Posted on 07/25/2024 8:29:15 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Former President Donald Trump leads Her Vice Fraudulency Kamala Harris (who, according to the Newspeak, was never our failed “border czar”) by seven points nationally in a two-person race, according to Rasmussen.
Trump’s lead remains the same when third-party candidates are included.
If it’s a two-person race between Harris and Trump, The Donald tops Cackle.rMcNeverBorderCzar 50 percent to 43 percent.
With Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornell West, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver in the race, The Donald tops CacklerMcNeverBorderCzar 49 to 42 percent. Kennedy comes in third with four percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
“Never go full retard”
Unfortunately I will have to take Rasmussen with a microscopic grain of salt. Their 2022 Red Wave prediction didn’t quite happen. I will wait for other polls to back this up.
We have already hit peak Harris. That eas Tuesday.
I believe Rasmussen polls are biased towards GOP. It’s probably closer to 49-45.
The battle of the “polls” begins!
The more Kamala speaks, the better Trumps numbers will get...
actually, this poll is right in line with all of their previous polls of both Trump V Biden and Trump V Harris.
last 3 Rasmussen polls of Trump v Biden were:
49 43 Trump
49 40 Trump
48 43 Trump
There are polls on both sides which slightly favor each side, which is why it is important to look at the average of ALL polls.
When all the dust clears and polls from both sides and the middle are factored in by next week the numbers will most likely show the race right where it was with Biden as the nominee with Trump ahead by 2-3 points nationally and ahead in all or nearly all of the battleground states.
To quote Steve Bannon: “Next Man Up”???
Even if Trump were to win by 10%, I bet he would still lose at least 15 states/DC.
true, but I was just responding to the statement that 7 points seems close. A 7 point win is a landslide in a presidential election regardless of how many states flip
I should have added that the voter fraud in California alone would negate Trump winning the popular by more than 3-4%.
“ this poll is right in line with all of their previous polls”
Well yes all of THEIR previous polls of course. Just to be clear l guess should have said Rasmussen seems to be a bit of an outlier and l would feel better if a few others matched theirs.
They hold their turnout model constant? And no change?
Then no one is changing their minds. Particularly independents, who are all that matter.
This is because 94% of Dems will vote Dem and 94% of GOP will vote GOP — and this is so in all elections.
Only the Independents can move, and they don’t move because they are “moderate”. They move because they don’t care about the litmus test issues like Abortion or Tax/Spend or Guns.
They care about elitism and the border.
If the Dems want their vote they have to close the border and start mass deportations right now. That would carve off a slice.
But much much much more probable, they will have to arrange more assassination attempts.
I would like to see a Trump landslide but this is not the same country that Reagan won.
We have massive demographic changes and also massive ideological changes and no one is doing the hard work necessary to actually change the electorate to a conservative point of view.
To do that you need to reform the education system and force them to hire conservatives at all levels just like the liberals to us decades ago.
Anyou need to take over more of the news media we have made headway but left ism is everywhere on TV and online.
In my humble opinion republicans have spent too much time using democrats as a foil to point out their radicalism to more moderate segments of the population.
That is not the same as convincing the left that they are wrong. Trump has tried outreach to minority communities but that’s unique with him.
Wait a week!
which is why you look at the average of ALL polls like they do on realclearpolitics.com
so if their are 3 right leaning pollsters
and 3 left leaning pollsters
and 8 middle of the road pollsters
the right and the left ones will cancel out in an average of all of them.
Both sides love to latch onto the polls which lean their way and then ignore the others are call them trash, when in reality they are all very useful in various ways. When you see any poll compare it to the average, and then also compare it to their past polls to see if there is any movement.
It is really difficult to know if the red wave would have happened or not. Lindsay’s proposal for a federal law to outlaw abortions nation wide after fifteen weeks.
His proposal drew a lot of pro abortion voters. It certainly gave the Democrats control of the Minnesota legislature.
-PJ
the red wave was calmed by ballot harvesting
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