Posted on 11/03/2020 4:33:04 AM PST by springwater13
Republicans are up 20,000 in the first 20 minutes of voting. So far Republicans have a 32% advantage in the Florida Early Vote.
143,609 angels now.
Given similar voting patterns to 2016, that would give Trump a touch over a 200k vote lead in FL. The thing is, I have to believe a bit more DEMs and INPs are going Trump this time than in 2016.
You and I, and millions and millions of others, will be celebrating!!!
Enjoy!
I am hoping this...
If Florida goes 3-4% Republican as it is looking like is a possibility, then we may pickup more congressional seats then we hoped. Most of the weakness is in the Democrat Blue areas and any seats they won in 2018 by less then 4% they may lose.
If this goes across the nation today then expect Republicans to win back the House. Keep the Senate.
Is there a link to his source data? Is it each Fl county? or another FL website?
What was the turnout difference 4 years ago? Raw Vote? Seems like I see a different number everyday.
In 2016, the GOP had a 55k ballot advantage over the DEMs, but Trump won FL by 113k.
“Given similar voting patterns to 2016, that would give Trump a touch over a 200k vote lead in FL....”
Actually not......In reality it would give Trump a lead of 295K+
Add another 11k in Hillsborough and 10.5k in Manatee. Even if you give back 5k in Miami-Dade theres another 15k+ Republican voters in addition to the 148,444 (as of 3:22pm).
So call it around +163k as of right now. Probably a few thousand more in Seminole as well but having a hard time finding the data.
Add another 11k in Hillsborough and 10.5k in Manatee. Even if you give back 5k in Miami-Dade theres another 15k+ Republican voters in addition to the 148,444 (as of 3:22pm).
So call it around +163k as of right now. Probably a few thousand more in Seminole as well but having a hard time finding the data.
That puts it close to a 225k vote lead for Trump right now. That was LS’s prediction for FL for the whole election. No wonder he was excited earlier in the day. It would appear Trump is going to top 300k before the day is over.
If I had to guess I would put it at around 165k at 3:30pm. Maybe a little higher as Sarasota seems to update slow. I can’t really push it to 225k yet although I suspect we get there (or better) by the end of the night.
Did you ignore my post to you (#368) for a reason or do you find my deducing to be in error?
Either why I would like to know.
I wasn’t talking about the ballot margin for today. I was speculating a possible vote margin based on the ballot margin so far and what occurred in 2016 (ballot and vote margins).
My son still lives in MDC. He says turnout is great. Would love to see my native born town turn Republican!
Maybe I am just a little slow, but we start getting off wrk in 2 hours...I would think we hit the gas for the last 2 hours. If we get to 200k by 5 est we err going to boat race em.
If GOP IS up about 150,000 ... what was the GOP turnout advantage in ‘16?
Results of MIami Dade 2016
D H. Clinton 63.7% 623,006
R D. Trump 34.1% 333,666
L G. Johnson 1.3% 13,183
G J. Stein 0.6% 5,965
R R. La Fuente 0.2% 1,579
C D. Castle 0.1% 1,27
55K+
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