Posted on 09/18/2024 12:43:20 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by only a single point in the battleground state of Wisconsin.
FabrizioWard surveyed 600 likely voters and found a 49 to 48 percent squeaker in Harris’s favor. The poll was taken entirely after the September 10 debate, between September 11 and 14, 2024, and lines up with other polls in Dairy State that show an insanely tight race.
With independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on the ballot, Harris leads by three points, 48 to 45 percent. Kennedy is still appealing to be removed from the ballot after suspending his campaign and endorsing Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
.....do more of whatever it is you’re doing.....
That’s correct. If it’s a tie Trump is up because he’s always underpolled.
They are doing anything and everything to stop President Trump. Billary hardly campaigned there.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4263689/posts
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4264424/posts
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4263972/posts
How can people not know RFK Jr. isn’t running? SMH.
How heavy did they oversample Dems?
any tie is a blue state is a win for the Dems. They have to steal less votes to install Kamala.
just remember the Biden algorithm runs at 3 am.
Whatever Debbie Downer.
yup thats me. Not proud of it, just living in the reality of the way things are
Wi is IMHO the state that dems would likely do the best in of the 3 Rust Belt States of PA, MI and WI.
If Dems lose WI, they almost certainly will lose MI and PA.. and I still believe, just like in 16, that MN is reasonable stretch to get. This honestly should not be the case, given their governor is on the ticket, and it is by far the most consistent D state in the union presidentially.. but I really do think Kamala/Walz are not nearly as solid there as the polling suggests. 2016 MN was only a 1.5 point win for Hillary.
I would still say odds are MN stays D, but she’s not remotely where she needs to be even there to say this is a lock. Trump will almost certainly close strong and Kamala’s well below where she needs to be on historical polling averages to even win the national popular vote, let alone these swing states.
The pure reality is and the Dems won’t ever admit this publicly but they know it... Dems have to HOLD all 3 of PA/MI and WI to have any path to victory... if they lose ANY of them its over... I fully expect them to lose all 3... but all Trump needs in 1 to fall and he’s almost guaranteed the White House.. If PA goes Trump its absolutely over.
Trump is almost certainly taking AZ, NV, NC, and GA which means he just needs 1 more state, any state, to win. Or just take the NB congressional district and its a 269/269 tie and it goes to the house an Trump wins.
Dems absolutely have ZERO path without holding all 3 rust belt states, and I honestly don’t see that happening... Even if she should happen to hold all three, Trump could still be the victor by taking that NB congressional district.. or another state somewhere.
Personally I think you are going to continue to see the momentum swing Trump, though they will do their best to cover it up... right now they are still push polling a lot of crap trying to make this race look more competitive than it really is.
I don’t think Kamala will win any of the Rust Belt other than MN... but reality is if she loses any of them, the race is basically Trumps IMHO.
Should Trump manage to swing VA or somewhere else his way, the PA/OH and WI won’t even matter.
Good points!
FWIW: in the movie “Iron Lady” where Meryl Streep plays Maggie Thatcher, Streep says the line “what can be, unburdened by what has been”. So now we know where it came from.
No, Michigan is where they would do best. The cheating in Michigan will be total and the Govenor and the SOS will actively make sure it happens. If they can’t take Michigan then they lost in a landslide.
“If it’s a tie Trump is up because he’s always underpolled.”
Yes indeed.
This bodes well for Trump, in many other states.
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