Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
There’s an 11:00 update coming on all the tracks where I listen.... on Ian plus other infor Q&A I’ll be looking forward to.
caww: Thanks for sharing:
STORM INFO AND RESOURCES:
FIND YOUR EVACUATION ZONE: https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking...
FIND SANDBAGS IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA: https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking...
FLORIDA SCHOOL CLOSURES AND CANCELLATIONS: https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking...
WHAT TO HAVE IN YOUR HURRICANE KIT: https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking...
Hiya RG!
Be safe. I’ll be thinking about you.
It is below Jacksonville.? I think just a wind and rain event for that side, I have seen then come over Florida as I am on the East Coast, Atlantic,
BUT if we get lots of rain we are flooding even on a good day...
Kt is Knots as in Nautical Miles per Hour.
Take the speed in knots and add 15% and you have MPH.
If the storm stalls out north of Tampa Bay and spends a day or two pushing water into Tampa Bay the highest numbers would be accurate.. I know I’d lose one of my homes and possibly the second. I’m inland now but it’s stressful wondering if I’ll have a place to go home to.
Kt = Knots = 1.15 MPH. Speed measure used in Aviation and boating.
NHC track still has the eyewall going right up Tampa Bay, still time for plenty of wobbles.
Where are you located?
That is a healthy, scary storm. Outflow is enormous.
Well positioned within the Hurricane Warning area.
winds down to 115
Pressure 963
moving just east of due north
Yep:)
track adjusted SE again
The latest
forecast is adjusted to the southeast for this advisory, showing
landfall 6-12 hours faster than before, and we will have to see if
the southern trend continues in the afternoon guidance. The rest of
the forecast after landfall has been adjusted to the northeast as
well, though it is still slower than the consensus guidance at
longer range.
Wow
Oh wow....sorry you’re on edge but I would be too in your shoes. But you wer wise to go inland.
I have brother in Jacksonville - but he’s on high ground and bought his home purposely to be outside flood zones. Still as shared it’s rough going thru Hurricane winds and hours and hours of rain. Believes they’ll loose power but he has two generators.
Wow
—
yep
further south, faster landfall, stronger at landfall
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Quote: “Well positioned within the Hurricane Warning area.”
As are my parents (Bradenton) and I am trying to tell them to get out. But the problem is that with the ever evolving tracks a question becomes, “where to?”
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