Posted on 07/30/2024 12:27:24 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Didn’t he predict Hillary had 200% chance of winning?
Harris in a Sherman Tank....
Lichtman is a deep state person, who only understands uni-party environments. Trump is outside his circle of friends
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
AMEN!!!!!
I am going to guess that on the subject of immigration, the Dems will trot victims of atrocities in their homelands to counter the murdered and killed innocent Americans by illegals. I am prepared for the “All I want is a place to be safe...work and raise my family not be (attacked) by men in my home country.”
In my aggregate poll model, President Trump's probability of winning fell from last week's high of 91.1% to 83.2% today. His probability-weighted average Electoral Vote count fell from 322.5 to 310.4.
I expect more state polls to be published this week. As of today, here is my current probability map:
-PJ
this is nice, but honestly I would like to see A LOT more state polling (from Georgia and Pennsylvania in particular)
“..Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls ...”
Blah blah blah. The media wants a horserace. They want us to glue ourselves to our favorite opinionistas.
And they want Harris because the people that respond best to their commercials are mediocre librals.
“hanging with lefties is bad for your health.”
When Trump wins and I walk among them with my Trump hat on, it’s worth it.
It’s 2016 all over again, breaking the Blue Wall with just one defection - MI, and it’s over.
Nate Silver gave Hillary Clinton a 71.4% chance of winning, and Trump a 28.6% chance of winning in his final prediction of the 2016 election.
Silver’s “science” never misses. /s
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
bookmark
Dukakis at least had some brains, and had accomplished a few things as governor of Massachusetts. Harris has no brains. Although It must be said that Dukakis was a putz. Two things about that election stick in my mind: first, him riding around in an M1 Abrams tank with a helmet that looked absolutely ridiculous on him; Second was him being questioned in the debate about what he would do if his wife was raped, and his answer was basically nothing. With those two things alone, he lost the election. It also didn’t help him that Bush was the anointed successor of Reagan, that the economy was doing great, and the Soviet Union was on the ropes.
Harris is the anointed successor to a feeble old man who is every move further damaged our country in someway or other. In any kind of legitimate election, she would have no more chance to win than McGovern in 1972.
that’s INSANE.
She is up in many new polls on 270towin
1988 was a Million years ago.
Come on man, 45 percent of the country starts as D.
We start thinking blowout and we are in a LOT of troube..
We need people to CRAWL to the polls if they have to.
Asians, blacks, women, the younger folks, old school dems who dont get what the party has become...
I dont see how you can expect 1988
I JUST WANT 270...I’m not greedy :)
I think 270 wins it lol I dont have the sharp mind i did when i first joined FR :)
btw, i miss the USA of the 80s
This means nothing. We need to work harder to assure the Democrats don’t remain in power.
“Trump’s comment about not voting again is because Christians are notoriously shitty at voting”
Wow! I’d never heard that! I’m glad to now understand Trump’s remark.
She has pulled slightly ahead on Predictit. Silver famously predicted Clinton had a really high likelihood of winning in 2016.
I’m replying to my own comment...I’ve changed my mind!
The Dems aren’t trying to sell the policy of the idiot Kamala (who they hated until about 2 weeks ago), but the persona they are trying to construct for her with the cooperation of the media propaganda sources.
Trump essentially got his start because he was a celebrity and a little off the rails. He was not good at debates because he didn’t really have a firm grasp of policy, but he won twice (yes, that’s right) because of the persona he projected. I wish he had picked better advisors than his kids and a lot of his lack of the ability to make permanent changes were related to the fact that he had trouble working with people.
So the Dems are trying to recreate this vibe with Kamala, and they’re failing dismally.
Trump was absolutely right to call attention to her bizarre opportunistic ethnicity changes and the contempt she is showing for the real black population by doing this.
She and the Dems are also demonstrating this by the fact that she didn’t even show up for something that was supposed to be about questioning policy, particularly in connection with this US population group. He was right to call attention to that too.
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