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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: NautiNurse

I’m forced to go cut down coconuts this afternoon. I do not want them flying around.


601 posted on 09/26/2022 1:41:40 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: cll
The county emergency management chief said expected surge is 17’.

Oh.My.God.

602 posted on 09/26/2022 1:41:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: numberonepal

Will you need to shimmy up the tree?


603 posted on 09/26/2022 1:42:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: pnz1

It’s because, as far as I know, only Zone A and mobile homes are under evac orders in Hillsborough and Pinellas. In Pinellas the order begins at 1800 this evening.


604 posted on 09/26/2022 1:43:56 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: Quilla

We had an RV for years……..they are made to resist 70 mph winds

The only bad time we had was in New Mexico camping in a wide open space….
..a huge storm came up and our RV rocked and rolled but held fast!
In a storm be sure and pull your slides in if you have any.
Lower your antenna….

…and don’t park under trees where limbs can hit your vehicle

Also, see if this campground has a well built ( concrete block) building in worse case scenario


605 posted on 09/26/2022 1:45:08 PM PDT by Guenevere (“If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do?”)
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To: Quilla

The weather is going to be nasty with some possible tropical force sustained winds. There will be no paddling until probably Saturday (maybe).


606 posted on 09/26/2022 1:45:58 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: SE Mom

We were one of those who evacuated to Orlando!
It was awful!


607 posted on 09/26/2022 1:46:17 PM PDT by Guenevere (“If the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do?”)
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To: NautiNurse

What Zone are you?


608 posted on 09/26/2022 1:46:46 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: cll

It’s just bayou up there. The entire town of Hudson is in the Gulf pretty much. 17’ puts the surge easily across Hwy 19 in Hudson.


609 posted on 09/26/2022 1:53:19 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: NautiNurse

Heck no. I have a chainsaw on a pole. Much safer.


610 posted on 09/26/2022 1:54:17 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: numberonepal

Flood Zone A. Waterfront.


611 posted on 09/26/2022 1:57:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: Guenevere

Thank you kindly, Guenevere.


612 posted on 09/26/2022 1:58:30 PM PDT by Quilla
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To: NautiNurse

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Special Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
500 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

...IAN CONTINUES TO QUICKLY INTENSIFY...
...CONDITIONS IN WESTERN CUBA TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS EXPECTED...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION


LOCATION...20.3N 83.2W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


613 posted on 09/26/2022 1:58:46 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: NautiNurse

I’ll leave the beach tomorrow afternoon and go over to Gulfport. Radar looks like showers will be pushing in tonight.


614 posted on 09/26/2022 2:00:59 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: numberonepal

My son went paddling shortly after hurricane Michael. He filmed the Herculean efforts it took to get over all the downed trees, but the testament to the strength of his inflatable paddle board was undeniable.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lcs2tdiMupw


615 posted on 09/26/2022 2:01:09 PM PDT by Quilla
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To: NautiNurse

I’ll leave the beach tomorrow afternoon and go over to Gulfport. Radar looks like showers will be pushing in tonight. Newest forecast looks like a slowdown offshore before landfall dangit.


616 posted on 09/26/2022 2:02:16 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: NautiNurse
HMON forecast model for Ian

You can run it through Saturday.

Hope it's wrong.

617 posted on 09/26/2022 2:04:22 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the Dry Tortugas.

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for Anclote River southward
to Flamingo, including Tampa Bay.


A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Altamaha Sound to the
Flagler/Volusia County Line, including the St. Johns River.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning from Englewood southward to Flamingo. A Hurricane Watch has
been issued from Bonita Beach to Englewood.

The Hurricane Watch from Englewood to the Anclote River, including
Tampa Bay, has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning. A Hurricane
Watch has been issued from the Anclote River to the Suwannee River.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the Suwannee River to
Indian Pass, and from Jupiter Inlet to Altamaha Sound.


500 PM EDT Update
-------------------------------
About 155 MI SE of the Western Tip of Cuba
Max Sustained Winds...100 MPH
Moving...NNW at 13 MPH
Minimum Pressure...972 MB

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 100 miles
from the center.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the storm center.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

618 posted on 09/26/2022 2:04:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: mewzilla
For anyone else curious, some info on the model...

HMON

619 posted on 09/26/2022 2:06:48 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: NautiNurse
Your #602 made me think of the video of that '04 tsunami in Thailand .. different causes of course, but still ..   :-\
620 posted on 09/26/2022 2:19:19 PM PDT by tomkat ( SOTU = FUBAR)
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