Posted on 07/30/2024 12:27:24 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
So much for the establishment media’s overhype of Democrat presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris: a scientific model published on Tuesday demonstrates that GOP nominee for president former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win the election.
Statistician Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities of which candidate will win in November, opens the new race between Trump and Harris with an aggressive prediction of a likely Trump victory. Trump is forecast to have a 61.3-percent chance of winning, while Harris only has a 38.1-percent chance of winning. That means Trump has a more than three-in-five shot at victory, while Harris has a less than two-in-five shot. This is terrible news for desperate Democrats who were hoping switching their candidate at the top of the ticket would dramatically change the trajectory of the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Which helps rather than hurts Trump. It will make the fraud all the more obvious.
Has the author of this article checked with Dominion or the UPS drivers that bring in fake ballots by the thousands?
On the other hand, if this scientific model has properly factored in cheating, then I’ll believe it.
Regardless it’s way too early to forecast anything. The left might just dump the horizontal one if her polling numbers are in the gutter.
Then there is the violence factor. If the left thinks they will lose, they won’t be just sitting on their hands worrying, they will be out in force to physically intimidate or worse.
It won’t be over until late December when the swing states have finished counting their votes.
Trump wasn’t “too full” of himself in 2020. The fraud was massive, obvious and clumsy. Biden was the arrogant, smug and nasty candidate, not Trump. If you don’t believe me, go back and see for yourself. Stop with the revisionism. Trump’s campaign was very good at every point. He was not prepared for the fraud or the treachery. Are we going to let it happen again by pretending it didn’t happen in 2020?
Nate Silver cannot be believed no matter what he says.
They’ve been harvesting ballots at the border from Illegals as they cross - 11.5 and more ready to be deposited in critical voting precincts. Maybe Milwaukee and Dane counties in Wisconsin can each reach 200% of registered voters in November.
He already did by agreeing to the June debate
Here is a few pics. For a Tuesday, it’s not embarrassing.
And yet that Allen Lichtman guy who has made good predictions for years apparently is calling Harris to win.
Damn.
It may just mean that he has solid information that there will be fraud in the battleground states so that's why Kamala Harris is a lock to win the election.
What do the ballot counters say?
“Trump is working his ass off to win this election”
I agree, but I’m surrounded by mostly women who can’t stand him because of his personality. It makes me worry. Also, what’s with his “you don’t ever have to vote again” statement? Is he becoming unhinged?
Regarding the 2020 fraud accusations, we’ve all seen that graph where the Biden votes step up late at night. My question is, has that effect been seen in past elections. A relative says that step-up has been explained and it reflects true votes.
You can toss Lichtman’s prediction in the garbage. This is what he said just a few weeks ago “Forget all of the pundits who have said Biden’s too old. Democrat’s only chance to win is with Biden running for re-election.”
Lichtman Smichtmam
Do they have any opinions on the message that Harris is sending to their daughters about how "powerful" women must behave if they want to advance in their careers?
The women who surround you would prefer to "put out" than hear about President Trump's "mean tweets?"
-PJ
you need new female friends and new relatives. hanging with lefties is bad for your health.
Trump’s comment about not voting again is because Christians are notoriously shitty at voting so he’s being facetious by saying to do it this time and they never have to do it again.
I can understand the concern that Trump supporters have regarding a fair election this November. It is vitally important that the party from President Trump down put the fear of God into anyone that thinks they will get away with voter fraud. They must make it clear that aliens will be deported for voting and citizens that illegally vote will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. Let it be known that every drop box in America will have 24/7 camera surveillance and every absentee ballot will be verified under a microscope. You get the drift.
It has to happen, America cannot stand another 4 years of Obozo.
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