Posted on 04/24/2024 9:03:53 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
If the election for president were being held today, the race would be a dead heat between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump with each candidate receiving 46 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Democrats support Biden (92 - 6 percent), while Republicans support Trump (90 - 6 percent). Independents are split, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.
"In a country at odds over wars and the economy, abortion, immigration and the very survival of democracy, there is one current point of agreement: there's no daylight between the candidates. It's a tie," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, the race is still a dead heat, with Biden receiving 37 percent support, Trump receiving 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 16 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 3 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receiving 3 percent support.
Voters give President Biden a negative 35 - 61 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's March 27 poll.
Voters were asked about the New York City criminal trial against former President Trump in connection with charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress.
Nearly 7 out of 10 voters (69 percent) say they are following news regarding the trial either very closely (34 percent) or somewhat closely (35 percent), while 30 percent say they are following it not too closely.
Six in 10 voters (60 percent) think the charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress, are either very serious (40 percent) or somewhat serious (20 percent), while 35 percent think the charges are either not too serious (13 percent) or not serious at all (22 percent).
Forty-six percent of voters believe former President Trump did something illegal, while 27 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 18 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.
Voters were asked how it would impact their vote if Donald Trump were convicted in the New York City criminal trial. If Trump were convicted, 21 percent say they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 15 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
Five percent of Trump voters say if he were convicted they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 31 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
"The first Trump trial has the attention of voters and they see the charges as serious. However, Trump voters give it a shrug when asked about their reaction to a possible conviction," added Malloy.
Two-thirds of voters (66 percent) think abortion should be legal in either all cases (34 percent) or most cases (32 percent), while 27 percent of voters think abortion should be illegal in either most cases (22 percent) or all cases (5 percent).
Support for legal abortion (66 percent) is at the highest level in two decades of Quinnipiac University polls. Support for legal abortion in all cases (34 percent) is also near a record high and support for abortion being illegal in all cases (5 percent) is at a record low.
Voters 85 - 10 percent think abortion should be legal when the pregnancy is caused by rape or incest.
Voters 89 - 5 percent think abortion should be legal when it is necessary to save the life of the mother.
Voters were asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion. A majority (53 percent) would support her plan, while 32 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.
Asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion after being a victim of rape or incest, 80 percent would support her plan, while 13 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 7 percent did not offer an opinion.
"There has never been this much approval for a woman's right to choose in the last 20 years. And on the deepest personal level, a majority of voters say if a loved one were considering ending a pregnancy, they would not try to dissuade her," added Malloy.
Nearly three-quarters of voters (74 percent) are either very concerned (48 percent) or somewhat concerned (26 percent) that another country is spreading false information inside the United States in an attempt to stir up divisions to weaken the United States, while 24 percent of voters are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (13 percent).
"The list of 'bad actor' countries intent on disrupting American society is short and well known and three- quarters of your fellow citizens say they are worried about it," added Malloy.
Eighty-one percent of voters are either very concerned (42 percent) or somewhat concerned (39 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 17 percent are either not so concerned (10 percent) or not concerned at all (7 percent).
Voters are divided on the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas, as 46 percent support it, while 44 percent oppose it.
Thirty-two percent of voters think the United States is doing too little to provide humanitarian aid to civilians in Gaza, while 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 31 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount.
Voters 53 - 40 percent support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia.
Voters 67 - 21 percent think that Vladimir Putin has intentions to invade other countries beyond Ukraine.
If Russia invades a NATO country, voters 63 - 26 percent think American troops should get involved.
1,429 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from April 18th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
During the 2020 race, Trump never led in any of the national polls.
“Forty-six percent of voters believe former President Trump did something illegal” That’s less than half.
Still screaming about abortion is an indication that the Right has done, as usual, a perfectly LOUSY job of messaging. They let the lefturds lay claim to the false notion that SCOTUS has made abortion illegal. We know that is wrong, but the Right can’t get thier ‘gavno vmestye’, as they say in Russia, on this issue.
IT’S a STATE issue! You want abortion legalized? Fight your STATE legislature for it.
