Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trafalgar Poll: Trump Leads Arizona (+1), Nevada (+3), Pennsylvania (+4 )
NewsMax ^ | 8.11.2024 | James Morley

Posted on 08/11/2024 5:38:32 PM PDT by libh8er

A new survey of likely voters from Trafalgar Group has former President Donald Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in four key swing states.

The poll released Friday shows Trump leading Harris by 2 percentage points in Pennsylvania 46% to 44%, 1 point in Arizona 48% to 47%, 3 points in Nevada at 48% to 45%, and 4 points in North Carolina 49% to 45%.

The polls come as voters have adjusted to the reality of Harris taking over the top of the Democratic ticket from President Joe Biden, who announced in July that he was no longer seeking reelection. This week, Harris chose Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.

While Trump has consistently polled well in North Carolina and Nevada this election cycle, Pennsylvania and Arizona have fluctuated greatly. With the electoral map shifting daily, Pennsylvania might be the key to victory for either candidate with Trump winning the state in 2016 and Biden taking it in 2020.

Last week, CNN's Harry Enten said that even if Harris were to lose Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, she could still gain the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the election by winning Pennsylvania.

The Trafalgar Group poll was taken Aug. 6-8 among 1,000 likely voters in Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. The poll did not cite a sampling error.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Nevada; US: North Carolina; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: kamala; trump

Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you.


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-76 next last

1 posted on 08/11/2024 5:38:32 PM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: libh8er

PA is more Republican than AZ? NV more than AZ?


2 posted on 08/11/2024 5:39:56 PM PDT by nwrep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Numbers are fluid right now. People haven’t made up their minds about Malaka.


3 posted on 08/11/2024 5:41:03 PM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Is Trafalgar reliable? Serious question.


4 posted on 08/11/2024 5:44:08 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Who answers any unknown phone calls? C’mon, man!


5 posted on 08/11/2024 5:44:43 PM PDT by conductor john (from jersey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Must be all of those Harris ads that we’re being bombarded with, particularly during the Olympics. People don’t like advertisements interrupting their show, especially the same ones, over and over, saying how great Harris is.

I think they’re oversaturating.


6 posted on 08/11/2024 5:45:52 PM PDT by MikeyB806
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MikeyB806

The Harris adds are endless, as are articles. I’ve been hoping it’s too much, but I fear they are creating this fantasy version of Harris.
Trump has got to deflate that balloon.


7 posted on 08/11/2024 5:48:31 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

I’m beginning to think we are too stupid to survive.


8 posted on 08/11/2024 5:49:11 PM PDT by lizma2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

The luster of Kackling Kamala is wearing off. I expect this trend to continue, even if she keeps dodging interviews and tries to do a Basement Biden style campaign.


9 posted on 08/11/2024 5:50:01 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn (“Giving money & power to government is like giving whiskey & car keys to teenage boys” P.J. O’Rourke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Williams

I believe it was the only one showing Trump winning in PA, MI, and WI in 2016 - and he did.


10 posted on 08/11/2024 5:54:26 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

But is this the one that always had him way ahead in 2020?


11 posted on 08/11/2024 5:57:43 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn

I can tell there play. They KNOW ABC is working with them on the debate and it’s primarily going to be a debate about abortion and that will set the narrative going to the end of the election. This is what they did in 2012. Trump should learn to turn some of the abortion questions about that pill that no one knows into economy, child care or immigration. That’s what he needs to be ready for. The ABC “debate “ will be mostly abortion. Om very confident about thia. That’s why she’s scared to do another one first because they’ll loae the framing timing they have planned.


12 posted on 08/11/2024 5:58:34 PM PDT by wiseprince (Me)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Williams

Exactly the same thing as 2020...but Trump has to have a reliable stream of funding to fight back, and the only times he has raised significant amounts of money from the base was after his conviction and after the assassination attempt. The base has largely abandoned him and all other GOP candidates in recent years, leaving them twisting in the wind to a massive Democrat onslaught with no way to fight back.

The fantasy version of Biden in 2020 vs. their caricature of Trump dominated the narrative and were the candidates many people chose between then. Likewise, a fantasy version of Harris v. a caricature of Trump is what many people are being introduced to now and will be voting come election time. All controlled entirely by the Democrats as the base continues to sit on their behinds and keep their wallets closed...then they’ll blame it all entirely on fraud as though being massively outraised, outspent, out marketed, out messaged, out organized, and outworked has zero impact on election outcomes.


13 posted on 08/11/2024 5:59:52 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Kramals is a dope, the new Obama puppet. She’s got zero to run on except stolen Trump ideas. People aren’t that dumb. I don’t even believe that many women are going to vote for her. Everyone knows the economy is going into the shitter and we can’t import everyone into the US.


14 posted on 08/11/2024 6:00:50 PM PDT by doc maverick
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Williams

(The Harris adds are endless, as are articles.)

YouTube is saturated with her campaign ads begging for money. Every single time I click on a video she pops up. I hit skip after 5 seconds.


15 posted on 08/11/2024 6:01:10 PM PDT by Macho MAGA Man (The last two wen't balloons. One was a cylindrical objecwhots Trump is being given the Alex Jones tr)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Well, that was encouraging.

I can’t believe Trump is broke.


16 posted on 08/11/2024 6:03:13 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

leans Repub. This election is way too close. Need to see some movement back to Trump. Most likely camel toe has peaked, but it’s still worrisome. Every single person attending a Trump rally should be registered at the rally to vote and information obtained to ballot harvest from them (where legal).


17 posted on 08/11/2024 6:04:09 PM PDT by imabadboy99
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: conductor john

> Who answers any unknown phone calls? <

Liberals do. And then they’ll blab all day about their favorite candidates. Conservatives won’t answer unknown phone calls. We’re too busy working in our garages, trying to keep our old cars running.

I’d like to say more, but I just dropped the engine oil cap, and it rolled right under my car. No surprise there.


18 posted on 08/11/2024 6:06:04 PM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

I see what you did!


19 posted on 08/11/2024 6:06:09 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: doc maverick

Everyone knows what you are saying. But Trump needs to reinforce that belief. That is his job. I think he’s stuck in the “she can’t possibly win” mindset.


20 posted on 08/11/2024 6:07:40 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-76 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson