!!), is that election-day Republican votes are definitely NOT being “cannibalized” by early voting, but that Democrat election-day votes definitely ARE.

That’s wonderful — if true. Tomorrow we find out.


8 posted on 11/04/2024 5:14:29 PM PST by PermaRag (Joo Biden is not my President)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

WTH do democrats have to be “enthusiastic” about?

another sock puppet for POTUS and what seems more and more to be a real nutjob for her VEEP?

and continuation or exacerbation of the destructive policies of the last 4 years?

D’s will either stay home or vote for President Trump, Trump if only to restore the much better economy we enjoyed during his administration


9 posted on 11/04/2024 5:15:53 PM PST by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Hearing that Dem enthusiasm about the historic Kamala Harris is dwindling, a Dem campaigner was heard to comment:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oK3K7zgge3E


10 posted on 11/04/2024 5:18:00 PM PST by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: llevrok

The ballots they dropped were mail in ballots due to Covid.

They do not exist in 2024.

In fairness I will acknowledge there may be many empty Biden ballots still floating around...

Lol.


11 posted on 11/04/2024 5:19:19 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The printing presses are not working as easily.


12 posted on 11/04/2024 5:19:45 PM PST by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: traderrob6

Similar numbers that he had in 2020. It isn’t the votes that count, it is who is counting and if they cheat enough to steal it.


13 posted on 11/04/2024 5:20:39 PM PST by CodeToad (Rule #1: The elites want you dead.)
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To: traderrob6
Here are my poll model probabilities of Trump winning in each of these states.

-PJ

14 posted on 11/04/2024 5:29:01 PM PST by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: Political Junkie Too

That’s a 91% chance of Trump winning at least one of the rust belt states. I’ll take that bet.


15 posted on 11/04/2024 5:33:38 PM PST by CraigEsq (,)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

There is an assumption that mail in ballot processing stats show voter enthusiasm. WIth only 2 presidential cycles to determine that in PA, i don’t think this analysis has any foundation in reality. I’m more interesting in the number of ballots being processed with bogus voters. at least the data seems to suggest that there are validated ballots that do not have valid voter ids. many are foreign registrations. The requirements are a valid drivers license. I’m thinking people can do a two step fraud. Get a drivers license, then use it to vote (motor voter) WIthout valid voter registration data it is hard to determine where these validated ballots are coming from.


16 posted on 11/04/2024 5:39:35 PM PST by kvanbrunt2
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To: CraigEsq
The probabilistic weighted average of the entire curve is 284.18 Electoral College votes. That's the point that represents the entire curve when compared to other curves.

The deterministic result is Trump 297 - Harris 241.

Adjusting for a 1% poll bias against Trump, the result would be Trump 312 - Harris 226.

-PJ

17 posted on 11/04/2024 5:40:59 PM PST by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: CodeToad

The old Biden ballots are out there.

He could get a million votes—if they are that stupid.


18 posted on 11/04/2024 5:43:05 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: All

If this early voting euphoria turns out tomorrow to be a lot of smoke when ALL the votes start being counted, it seems to me like the Little River Band summed it up nicely in 1977 (”Help Is On Its Way”) when they sang:

“Are you always in confusion
Surrounded by illusion
Sort it out
You’ll make out
[Republicans] Seem to make a good beginning
Someone else ends up winning
Don’t seem fair”

Let us fervently hope that the L.R.B. were just musicians and not political prognosticators who were 47 years ahead of their time, LOL.


19 posted on 11/04/2024 5:43:59 PM PST by PermaRag (Joo Biden is not my President)
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To: CraigEsq
Oh, and I forgot to add that the Monte Carlo probability of Trump winning is 67.2%.

-PJ

20 posted on 11/04/2024 5:46:46 PM PST by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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