Posted on 07/06/2024 4:42:00 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Which one did he screw up?
“Lichtman’s string was broken in 2000, when he correctly predicted that then-Vice President Al Gore would win the popular vote, only for George W. Bush to win the Electoral College and the election.”
Given what happened in 2020, one might also say that "it's cheating, not campaigning, that counts."
Predicting 9 out 10 races where its a (at worst) a 50/50 coin flip really isn’t impressive.
and really most elections its pretty obvious who is going to win.
technically he missed 2; bush/gore and the stolen 2020 election from DJT
With a 6 handicap for electoral fraud.
The Democrats are the people who wanted and supported the dementia patient. Then they turn on a dime and now want him thrown out of office and want a new candidate. The jig is up, it’s a party run by lunatics and their hysterical supporters.
Good luck with Camela.
They aren’t upset that Biden has dementia
They are mad that the entire country knows about it. Democrats were more than willing to allow him to continue being president despite his mental problems
later
Both candidates are incumbents.
But one of them is an incumbent incumbent and the other is an incumbent emeritus. 🤡
So according to Lichtman, the President could be caught on video sexually molesting children then murdering them, but if seven of the criteria listed in his model were true, the President would be re-elected. Seems to me his model may not be sufficient to cover all the possibilities.
Yep. If he predicted Biden would win - he predicted wrong.
Maybe he hedged his bets by predicting Biden would be the next president of the United Sates.
The Democrats ‘dropped’ their 1968 candidate and the replacement did very well, nearly defeating Nixon.
The way the media works in this country, people will be saying “Biden, who’s that?” a month after he’s dropped, and we’ll be seeing “Morning in America” puff pieces on the new candidate, even if that person is Maxine Waters or AOC.
He;s a TOTAL MORON!
Johnson was “defeated” in early primaries. Actually, McCarthy scored too well in New Hampshire against Johnson’s 50 percent tally. Johnson withdrew later in the month of March.
According to Gödel's incompleteness theorems, no model is ever sufficient to cover all the possibilities.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del%27s_incompleteness_theorems
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