Trump outperforming Harris with swing-state voters — including the early birds

New York Post ^ | Oct. 15, 2024 | A.G. Gancarski

[MinorityRepublican]

Fresh national polling shows swing-state voters are more likely to support Donald Trump than the overall population, offering some clarity on whether he can overcome Kamala Harris in three weeks.

The Harvard-Harris survey conducted between Oct. 11 and 13 finds that while the vice president leads by a single point overall with the 2,596 likely voters polled, it’s a different matter with the 898 battleground voters in the seven states that will almost certainly decide the election.

In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which together have a trove of 93 electoral votes, the former president is up 48% to 46%, with 6% undecided or leaning toward a third-party candidate.

Trump is stronger with independent voters, leading 44% to 40% among the swing cohort in swing states. Voters who have made up their minds already also back Trump, 52% to 47%, leaving Harris to rely on voters “still weighing their choices.”

Among those wafflers, she’s up 41% to 28%, with 31% unsure.

Fresh national polling shows swing-state voters are more likely to support Donald Trump than the overall population, offering some clarity on whether he can overcome Kamala Harris in three weeks.

The Harvard-Harris survey conducted between Oct. 11 and 13 finds that while the vice president leads by a single point overall with the 2,596 likely voters polled, it’s a different matter with the 898 battleground voters in the seven states that will almost certainly decide the election.

In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which together have a trove of 93 electoral votes, the former president is up 48% to 46%, with 6% undecided or leaning toward a third-party candidate.

[Wally_Kalbacken]

Yowsah, yowsah, yowsah!

[11th_VA]

It’s starting to get interesting

[11th_VA]

See the interesting PA related post I just put up

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4271515/posts

[MinorityRepublican]

It wouldn’t surprise me. Hogan is a popular Governor. Trump knows that Hogan has to talk trash about him in MD in order to get elected. I think Hogan will lose but it may be a close call. Maybe 48%.

[Nervous Tick]

>> Trump is stronger with independent voters, leading 44% to 40% among the swing cohort in swing states.

Well, how about that, after hearing ad nauseum that “independents are breaking for Hairless/Balz”.

I don’t really believe in “independent voters” anyway. I don’t view them as stalwarts of principle (like they prefer us to believe), but rather as rudderless pussies with their fingers in the wind. But maybe the actual truth has over time seeped into the thick skulls that protect their delicate and minimal cognitive abilities and mostly unanchored principles.

[lee martell]

I believe the Ted Cruz, Collin Allred debate was one day ago I have heard nothing about how it went. Not sure if that’s a good or bad sign. Did anyone here watch it?

[KC_Conspirator]

I wanna boogie with you

[nathanbedford]

Ted Cruz performed brilliantly last night in his debate for the Texas Senate seat. He was in command of the facts and in command of the debate itself. He exposed his opponent,Colin Allred to be an extreme leftist wrong on all the issues that current surveys show are of primary concern to voters: illegal immigration and inflation.

A rather bizarre post debate analysis was broadcast on the local television station involving newspaper leftists who were hard-pressed to find fault with Cruz' performance on substance so they rather pathetically resorted to criticizing his tone of voice. That they declared was off putting.

They accused Cruz of debating solely to shore up his base without any attempt to win moderates, independents or undecided voters. He certainly succeeded in animating conservative Republicans. Any truly undecided voter who reacts to substance must invariably vote for Cruz.

Again and again Cruz marshaled facts demonstrating Allred's extreme leftist voting history especially on immigration. Allred's response amounted to bland denials without resort to actual facts or to obvious distortions.

If the debate has any effect, Cruz is well on his way to victory.

A final thought concerning the debate, Allred was running behind in the polls so his job in the debate was to reverse the momentum which would require a stellar performance by him or some fatal gaffe by Cruz. Neither occurred.

[StAnDeliver]

She has been told she cannot win, wearing that on her face tonight — ‘why are you making me do this interview when i could be home in Kalifornia??’

This is all about her party and money sticking out of their hole, trying to save downballot at this point. Gonna be a busy two years for TrumpII and his Trifecta.

[Red6]

I hope you’re right.

After the 2020 elections and what happened there, I have become more than a little cynical.

[Gene Eric]

yeah, Cruz appeared to do well

[HIDEK6]

… with 6% undecided …

Hardly.

[jdt1138]

Man I hate being lied to by the MSM, Big Tech, and communists in general but this is what we are getting with team Obama 4.0:
Harris is half Brahmin high caste Indian, one-quarter Irish, and one-quarter mixed race Jamaican (her father claims is Indian). Her father recorded "Caucasian" on her birth certificate. She was raised in upscale Berkeley and Montréal, Canada, by her non-American Marxist academia parents.

[CFW]

If there is any election in the history of this nation that has very few “undecided” voters, it is this one. There may be a few voters polled who say they are undecided, but it is more likely they just don’t want to say who they are voting for.

Also, which is more likely? Voters saying they are Democrat, while secretly planning to vote for Trump due to their pocket book or the border issues, or voters saying they are voting for Trump but who actually vote for Harris instead? And there are those who like to just play with the pollsters by giving fake information to every question.

I suspect there are more “shy” Trump voters.

[GrandJediMasterYoda]

He's doing good but take the advice of Mark Levin and campaign out there like we are 20 points behind, get your friends, relatives, neighbors out to the polls early to vote so you have time to campaign more.

We HAVE to do this like our lives depend upon it because it DOES. We only get one chance. Just because Trump is ahead does NOT mean he will win. He is only up by a tiny fraction and you can bet your life these domestic enemies have every kind of election fraud lined up, we have to get enough votes to overcome that.

[Adder]

minimal cognitive abilities and mostly unanchored principles.

Totally harsh and uncalled for.
I am Independent because most Republicans are way too leftist and spineless for me. And I would never pull a lever for a Dumblecrat, even those who are running “unopposed”.

Thank you very much.

[vespa300]

This is looking like a Trump LANDSLIDE!

[Sirius Lee]

This is looking like a Trump LANDSLIDE!

Don't get cocky! But do keep praying, and vote early and often.

[personalaccts]

Mitch isn’t investing in Texas he sucks