New Democrat Poll
Biden 48%
Trump 48%
Kennedy 48%
Agreed. Biden will miraculously win the electoral vote in November. Guaranteed.
“This Quinnipiac poll has Biden getting 46% of the vote (if it is between him and Trump alone) but the job approval poll number is only 35% (61% disapproval). There is definitely something wrong with this poll with a 11 point difference between votes and job approval.”
It only makes sense as Trump’s popularity is comparable to that of Biden.
With the 24/7 Anti-Trump Propaganda in the mainstream media, it's a miracle Trump is even competitive.
Any fraud will be framed as “people voted that way because of abortion”.
Still think Biden wins, which means Kamala will be POTUS. Because there are alot of stupid people in this country that vote.
Good news? We get the Senate and if the GOP can get their crap together, the House too.
Trump lost the Popular Vote in 2020 by 4.5%.
A 46-46 tie means Trump would win the Electoral Vote if the 2024 election was held today.
In 2020 - excluding California and New York state - Trump won the other 48 states and Washington D.C. by 37,000 votes.
In 2020, Trump lost Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona, by just 43,000 total votes.
>> they always, ALWAYS over sample democRATS.
Yep, especially the big “Q”.
Just another progressive push poll.
Ten percent, in the states where it matters?
"When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, the race is still a dead heat, with Biden receiving 37 percent support, Trump receiving 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 16 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 3 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receiving 3 percent support."
Reliable polling is expensive and requires large sample sizes and talented people skilled in statistics and demographics. Paid for by political parties and major campaigns, such polls are rarely disclosed to the press or otherwise made public. Done properly and read with care, polls help allocate money and other resources, sometimes with decisive effect.
In the 2000 election, George Bush just barely carried Florida because, even though media's election day exit polling showed the state going for Gore, we (the Florida GOP and the GOP's best pollsters) knew that the methods used by the news media were flawed and that the Republican leaning Cuban vote had been grossly under sampled. On that basis, Republican election day get out the vote phone calls were shifted to the Florida Panhandle, which was becoming GOP territory and stayed open an hour later than most of the state due to a time zone difference.
The result was that with extra votes from the Florida Panhandle, George W. Bush just barely carried the state and won the Presidency, with a highly disputed but legitimate count in Florida putting him over the top.
Good point, but it must be qualified in that in 2020, Biden’s margin in the popular vote was cooked with fraud and helped him to overperform his polling.
Quinnipac is a far left polling that ALWAYS off by MASSIVE amounts. (Well outside the margin or error particularly on the Republican numbers, ALWAYS INSANELY LOW).. Why they are considered a top tier polling outfit is beyond me at this point this pattern is decades old with them.
They absolutely do not know how to get their polling right, they always are off, and by more than their margin of error.
Their FINAL 2020 polling showed BIDEN winning FL and OH.
This was their FINAL POLL of 2020:
FLORIDA: Biden 47%, Trump 42%
OHIO: Biden 47%, Trump 43%
NATIONAL: Biden 50%, Trump 39%
For the record Trump got 51.2% in FL in 2020 to Bidens 47
ANd in OH Trump got 53.2% of the vote to Bidens 45%
and Nationally it was 46.8 Trump to 51.3 Biden
They weren’t too far off for the Dem result, but grossly under on Trump’s.
IN 2016, they had Hillary winning 47 to 40 in their final national poll ... end result was 46 Trump to 48 Biden.
So BiteMe really only has 30% and dropping, given how these propagandists play with the poll numbers.
Romney was telling the truth when he said in 2012 that the democrats start out with a cold dead 46% of the vote.
Right. In 2008, seven scant years after 9/11, the American people elected a president named Hussein. Ever wonder who won the war on terror? It wasn’t us.
Trump wiped Biden out in the last election. They illegally stopped the count when he was clearly winning in all the swing states. Then they went in to overdrive to find and produce ballots out of nowhere.
We know they cheated and we know they stole it. If they’re able to do it again the Republic is over. It’s not about who votes... It’s about who counts the votes.
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