Hurricane Storm Rafael

NOAA/NHC ^ | 04 November 2024 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Rafael formed south of Jamaica in the Caribbean Sea. The forecast anticipates strengthening into a hurricane south of Western Cuba, before advancing northwest into the Gulf of Mexico later this week. Given significant uncertainties in the long-range forecast track and intensity, it is too soon to determine what, if any, impacts could occur.

Watches and warnings have been issued for the Lower and Middle FL Keys, Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and Western Cuba.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

NHC Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan

News:

NOLA.com

FL Keys News

WLOX Gulfport/Biloxi/Pascagoula MS News

KLFY Acadiana LA News

FOX10 Mobile AL News

Panama City mypanhandle.com

[NautiNurse]

With eyes focused on the election...Heads up Gulf of Mexico and Key West dwellers. Very uncertain forecast track and intensity for Rafael.

[nutmeg]

OMG… enough storms already! 😣

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Rafael...

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys
from Key West to west of the Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas.

400 PM EST Update
-------------------------------
About 175 S of Kingston Jamaica
About 395 SE of Grand Cayman
Max Sustained Winds...45 MPH
Movement...N at 9 MPH
Minimum Pressure...997 MB

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[fwdude]

Heading for Texas? Or too soon?

[trillabodilla]

Seriously 😫

[Churchillspirit]

18th. storm and still three weeks to go.

[NautiNurse]

My tree service guy is due here momentarily to give estimate for removing uprooted and otherwise damaged and felled trees from Milton. He’s been busier than a one-armed wallpaper hanger.

[FamiliarFace]

How are you doing after Helene and Milton? My family in Tampa/St. Pete/ central Florida were without power for about a week for some, no water for others for a week. Everything’s fine now but now one has major health issues to contend with. They don’t need any more trouble.

[SE Mom]

No. Just no🤦‍♀️

[griswold3]

Tonga’s volcanic eruption could cause unusual weather for the rest of the decade, new study shows
Published: May 29, 2024 9:03pm EDT

[caww]

Yep....thanks for putting this up - have been watching it over the past week or so.

[Texas resident]

We got hit by a hurricane (Beryl) in July. We are still waiting for a roofer to fix the leaks and a fence company to replace a 65 foot run of fence. I have it standing up with T posts and zip ties. I think we will get a new fence next week.

[alancarp]

New York Times, Sept 4th: "The Hurricane Season Was Supposed to Be Busy. What Happened?"

[heavy metal]

hurricane helene wrecked the big bend area of florida and portions of north carolina and then hurricane milton wrecked portions of south florida... we’re still cleaning up here in suwannee county florida... it’s been a busy hurricane season for numerous people...

[nutmeg]

I can only imagine! Life is good for tree service and debris / junk removal guys in your part of Florida these days. Sadly for the victims of the storms, like you.

Hope all is well with you and yours otherwise. Been thinking about you very often, FRiend. 🤗

[nutmeg]

Yikes… just what we need. More “unusual” weather… 😑

[cgbg]

The tobacco crops in western Cuba are going to get hammered.

(I am well supplied though. :-) )

[alancarp]

This much is so. The Gulf coast has been strafed badly.

[nutmeg]

😁

[NautiNurse]

Hanging in there. Bursts of activity one week, then slow progress the next. Electrical wiring, hot water heater, pool pump and car replaced quickly. Still running two dehumidifiers awaiting cabinet tearout in multiple rooms.

Have honed my chainsaw and oscillating tool skills. Clearing blackwater from pool after replacing pump is a slow and tedious process. Water table is too high to backwash appreciable amounts of water at a time.

Tree removal estimate is nearing $10,000. Ouch.