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Electoral College Model Forecasts Donald Trump Heavily Favored to Defeat Kamala Harris
Breitbart ^ | 07/30/2024 | Matthew Boyle

Posted on 07/30/2024 12:27:24 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

So much for the establishment media’s overhype of Democrat presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris: a scientific model published on Tuesday demonstrates that GOP nominee for president former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win the election.

Statistician Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities of which candidate will win in November, opens the new race between Trump and Harris with an aggressive prediction of a likely Trump victory. Trump is forecast to have a 61.3-percent chance of winning, while Harris only has a 38.1-percent chance of winning. That means Trump has a more than three-in-five shot at victory, while Harris has a less than two-in-five shot. This is terrible news for desperate Democrats who were hoping switching their candidate at the top of the ticket would dramatically change the trajectory of the race.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: defeat; electoralcollege; harris; natesilver; trump
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To: cymbeline

I hope Donald Trump hasn’t surrounded himself by a bunch of yes-men who are shielding him from the harsh reality. He needs to check his ego a little and realize what a bunch of snakes he is dealing with. This is no time to get over confident. He needs to inspire people about the future. ‘Hope and change’ are words that grate on our nerves because of the fraud that was behind them and the trojan horse that wielded them, but that the kind of message you need to have to break through to those who are discontent with inflation, illegal immigration, lack of well paying jobs, and the feeling that social security and retirement will be gone before millennials and younger generations ever get close to them.

If you don’t win by enough to beat the cheat, then the cheat will beat you.


21 posted on 07/30/2024 12:42:26 PM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Predicting an election outcome, based on polls, many of which are flawed and tainted, is unreliable and misleading.


22 posted on 07/30/2024 12:45:45 PM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: livius

Biden/Harris policies have been toxic to America. But the issues need to be highlighted, and repeated. The public has been rendered into dullness by the relentless beat from the media, and have become easily distractible by trivia. It may seem silly but the electorate needs to be reminded, often, that a scant four years ago we had peace and prosperity, covid notwithstanding; but now we have war and threat of war spreading like wildfire around the world, nuclear tipped missiles being dusted off.

We have literally millions of aliens from all over flooding into every village and town.

And we have an economy that sucks canal water. And it gets worse from there.


23 posted on 07/30/2024 12:46:18 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative. ual, )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Does the projection model account for the DNC’s ETM?
(election theft machine)

if not, the model is worthless (sorry to have to say)


24 posted on 07/30/2024 12:46:57 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: ChicagoConservative27
just stop.....they steal elections...they always do...here, France, England, Venezuela....

unless the voting process is locked down safe and secure, there will be no victory for Trump...he has to know this.....I am hoping he's smart enough to counter act it....

25 posted on 07/30/2024 12:47:28 PM PDT by cherry
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Lol......Haaris is Dukakis in a dress.

Somebody ought to photoshop Harris into that infamous pic of Dukakis in the army tank.


26 posted on 07/30/2024 12:48:00 PM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray : Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The fjb useful idiots will vote for him anyway. People even DEMS who are SEEING their buying power and safety being destroyed will Vote for president Trump.
Kamalatoe is the sacrificial lamb and they know that!
No amount of msm bs will change that!


27 posted on 07/30/2024 12:49:51 PM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: TexasGator

Yes they have. There are a lot more guys in dresses.


28 posted on 07/30/2024 12:52:10 PM PDT by Daveinyork ( )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Every minute of every day, Obama is thinking: “See?
I told you so!” Obama wanted Kelly, from Arizona to be nominated, never Kamala the cackling Klutz.

On his way out the door, Biden scored one last FU to the Democrat powers that ‘hit his hand with a wooden ruler’, until he (finally!!) let go of his presidential nomination’.
Joe knew nobody wanted Kamala running for president.
Now, the Dems are stuck with her, and forced to loudly sing her ‘praises’ in unison.

Joe didn’t give a flip that he has become too sick to serve as president. Did you think he would really care? He liked the perks and didn’t want to change anything. Same with Jill. Screw how he has embarrassed the country and made us look weak. Joe and Jill liked the perks of being America’s “Royalty” of the moment.


29 posted on 07/30/2024 12:55:49 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: ChicagoConservative27

IMO if the EC were tallied district by district rather than “winner take all” in every state but Nebraska and Maine, democrats would have a tougher time getting their commie presidents elected.


30 posted on 07/30/2024 12:56:15 PM PDT by SkiKnee
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I got two words for you. Venna Zoella.

The cheat is going to be historic.


31 posted on 07/30/2024 12:57:26 PM PDT by lurk (u)
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To: cymbeline

That’s a complete BS statement. Trump is working his ass off to win this election just like he won in 2020 and was cheated. So for people like you that think he lost you are delusional


32 posted on 07/30/2024 12:57:37 PM PDT by spacejunkie2001
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Beating up another woman Oh my ,LOL


33 posted on 07/30/2024 12:58:31 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I don’t know about anyone else, but with each passing year, I take the polls less and less seriously.


34 posted on 07/30/2024 1:00:15 PM PDT by Kriggerel ("All great truths are hard and bitter, but lies... are sweeter than wild honey" (Ragnar Redbeard))
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Absentee balloting and Dominion machines say otherwise. 🙄


35 posted on 07/30/2024 1:09:17 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

But But I thought that Reictman or whatever the hell his name is said if the election were today that Harris would win..so how can this be LOL..its going to be a close race, it wont be a landslide either way, its going to be close which is why Trump needs to go after Harris HARD in those swing states, those will decide the election


36 posted on 07/30/2024 1:13:00 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I believe the cackling hyena held a rally today and I have been trying to find pictures of the packed arena. You would think they would be all over the Internet since apparently she’s gaining momentum and surging in the polls etc. etc. I have yet to find any pictures of her packed rally. If you have a link please post.


37 posted on 07/30/2024 1:16:19 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Republicans need to be running scared. Enough of these complacency-fomenting polls and forecasting.


38 posted on 07/30/2024 1:17:56 PM PDT by Socon-Econ (adi)
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To: z3n

That’s what he runs on: Make America Great Again. Have you been watching the same race as the rest of us?


39 posted on 07/30/2024 1:22:12 PM PDT by MagaMatt (Sapere aude.)
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To: newfreep

That may be the only time he ever told the truth but it was probably by accident let it slip out.


40 posted on 07/30/2024 1:24:14 PM PDT by Vaduz
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