Posted on 01/14/2024 3:02:47 AM PST by UMCRevMom@aol.com
Russia could run out of infantry fighting vehicles in two or three years, if a recent assessment is accurate. It might run out of tanks around the same time.
According to one count, the Russian armed forces went to war in Ukraine in February 2022 with 2,987 tanks. After 23 months of hard fighting, the Russians have lost at least 2,619 tanks that independent analysts can confirm.
That’s 1,725 destroyed, 145 damaged, 205 abandoned and 544 captured T-55s, T-62s, T-72s, T-80s and T-90s.
If the Kremlin didn’t have options for replacing war losses, the Russian military would be down to just 368 tanks: far too few to defend against Ukraine’s own armor corps, which between pre-war tanks, restored tanks and donated tanks—minus losses—might number around a thousand vehicles.
But the Kremlin does have sources of replacement tanks: the Uralvagonzavod factory in southern Russia, which manufactures new T-90Ms, plus four other facilities that repair and modernize old tanks that have been moldering in storage. Some for decades.
The big question—one that no outside analyst definitively has answered—is how many tanks Uralvagonzavod can build, and how tanks the other plants can repair.
The Kremlin claims it received 1,500 new and modernized tanks following an intensive industrial effort that roughly tripled vehicle-generation in 2023. If that’s true—a big if—it would be reasonable to assume the Russian armed forces received around 500 new and modernized tanks in 2022.
Three thousand pre-war tanks minus 2,600 wartime losses plus 2,000 replacement tanks equals 2,400 tanks. As the Russian military added new formations in the 23 months since widening the war, so each field army, division, brigade and regiment would have fewer tanks than it would have had before 2022.
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
Putin says the war might last 5 years. How could they last 5 years of they are almost out of tanks?
Unless they aren’t.
VIDEO - Special report on latest developments
How Russia Loses 780 Soldiers, 28 Artillery Systems in 24 Hours
US Military News
754K subscribers
Jan 13, 2024 2:00 p.m. EST
8:10 Minutes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7IayY5Ppy-g
In a stunning turn of events, Ukraine has reported significant losses on the Russian side, with 780 soldiers and 28 artillery systems reportedly eliminated in a single day of fighting. As tensions escalate and both sides dig in for winter, this latest update has sent shockwaves through the region.
According to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, recent battles resulted in the elimination of 780 Russian troops, bringing the total casualties since February 24, 2022, to a staggering 362,280. These losses include 6,002 tanks, 8,574 artillery systems, and 630 air defense units.
That is rock solid right there. Did Denys fire you?
“That is rock solid right there.”
Thank you. I always post sold. It is the disrupters, detractors and Russian propagandists repeaters that overshadow a post.
I am so sorry. An example of how you were deceived: I cannot be fired from non-existent employment.
Gonzalo Lira(RIP) said they are using their second their tanks in Ukraine and saving tier 1 in case they have to fight NATO.
VIDEO
Russian army helpless against Ukrainian drones on left bank of Dnipro
Kanal13
1.59M
1-13-2014 11:30 p.m. EST
1:17 Minutes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTu6fB00brw
The Russian army is suffering heavy losses due to artillery and drone strikes covering the Ukrainian bridgehead in Krynky on the left bank of the Dnipro River, according to the UK Ministry of Defense
Ukrainian forces operating on the left bank of the Dnipro River are using unmanned aerial vehicles equipped with ammunition to strike Russian forces.
According to UK intelligence, FPV drones are used in conjunction with artillery to target Russian armed forces vehicles. According to a Russian military blogger, 90% of Russian military equipment in the Krynky sector was destroyed.
“Russia’s inability to counter the FPV-UAVs is likely due to a shortage of Russian Electronic Warfare capability in the area,” the UK Ministry of Defense says.
Back in November 2023, it became known that Ukrainian forces managed to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Kherson region. They hold the bridgehead and do not allow them to be driven out, despite constant attempts by the enemy to attack.
Over the past month, work has been underway to expand the bridgehead on the left bank. Ukrainian drones mine the roads at night and finish off enemy equipment and vehicles in the morning by dropping ammunition.
The David Axe article does not fully reflect the Ukrainian website, Militarny - Defense industry of Ukraine
But then again, he is "a journalist, author and filmmaker based in Columbia, South Carolina."
The title of the thread does not reflect the Forbes title, which is: "Russia Might Be Running Out Of Tanks."
The Axe article begins with "Russia could run out of infantry fighting vehicles in two or three years, if a recent assessment is accurate.
So many wiggle words are in the article that this is opinion, not news. "If" and such. And one reads "...the Russian military would be down to just 368 tanks: far too few to defend against Ukraine's own armor corps, which between pre-war tanks, restored tanks and donated tanks—minus losses—might number around a thousand vehicles."
Note then that Axe tries to paint a picture in the above quote FROM THE ARTICLE that Ukraine "might" and "could" have as many a three times the armor in the war as the Russians.
If true -- there's that wiggle word -- then Ukraine has enough armor and the West can relax as to tanks and such....
Because "Russia could run out of infantry fighting vehicles in two or three years, if a recent assessment is accurate."
That's David Axe, reporting from South Carolina, so near to the battle front. < s a r c >
Therefore, "unless they aren't" is quite an adequate and sensible reflection of the Forbes opinion piece. Time will tell.
COMMENT #5 TYPO CORRECTION:
“That is rock solid right there.”
Thank you. I always post SOLID information.
The disrupters, detractors and Russian propagandists repeaters are responsible to overshadow post and comment with deception.
Only a dimwit or a bot couldn’t catch the sarcasm. Which are you?
“Solid information” is now defined as such “solid” prose as if, could, might, probably, and reporting on a secondary source rather than a primary source. Solid.
attacking women with insults
what a brave, tough guy you are
(yes, that was sarcasm)
ARTICLE
Russia-Ukraine war: Russia on course to have lost 500,000 troops by end of 2024, says UK – as it happened
Don’t punch out of your weight class hoser. No, that wasn’t sarcasm.
“Only a dimwit or a bot couldn’t catch the sarcasm. Which are you?”
Thank you for your supportive comment.
I just will not respond when they freak-out & post nonsense.
Just not worth the time or energy to assist the ‘disrupters.’
You’re seriously confused this morning hoser so I’ll leave you to stew in your own juices.
They’re not worth the effort. Lost in their own crumbling world.
I see everything quite clearly this morning
You - based on your actions - seem so threatened, merely by a woman’s comments, that you have to resort to personal insults
Guess your Russian military is still failing, huh
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