Posted on 11/26/2020 2:30:39 PM PST by Drew68
According to new data, the U.S. currently ranks first in total COVID-19 cases, new cases per day and deaths. Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Hopkins, critically analyzed the effect of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in her webinar titled “COVID-19 Deaths: A Look at U.S. Data.”
From mid-March to mid-September, U.S. total deaths have reached 1.7 million, of which 200,000, or 12% of total deaths, are COVID-19-related. Instead of looking directly at COVID-19 deaths, Briand focused on total deaths per age group and per cause of death in the U.S. and used this information to shed light on the effects of COVID-19.
She explained that the significance of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths can be fully understood only through comparison to the number of total deaths in the United States.
After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared.
Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups. However, this increase is not seen from the CDC data. In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same.
“The reason we have a higher number of reported COVID-19 deaths among older individuals than younger individuals is simply because every day in the U.S. older individuals die in higher numbers than younger individuals,” Briand said.
Briand also noted that 50,000 to 70,000 deaths are seen both before and after COVID-19, indicating that this number of deaths was normal long before COVID-19 emerged. Therefore, according to Briand, not only has COVID-19 had no effect on the percentage of deaths of older people, but it has also not increased the total number of deaths.
These data analyses suggest that in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.
This comes as a shock to many people. How is it that the data lie so far from our perception?
To answer that question, Briand shifted her focus to the deaths per causes ranging from 2014 to 2020. There is a sudden increase in deaths in 2020 due to COVID-19. This is no surprise because COVID-19 emerged in the U.S. in early 2020, and thus COVID-19-related deaths increased drastically afterward.
Analysis of deaths per cause in 2018 revealed that the pattern of seasonal increase in the total number of deaths is a result of the rise in deaths by all causes, with the top three being heart disease, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia.
“This is true every year. Every year in the U.S. when we observe the seasonal ups and downs, we have an increase of deaths due to all causes,” Briand pointed out.
When Briand looked at the 2020 data during that seasonal period, COVID-19-related deaths exceeded deaths from heart diseases. This was highly unusual since heart disease has always prevailed as the leading cause of deaths. However, when taking a closer look at the death numbers, she noted something strange. As Briand compared the number of deaths per cause during that period in 2020 to 2018, she noticed that instead of the expected drastic increase across all causes, there was a significant decrease in deaths due to heart disease. Even more surprising, as seen in the graph below, this sudden decline in deaths is observed for all other causes.
The CDC classified all deaths that are related to COVID-19 simply as COVID-19 deaths. Even patients dying from other underlying diseases but are infected with COVID-19 count as COVID-19 deaths. This is likely the main explanation as to why COVID-19 deaths drastically increased while deaths by all other diseases experienced a significant decrease.
“All of this points to no evidence that COVID-19 created any excess deaths. Total death numbers are not above normal death numbers. We found no evidence to the contrary,” Briand concluded.
In an interview with The News-Letter, Briand addressed the question of whether COVID-19 deaths can be called misleading since the infection might have exacerbated and even led to deaths by other underlying diseases.
“If [the COVID-19 death toll] was not misleading at all, what we should have observed is an increased number of heart attacks and increased COVID-19 numbers. But a decreased number of heart attacks and all the other death causes doesn’t give us a choice but to point to some misclassification,” Briand replied.
In other words, the effect of COVID-19 on deaths in the U.S. is considered problematic only when it increases the total number of deaths or the true death burden by a significant amount in addition to the expected deaths by other causes. Since the crude number of total deaths by all causes before and after COVID-19 has stayed the same, one can hardly say, in Briand’s view, that COVID-19 deaths are concerning.
Briand also mentioned that more research and data are needed to truly decipher the effect of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States.
Throughout the talk, Briand constantly emphasized that although COVID-19 is a serious national and global problem, she also stressed that society should never lose focus of the bigger picture — death in general.
The death of a loved one, from COVID-19 or from other causes, is always tragic, Briand explained. Each life is equally important and we should be reminded that even during a global pandemic we should not forget about the tragic loss of lives from other causes.
According to Briand, the over-exaggeration of the COVID-19 death number may be due to the constant emphasis on COVID-19-related deaths and the habitual overlooking of deaths by other natural causes in society.
During an interview with The News-Letter after the event, Poorna Dharmasena, a master’s candidate in Applied Economics, expressed his opinion about Briand’s concluding remarks.
“At the end of the day, it’s still a deadly virus. And over-exaggeration or not, to a certain degree, is irrelevant,” Dharmasena said.
When asked whether the public should be informed about this exaggeration in death numbers, Dharmasena stated that people have a right to know the truth. However, COVID-19 should still continuously be treated as a deadly disease to safeguard the vulnerable population.
Brought to you by the “follow the science” idiots. They suppress any science not to their liking.
Hopkins alumni and faculty appointed to Biden’s COVID-19 task force
By Ellie Rose Mattoon, November 23, 2020.
