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The U.S. city with the highest per capita murder rate may not be the one you think
Hotair ^ | 08/06/2022 | Karen Townsend

Posted on 08/06/2022 10:36:09 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

What is the first city that comes to mind when you think of the city with the highest murder rate? For me, it’s Chicago. The cities that frequently make the news due to high murder rates and other violent crimes usually include Chicago, New York City, Baltimore, and Philadelphia. However, a compilation of police data for the month of June from cities with populations of more than 200,000 was put together and the top 31 American cities with the highest murder rates might surprise you.

AH Analytics co-founder Jeff Asher listed the top cities with the highest murder rates per capita (or 100,000 residents) and the city that tops that list is New Orleans. Asher says that more light needs to be put on other cities in the South and Midwest instead of the usual ones that make headlines. The murder numbers per capita in other cities, like Birmingham, Alabama, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Cleveland, Rochester, New York, and Atlanta, for example, are higher or comparable to the more publicized cities.

New Orleans almost certainly had the nation's highest murder rate per 100k of any big city in the first half of the year. The below table includes cities 200k+ with available data through late June.


pic.twitter.com/ZC268J0o2p

— Jeff Asher (@Crimealytics) July 1, 2022

Keep in mind these murder numbers are only halfway through 2022. They may change as the year continues. Violence, generally speaking, has been on the rise.

“I think … you can see a trend in increased violence across our country as a whole,” Alabama Fraternal Order of Police (FOP) President Everett Johnson told Fox News Digital. “…Birmingham, just based off the per capita [murders], I think that falls in line with what’s going on with the rest of our country … for the past two or three years.”

In 2021, more than a dozen cities reported record homicide numbers, following a trend of violence that began in 2020.

For example, New Orleans recorded 145 murders as of June 30, putting it on pace for nearly 300 murders this year, which would put the city’s homicide rate at 74.12 per 100,000 population by the end of the year. That rate would dwarf Chicago’s 18.26 murders per 100,000 population, even though the Windy City recorded more murders in 2021 than it had in a quarter-century.

New Orleans would also rank 9th in homicides among major cities in the world that are not at war, according to 2018 data compiled by the Citizen Council for Public Security and Criminal Justice, a Mexico City-based advocacy group. New Orleans saw murders rise from 119 in 2019 to 201 in 2020. That number continued to climb in 2021, reaching 218, an 83% increase over 2019 numbers.

“I can’t speak for the country, but people in Louisiana certainly know it’s one of the…most dangerous cities,” Darrell Basco, president of the Louisiana FOP, said, adding that what they see on the news and “experience personally” when they visit the city has made Louisianans aware of the violence in New Orleans.

Basco said part of the issue in Louisiana and other cities is “progressive-leaning” district attorneys. And cities are dealing with the defund the police movement that demonizes police officers. It is difficult for many cities to recruit and retain police. Almost all of the top 10 cities on the list are led by Democratic politicians. They also suffer from some of the highest poverty rates.

Keeping the focus on New Orleans, since it is at the top of the list, it should be noted that one factor in its troubles in retaining police officers is due to a federal consent decree that has been in place for a decade. The police force is “hemorrhaging”.

Last month, Claude Schlesinger, a retired police lieutenant and now lawyer for Council of Fraternal Order of Police New Orleans, said the force is “hemorrhaging,” according to New Orleans NBC affiliate WDSU.

“It’s awful, I think we’ve lost over 80 officers so far this year,” said Schlesinger. “We’re down from 1,740 in the time of Katrina; we’re close to 900 right now.”

The federal consent decree was signed by former Mayor Mitch Landrieu (now Biden’s Senior Advisor and Infrastructure Coordinator) and the DOJ in 2012, during the Obama administration. It was deemed necessary at the time due to a 2011 federal report that exposed widespread constitutional failures and corruption on the force. The consent decree guides reforms. In April, U.S. District Judge Susie Morgan said she hoped to put NOPD on the path to ending federal oversight in June. She said that may include less monitoring over two years. However, since April nothing has changed and the mayor is left in the dark.

Mayor LaToya Cantrell will petition a federal judge soon to end the federal consent decree. She said that it would improve officer morale and stop the “hemorrhaging” of officers. She also claims that the consent decree threatens the safety of police officers.

