Posted on 07/30/2024 12:27:24 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
So much for the establishment media’s overhype of Democrat presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris: a scientific model published on Tuesday demonstrates that GOP nominee for president former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win the election.
Statistician Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities of which candidate will win in November, opens the new race between Trump and Harris with an aggressive prediction of a likely Trump victory. Trump is forecast to have a 61.3-percent chance of winning, while Harris only has a 38.1-percent chance of winning. That means Trump has a more than three-in-five shot at victory, while Harris has a less than two-in-five shot. This is terrible news for desperate Democrats who were hoping switching their candidate at the top of the ticket would dramatically change the trajectory of the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
It will be interesting to see what happens at the commie fest in August.
“..Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities..”
Wonder how he accounts for the fraud and cheating that democrats do.
“IMO its 1988 all over again. Harris is Dukakis in a dress.”
Demographics have changed quite a bit since 1988.
Good point. Trying to be positive
1972 would be grand!
No, this is worse. Dukakis was a nitwit...but she’s a hard leftist with an (imaginary) axe to grind. She has a grudge against about half of the country, just like her boss, Obama.
And she may come across as an idiot, but she’s being directed by others and apparently has enough smarts to do as she’s told, so don’t write her off.
Trump has got to fight back harder. Not personal attacks, but policy and call her (and her puppet master, Obama) out on their radical leftist policies and their hatred of average Americans.
Please God let it be so......Amen
“IMO its 1988 all over again. Harris is Dukakis in a dress.”
My opinion is that it’s Trump’s to screw up, and he’s getting too full of himself like he did in ‘20.
I wish
What really matters is the betting lines.
Here in southeast PA, I’m seeing lots of ads attacking Biden-Harris border failures.
“Good point. Trying to be positive”
Stay positive. Stay realistic. GET OUT THE VOTE!
“Harris isn’t unique in this regard: Biden also had a large Electoral College-popular vote gap in 2020, barely winning several tipping-point states despite winning the popular vote by 4.5 percentage points,” Silver writes. …Fraud denial by Silver.
Here is a more accurate prediction: Kamala wins by cheating and Donald Trump and whoever is near him when it happens gets killed. Can’t have him around after a cheat.
In order to win he needs to be alive. Do you really think they will give up after the last failure?
There wasn’t Covid19 era election rules in the 80’s. The fix already started. Arizona is voting today and all of the state Supreme Courts controlled by Soros and DNC have improved stop and steal 2.0.
But that’s impossible. I’ve been told we’re in coconut ridin’ Kamalot.
https://www.britannica.com/event/United-States-presidential-election-of-1972
Their primaries were almost as odd as this year.
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