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Legendary strategist James Carville on why Trump’s poll numbers are lulling Dems into a false sense of security
New York Post ^ | Aug. 25, 2024, 9:01 a.m. ET | Isabel Keane and Ryan King

Posted on 08/25/2024 11:53:08 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

Legendary Democratic strategist James Carville cautioned Democrats against falling into a false sense of security as polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading the race against former President Donald Trump.

Echoing many of the private concerns of Harris’ allies who feel the polls are a bit more “rosy” than the reality, Carville stressed on “Real Time With Bill Maher” that she will have to work harder to win the Electoral College.

“I challenge Democrats with some caution here. First of all, most want to say we have to win by three in the popular vote to win the Electoral College. So when you see a poll that says we two up. Well, that’s actually, you’re one down if the poll is correct,” Carville said.

“The other thing is Trump traditionally, when he’s on the ballot, chronically under-polls,” Carville added.

Harris is currently polling ahead of Trump nationally by less than two points, according to a Real Clear Politics Average, however, the former president is leading in several battleground swing states. The polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has Harris leading by 3.6 percentage points.

Traditionally, with Trump on the ballot… Democrats say, ‘Oh James, you’re a Debbie Downer.’ I’m not. I’m just telling you, you got to win by three,” the strategist added.

In late August 2020, national polls predicted that President Biden was up by 9 points over Trump — but he won by just 4.4 percentage points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton was up by 6.5 points in polls. She famously won the popular vote by 2 points — but lost the Electoral College.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; Politics/Elections
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"JD Vance is a serious political figure who genuinely cares about average people — the perfect pick for Trump and America"

Says it all.

1 posted on 08/25/2024 11:53:08 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading the race

No sensible person believe that.

If the Democrats win in November, it will be because of the Steal, not because most people prefer Harris.

2 posted on 08/25/2024 11:56:09 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (I think women should get out of women's sports before they get hurt.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Ol’ Serpenthead


3 posted on 08/25/2024 11:56:28 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
"JD Vance is a serious political figure who genuinely cares about average people — the perfect pick for Trump and America"

Where was that in the article?

4 posted on 08/25/2024 11:59:05 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Last sentence.


5 posted on 08/25/2024 11:59:28 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Looks like I cross-posted from a different article. Mistake. I apologize.


6 posted on 08/25/2024 12:01:11 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I was beginning to doubt my reading comprehension, LOL!


7 posted on 08/25/2024 12:03:18 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
She famously won the popular vote by 2 points…

Hillary had no problem getting Blue states to cheat for her. Good reason to NOT have a popularly elected President.

8 posted on 08/25/2024 12:06:26 PM PDT by Empire_of_Liberty
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; All

Absolutely NO ONE ‘voted’ for Heels Up Harris when she ran for President. What’s with all this re-branding and ‘gravitas’ she suddenly has after 3.5 years of screwing things up for America?

Nobody believes the cr@p the Socialist Democrats are trying to pull by installing her. Not even Carville!

Listen, I think Brandon is lower than whale poop, but he was a PUPPET and was run out of town on a rail when no longer useful. If the Socialist Democrats ate Brandon for lunch, they’ll do it to anyone that gets in the way.

How does the average Socialist Democrat VOTER NOT see that?

Yeah, yeah. They’re brainwashed cultists - how about a swing voter? Or a moderate Socialist Democrat? WHO IS NOT SEEING WHAT IS GOING ON IN AMERICA POLITICS THESE DAYS? Aarrgh!


9 posted on 08/25/2024 12:12:33 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Trump’s poll numbers are lulling Dems into a false sense of security.

The rat is always offered free cheese.


10 posted on 08/25/2024 12:15:33 PM PDT by Vaduz
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I am just SICK of every single time I click on a video on the internet... Kamala is there!!!

It is annoying as hell!


11 posted on 08/25/2024 12:29:16 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ClearCase_guy

Could anyone please tell me why anyone keeps asking James Carville for his opinion?

He’s an embarrassment to thoughtful people.

I guess that means Dems are still in the mix for him.


12 posted on 08/25/2024 12:34:06 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Download and switch to the Brave browser or download the Ad-Block Plus plug in for your current browser.


13 posted on 08/25/2024 12:34:26 PM PDT by mowowie
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To: mowowie

oh I know! I was just complaining because Harris must be spending 100’s of millions on national ads! Where are Trumps ads?


14 posted on 08/25/2024 12:36:00 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I didn’t know Trump was trailing.


15 posted on 08/25/2024 12:36:30 PM PDT by murron
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To: murron
I didn’t know Trump was trailing.

He's not. Democrats are practicing wish-fulfillment with their polls.

16 posted on 08/25/2024 12:38:07 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Am I the only person in the United States who refuses to participate in ANY political poll?

Yes, I have an opinion. No, I'm unwilling to express my opinion to any John, Dick, or Harriet who just happens on my phone number. Even my voice mail says to such people, "Please add this number to your do-not-call list."

My registration is as an "Independent." Up until now, I always vote the person, not the affiliation. Given the wide amount of one-sided partisan lawfare, I'm taking notice of the letter after the name; a "D" is a severe downcheck.

Why would I allow my name to be put on a hater's list?

17 posted on 08/25/2024 12:57:33 PM PDT by asinclair (It's too bad there will never be a RICO indictment of the DNC.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Legendary in his own mind. Legendary loud mouth and all round obnoxious jerk is all.


18 posted on 08/25/2024 1:02:39 PM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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To: asinclair

I don’t participate in them, and have the call-blocker log to prove it.

It’s why Trump “outperforms” the polls.

Only Democrats have the time to respond to them.


19 posted on 08/25/2024 1:02:57 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I am just SICK of every single time I click on a video on the internet... Kamala is there!!!

It is annoying as hell!

******************

She’s an annoying person that will flameout in November, just like she did in her unsuccessful run for President in 2020. The media campaign for Harris is to keep the election close, without it she would be losing badly.

Harris is the worst candidate that Trump has faced in his 3 Presidential Elections.


20 posted on 08/25/2024 1:10:19 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel.)
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