“The consent decree handcuffs our officers by making their jobs harder, pestering them with punitive punishment and burying them with paperwork that is an overburden,” said Cantrell as she was flanked by NOPD Superintendent Shaun Ferguson and Director of Public Safety and Homeland Security John Thomas.

It won’t be the first time for a petition to remove the consent decree to be used. An earlier request in 2020 failed. Since nothing has come of Judge Morgan’s “hopes” that NOPD might be ready for less federal oversight, it is unclear if a new petition by the mayor will produce a different outcome this time. Cantrell said that the smaller number of officers on the police force threatens the safety of those on the job.

“It’s gotten us in a situation…that I’m concerned about our officers’ ability to protect themselves,” Cantrell said. “And if our officers cannot protect themselves, then there’s no way that we can even expect them to protect us.”

The mayor and Ferguson said the rank-and-file told them in blunt terms that they’ve been beaten down by a lack of support in the community, including from media and elected officials, and that has led “some to rethink the profession.”

The defund the police movement has led to some dire consequences for those in public safety. A lack of respect for law enforcement adds to morale problems.

There are two sides to every story and an attorney for the Police Association of New Orleans, Eric Hessler, argues that the mayor is blaming the consent decree when the real problems lie within the NOPD’s Public Integrity Bureau. A recent survey commissioned by NOPD found that pay, discipline, and an unfair promotion system were the reasons for officers leaving the force.

“When she said the policies are determined by the consent decree, the problem is they’re investigated by PIB, and those investigations are unfair, they’re biased, and they’re corrupted by a PIB administration who is left untouched,” Hessler said.

“All I’ve ever heard is criticism of the administration and the mayor,” Hessler said. “If anybody feels anything towards the police officers, it’s sympathy for having to work in these conditions.”

We’ll see what happens next. Charges of corruption are nothing new for New Orleans. City government in the Crescent City has always has a dicey reputation. In the meantime, police officers are left to do their jobs without all the support they need.



TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: banglist; chocolatecity; crime; murder; murderrate; neworleans
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To: SeekAndFind

I can’t believe it—Detroit didn’t make the list.


41 posted on 08/07/2022 7:24:02 AM PDT by Colinsky
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To: Chickensoup

Most large cities have the vast majority of their crime take place in about 10% of the city. IIRC, most of Chicago’s came within 8% of the city.

“Mr. Weisburd said that in his studies of larger cities, about 1 percent of the streets produce 25 percent of the crime and about 5 percent of the streets produce 50 percent of the crime.”

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/apr/25/most-murders-occurred-in-5-percent-of-countys-says/

When travelling across the US, I stop at least 25 miles outside any major city to get gas...then stay on the Interstate until I’m past the large city. I don’t know which neighborhoods are safe so I avoid the entire mess.


42 posted on 08/07/2022 7:25:45 AM PDT by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
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To: P.O.E.

I live in a suburb outside of Birmingham city limits and can testify of high crime rates in the city. However, all of the suburbs around Birmingham are flourishing. I call Birmingham a donut because it is the hole in the middle with all of the bread on the outside.


43 posted on 08/07/2022 7:28:27 AM PDT by salmon76 (…"we have obtained dirt on Hillary Cli…" (Babylon Bee))
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To: SauronOfMordor
It would be interesting to do the statistics “per 100k black residents”.
All you have to do is look at black population density in major cities, compare it to overall murder rates / 100K residents, and you'll see the direct correlation: List of U.S. cities with large Black populations

Baltimore probably leads the pack / 100K blacks of major US cities, but if N.O. continues at the pace suggested by this article it'll be up there with Baltimore and the overall US murder capital, Jackson, MS.

But ignore all that, it's because of raaacism. Victims can't victimize others... all victims are victims of racism... especially the victims of raaacism who commit crimes...
44 posted on 08/07/2022 7:38:41 AM PDT by nicollo (arbitrary law is not rule of law)
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To: SauronOfMordor
It would be interesting to do the statistics “per 100k black residents

That data is certainly available and has probably been analyzed. However, it will likely never be made public.

45 posted on 08/07/2022 7:43:22 AM PDT by sjmjax
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To: SeekAndFind
Murders or homicides?

There is a difference.

46 posted on 08/07/2022 7:48:51 AM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (The nation of france was named after a hedgehog... The hedgehog's name was Kevin... Don't ask)
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To: drSteve78

I’m not surprised either. New Orleans is an established democrat hellhole...


