Posted on 04/24/2024 9:03:53 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
If the election for president were being held today, the race would be a dead heat between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump with each candidate receiving 46 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Democrats support Biden (92 - 6 percent), while Republicans support Trump (90 - 6 percent). Independents are split, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.
"In a country at odds over wars and the economy, abortion, immigration and the very survival of democracy, there is one current point of agreement: there's no daylight between the candidates. It's a tie," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, the race is still a dead heat, with Biden receiving 37 percent support, Trump receiving 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 16 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 3 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receiving 3 percent support.
Voters give President Biden a negative 35 - 61 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's March 27 poll.
Voters were asked about the New York City criminal trial against former President Trump in connection with charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress.
Nearly 7 out of 10 voters (69 percent) say they are following news regarding the trial either very closely (34 percent) or somewhat closely (35 percent), while 30 percent say they are following it not too closely.
Six in 10 voters (60 percent) think the charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress, are either very serious (40 percent) or somewhat serious (20 percent), while 35 percent think the charges are either not too serious (13 percent) or not serious at all (22 percent).
Forty-six percent of voters believe former President Trump did something illegal, while 27 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 18 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.
Voters were asked how it would impact their vote if Donald Trump were convicted in the New York City criminal trial. If Trump were convicted, 21 percent say they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 15 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
Five percent of Trump voters say if he were convicted they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 31 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
"The first Trump trial has the attention of voters and they see the charges as serious. However, Trump voters give it a shrug when asked about their reaction to a possible conviction," added Malloy.
Two-thirds of voters (66 percent) think abortion should be legal in either all cases (34 percent) or most cases (32 percent), while 27 percent of voters think abortion should be illegal in either most cases (22 percent) or all cases (5 percent).
Support for legal abortion (66 percent) is at the highest level in two decades of Quinnipiac University polls. Support for legal abortion in all cases (34 percent) is also near a record high and support for abortion being illegal in all cases (5 percent) is at a record low.
Voters 85 - 10 percent think abortion should be legal when the pregnancy is caused by rape or incest.
Voters 89 - 5 percent think abortion should be legal when it is necessary to save the life of the mother.
Voters were asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion. A majority (53 percent) would support her plan, while 32 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.
Asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion after being a victim of rape or incest, 80 percent would support her plan, while 13 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 7 percent did not offer an opinion.
"There has never been this much approval for a woman's right to choose in the last 20 years. And on the deepest personal level, a majority of voters say if a loved one were considering ending a pregnancy, they would not try to dissuade her," added Malloy.
Nearly three-quarters of voters (74 percent) are either very concerned (48 percent) or somewhat concerned (26 percent) that another country is spreading false information inside the United States in an attempt to stir up divisions to weaken the United States, while 24 percent of voters are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (13 percent).
"The list of 'bad actor' countries intent on disrupting American society is short and well known and three- quarters of your fellow citizens say they are worried about it," added Malloy.
Eighty-one percent of voters are either very concerned (42 percent) or somewhat concerned (39 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 17 percent are either not so concerned (10 percent) or not concerned at all (7 percent).
Voters are divided on the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas, as 46 percent support it, while 44 percent oppose it.
Thirty-two percent of voters think the United States is doing too little to provide humanitarian aid to civilians in Gaza, while 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 31 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount.
Voters 53 - 40 percent support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia.
Voters 67 - 21 percent think that Vladimir Putin has intentions to invade other countries beyond Ukraine.
If Russia invades a NATO country, voters 63 - 26 percent think American troops should get involved.
1,429 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from April 18th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
None of these polls include RFK jr.
Any Mainstream polls that show Trump tied means Trump is ahead by at least 5%.
Because they always, ALWAYS over sample democRATS.
If q has it even Trump up by 6 at minimum
Biden will easily win 310 EVs. Trump has no chance.
None of them include mail-in ballots or ballot harvesting either! Add about five points for Biden if those are included.
Polls. Who cares.
They simply reflect whatever is needed to be reflected.
Dems for throwing puppies into wood chippers? Poll will appear saying that 46% are in favor of the idea.
We’re not voting out of this anyway.
Conservative arguments against abortion have been destroyed. The pro-life position is about as popular as the pro-slavery position per this poll.
True
And notice the utter nonsense of the poll.
The believable: abortion will be a big issue amongst female voters.
The crap: Ukraine is high on the voter’s minds, everyone believes Trump is a criminal, and Russia/foreign influence on the election is an issue.
Not mentioned: the border, inflation, crime, the riots in campuses in support of Hamas, wokeness and DEI, allowing men to play women’s sports, and lawfare.
In short, a poll showing that whatever the voters should care about in the Dems mind just happens to be what is important. What a coincidence. A poll form a University shows that. You know, a university and we all know that as I type this completely rational things are going on at those places.
Had I a tiny portion of respect left for the American people it would have been gone. (I didn’t.)
HALF of them think a doddering, mumbling Alzheimer’s victim is qualified to half the nuclear war decision under his command? Despicable.
GOP vs DEM odds have largely been pick ‘em since the CO ballot ban.
Trump is slightly under even money.
Biden is slightly over even money
RFK Jr is 28/1.
if one wants to make a case of substantive change due to XY or Z-one better inform the bettors.
Yeah, it does. Read the article.
It says that when RFK is included, he polls at 16%
Despite 90% of industry/institution/billionaires colluding and conspiring:
Dems hold on to the slimmest margin of power.
MAGA won the House.
GOP is an 1/3 fav to win the Senate
Trump is an under even money fav to win.
GOP holds more governor offices that avg.
GOP holds more state legislatures than avg.
GOP holds a higher percent of all offices held than in 2010.
Yet I read endless doom.
Trump will win. It’s in the stars. .
Every election cycle, the Quinnipiac polls are always the least accurate.
It’s only a dead heat without the phony ballots. Add those in and you’ll get 60% Biden 46% Trump. This is counting those jurisdictions where over 100% of registered voters vote.
Don’t hold your breath for a Trump win. The Democrat election theft machine is well oiled and ready to crank out as many fraudulent ballots as they need to push the senile criminal over the top.
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