Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Yeah, won’t really know path till it comes off Cuba next week, I’m on coast in panhandle, we watch anything that gets in the GOM, you can’t trust any prediction model this far out.
I am. I was part of a mission group to the panhandle after hurricane Michael a few years ago. There were still many trees down and some roads needed to be cleared in order to pass.
The fence companies are for sure salivating. Fences tend to disappear in these storms. Spaghetti models have started to group together so I think my place in Florida will be on the north side of this storm but impacts could be pretty bad still. Lots of uncertainty in track right now though. Best to be like a boy scout and “be prepared”.
Yep
I believe we evacuated for that one……..one of 4 that year.
Congrats for your investment in impact windows! We are anticipating hauling out the hurricane screens and hanging them on their tracks. Time will tell.
Thank you for your kind sentiments.
My first reaction imagined whether you would carry-on or check your chainsaw with baggage at the airport.
I’m pretty much in the middle of the peninsula. I do not have impact windows, never thought I’d need them. If a stron hurricane comes over us I would pray it is only a cat 1 versus the potential of this storm. As a person who got a degree in meteorology this storm scares me for my interests in Florida. Sometimes I wish I had pursued that career field more. My stint as an air traffic controller was fun but weather is always changing. Directing aircraft was mostly a routine thing.
Ha. No I’m driving. I haven’t been on an airplane in 6 years.
I wouldn’t be surprised if I’m on a no fly list because of my support for a certain former president 😂
+1 on SpaghettiModels.com. Great aggregator for tracking the tropics.
Oh great. I’m supposed to be on vacation 9/27 at West Palm Beach.
In the center of the peninsula, the most effective storm damage mitigation is to clear away trees which could land on your home during high winds.
There are always steep discounts for cruise ships and South Florida hotels during hurricane season.
“Opal was the RARE storm that affected us in N GA.”
+++++
Indeed! I live in a heavily wooded area and Opal twisted and bent the trees to the point I thought they were all going to topple. Afterwards, it looked as if someone had taken a giant mower across the tops of the trees. It was a mess. We ended up losing only a few trees but the limbs that were down covered the ground.
2004 Florida: Charley, Frances, Ivan 1, Jeanne, Ivan 2. The year my home looked like a boarded up crack house.
Thank you for the thread. I suppose Hurricane Hunters will be flying soon.e
Thanks for your attention always to our safety with these reports!
We had impact windows installed in 2020; just before Covid hit!
They are generally pricey but if one goes bad ( as one of ours did) they immediately replace it and it took 5 minutes!
We are Central Florida, Space Coast……but we had 4 hurricanes go through in 2004 and there were blue tarps all across the county!
We went through David (1979) when we first moved here…….and David was a tiny category 1 but it stalled on our coast and spun out tornadoes…..I never want to do that again!
Water poured through our bay window……the winds howled….we watched the transformer across the street pop……and when we decided maybe we ‘should’ evacuate, it was too late!!…….Which is an utterly scary moment!……Category 1…..you never know how they will react!
A tornado hit just up the street and took a roof off a house and damaged our Winn Dixie!
I stayed in the hall with a mattress and the children while my husband spent the whole night mopping up water in the living room.
Storm has a Charlie look of it but not as strong. That one virtually wiped out a portion of captiva island and went over Orlando out by Ormandy beach.
Opal was the only hurricane in my lifetime to seriouly affect the town I was living in at the time. It is 200 miles north of Mobile, Al but Opal took down 17 of our 20 pecan trees one of which landed on our roof with damage. My town had roads blocked in many areas from all the downed trees. I worked in local hospital at that time and my bosses stayed at work that night. They said as the eye passed over all the toilets in the hospital flushed at one time...lol Also funny that my son and I weathered that one in my mom’s home along with .... my Aunt Opal...lol
My palms are still relatively small but some in the neighborhood are bound to fall if it’s a major hurricane.
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