47 posted on 08/07/2022 7:52:17 AM PDT by GOPJ (Every large city run by democrats is a hellhhole.. Don't let democrats 'hellhole' the country. VOTE.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Nashville ahead of Memphis? Would not have guessed that one.


48 posted on 08/07/2022 7:57:40 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: doorgunner69

A large what? Don’t be a fool. Stop slandering people because you think it’s witty or cute. It’s neither, nor is it NEWSPEAK, like some other fool tries to convince himself here in Freeperville.


49 posted on 08/07/2022 8:09:21 AM PDT by bigfootbob (Arm Up and Carry On!)
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To: Chickensoup

And NO is a “chocolate city.”


50 posted on 08/07/2022 8:32:19 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix) )
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To: P.O.E.

The “per 100K” would vary depending on how the city limits are defined. For example, NYC is a pretty broad spectrum.

The US Census Bureau defines what cities are. The five boroughs of NYC are NYC and have been since 1898.

I thought the murder statistics table was referring to Rochester, NY. I don’t think Rochester, MN is as bad as that craphole of Rochester, NY. No way.

Rochester MN with population of 121,000 dos not meet the size criteria noted. Rochester, NY has a population of 211,000.

This chart would have been a lot more useful if the population of said cites were listed for context.


51 posted on 08/07/2022 8:33:36 AM PDT by Steven Scharf
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To: Steven Scharf

From the original source chart:

YTD Murder Comparison
2022 YTD 4,516
2021 YTD 4,642
YTD % Change -2.7%

It does not say if this is all US murders or just with in the charted data.

https://www.ahdatalytics.com/dashboards/ytd-murder-comparison/


52 posted on 08/07/2022 8:37:04 AM PDT by Steven Scharf
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To: SeekAndFind

Got a son in Maryland. We call Baltimore, Balti-Mordor.


53 posted on 08/07/2022 8:40:33 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Memphis at 28.52 should have been third and wasn’t even on the list.


54 posted on 08/07/2022 8:43:19 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: deks

The deal with Colorado Springs is driven by the way the statistics are shown. This is for the first half of this year and a multiple murder or a couple drives it way up. If you look at a trailing average of five years you would get an entire different story.

Look at this chart showing Colorado Springs year-by-year.

https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/us/co/colorado-springs/murder-homicide-rate-statistics

Jumps from 7.0 to 3.0 and all over year-by-year through 2018. I read a book 50 years ago called “how to Lie with Statistics” and it taught me a lot.

You take the last five years shown in the chart and average 2015 to 2018 and you get a rate of 5.74 which is more indicative. As I posted earlier, this same site gives a 2018 rate that would have made them third place but since this first six months has a low incidence, they don’t even appear.


55 posted on 08/07/2022 9:04:50 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: nicollo

I live in a small county where the black population and slightly more than the white population and the murder rate and crime rate is low. Urban compaction is the biggest problem, not race.


56 posted on 08/07/2022 9:08:26 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: KC Burke
Memphis at 28.52 should have been third and wasn’t even on the list.

I was just about to post that I question the accuracy of any list that didn’t include Memphis. I can’t remember a time when Memphis wasn’t at least in the top 5 of murder rates yet it’s not even on the list. If the authors can’t get something as obvious as that correct then their entire article has to be dismissed as bunk.

57 posted on 08/07/2022 10:09:57 AM PDT by GaryCrow
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To: KC Burke

"Bodymore, Murdaland" was what cable series The Wire. The Guardian tried to make "Bulletmore, Murderland" a thing. "Mobtown" and "Crabtown" are also in the mix. The Town Fathers prefer "Charm City."

58 posted on 08/07/2022 10:20:00 AM PDT by x
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To: LS

so are parts of the other cities listed. It would be interesting to look at the murder rates in the areas or neighborhoods according to demographics.


59 posted on 08/07/2022 10:23:54 AM PDT by Chickensoup ( Leftists totalitarian fascists are eradicating conservatives. Leftists are genocidal. )
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To: flaglady47
This is the city that the Republican Nat’l Committee has just announced as the site for the Republican 2024 Presidential Convention. Great pick, Pubs.

I caught that, as well.

60 posted on 08/07/2022 10:30:02 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...siameserescue.org)
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