Daily regimen:
Quercetin 500 mg. twice a day/5 days
Zinc, at least 50 mg, the amount in 220 mg zinc sulfate
Vitamin C, increase to bowel tolerance (diarrhea), back off a bit and spread the day’s total across 3-4 hour intervals.
Vitamin D3, 5000 IU
Is this a preventative dose OR is this for treatment once you exhibit symptoms of COVID-19?
As best I can recall, it’s the start of symptoms regimen.
My family and I have been on 500-800 mg quercetin, 50 mg zinc, 1000 mg C, 5000 UI D for 6 months or so.
I pinged Gleeaikin for clarification and corrections as needed.
Not a doctor, just passing on the best info I’ve been able to glean this year.
Given that depression, suicide, and family violence have increased due to isolation and destruction of jobs, businesses and the associated loss of the feeling of self worth, I rather doubt it.
The daily regimen for early Covid illness symptoms, 5 to 7 days
Quercetin 500 mg. twice a day, 5 to 7 days
zinc, at least 50 mg. ELEMENTAL ZINC as found in 220 mg zinc sulfate. 5 to 7 days. This would be 4 or 5 times the RDA of zinc which seems to be 11 to 15 mg. There are a lot of different forms—zinc oxide, zinc picollinate, etc. I don’t know if some forms work better than others. Loss of taste and smell probably indicates you are zinc depleted.
Vitamin C, increase to bowel tolerance (diarrhea), other symptoms of high level are acid farts or burning urine. Back of dose a little. Body uses up every 5 or 6 hours, so spread out use.I have taken 20 grams or more with bad flu. Once gave a woman 50 grams over 8 hours when she was stung by 3yellow jackets in the neck and forgot her bee sting allergy kit. She was suffocating. Gave 10 grams crushed in water. Her symptoms reduced in 20 minutes, breathing normalized, face swelling reducing. Gave 5 grams every hour for total 8 hours, then left her with a lot of C to take as needed and went back to my campsite and slept. In morning she had walked out 3 miles.
Vitamin D3 at 500 IU or 125 mg. is daily dose for adult man with low sun exposure or in my son’s case winter SAD. I don’t know what would be a good Covid illness dose, but suspect the long term symptoms may be Vitamin D3 and C related.
For daily maintenance if not in robust health or under severe stress, aren’t we all these days.
Quercetin 200 mg daily. This is an ionophore (look it up) that changes the electrical charge on zinc to enable it to enter infected cells more easily. Other ionophores are HCQ (good luck getting that), Resviratrol, Ivermectin and others. Something I have not mentioned before or seen elsewhere is pycnogenol. It is a member of the C complex family and is very powerful. 100 mg is a good prevention dose.
My computer started misbahaving so thought I better post what I had already written before it disappeared. To continue: I was finished with IONOPHORES.
Other daily recommendations for restoring robust health:
A good one-a-day time complete vitamin and mineral supplement
morning and evening.
Zinc: The amount in my 2 one-a-days plus 2 or 3 cal/mag/zinc tablets.
Vitamin C: 500 or 1000 mg. twice a day, or more if needed. I have been taking 3 to 7 grams a day for 45 years for my allergies to house dust, cool weather mold, and cigarettes.
Vitamin D3 4000 to 5000 IU now and when I don’t get out much. 2000 to 3000 IU in summer and when I get outside more. I am a 5’3” 140 lb woman.
Other supplements and nutrients you may have found helpful.
I take a number of them and have for many years. For example Vitamin E 400 IU for 50 years which cured my heridity varicose veins. At 82 I now have gradually added a fair number but am in good health and active. Most recently in past 2 years have seriously improved my developing cataracts with 20 mg Lutien and 4 mg. Astaxanthin both twice a day. For health issues Google your problem’s name and add “Vitamins, Minerals, supplements and nutrition to improve.”
...and I’m here to kill Gramma and Gramps!
For all I know; CHLOICE still manages to kill around 3,000 future US citizens a day.
Yes we are on there list.
Absolutely correct! Funny how that has never been mentioned.
Where are you finding the average monthly death figures for 2020? I can’t locate them anywhere.
This would be very convincing data, if it were true. Unfortunately, it isn't.
The AVERAGE monthly deaths for 2020 provided by the CDC for Jan-June 2020 is 271,000.
Deaths are UP. One can argue about whether the amount is significant or not. But, it's incorrect to claim that "Total Deaths" are down.
There is a FLOOD of misinformation going around the internet these days. Trust NOTHING. Always verify.
Thank you so much! I will add that to my list today.
I finally received help yesterday from a smart young practitioner who must’ve been on break most of the week. She is starting me on a blood thinner today.
I advise everyone to avoid catching this bug during a holiday!
Yikes! I forgot a low does aspirin a day!
Starting xiralto today
They have a link to the original article as a pdf in the new article
Similar article here: https://www.aier.org/article/new-study-highlights-serious-accounting-error-regarding-covid-deaths/
Posted at the bottom of this article is an audio presentation given by author to JH audience. Over an hour.
https://thedonald.win/p/11QRtYJvan/where-are-all-the-extra-deaths-f/
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