Posted on 11/03/2020 4:33:04 AM PST by springwater13
Republicans are up 20,000 in the first 20 minutes of voting. So far Republicans have a 32% advantage in the Florida Early Vote.
I’d also assume panhandle voting is about an hour behind the rest of the state.
Are we getting R/D classification by residents that declare their party when they vote or by how they are registered?
“A 55k ballot margin in 2016 produced a 113k vote win for Trump. With a 100k ballot margin in the GOP’s favor so far, he would be approaching a 160k win, assuming voting patterns are consistent with 2016. I don’t think a 400k win is possible, but maybe 300k?”
I’m guessing 250k. Not based on numerical analysis. Semi educated wild guess.
Thanks be to God that drug addicted sex pervert was not elected! We would be seeing a completely different ugly picture of Florida today.
It might show 300k victory. But if you take out all the fake democrat voter fraud real victory will be 400k in Florida. You always have to remember that democrats/marxists cheat in elections and especially with their mail in ballot scam.
More republicans crossing over to vote democrat than the reverse? Is that why a state like Florida, that has many more democrats registered than republicans, is dominated by the Republican Party? Are you betting that Trump doesn't do better among black and Hispanic voters this cycle? There is no way he doesn't do better with those two groups and they will almost all be registered democrats. You should go Eeyore somewhere else.
That is true from Panama City West. Tallahassee (hugely Commucrats) is in the eastern time zone.
SAVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Donald Trump could win Florida by more than half a million votes.
Red Wave.
We dodged a bullet in 2018
My guess is between a 150k-200k victory...
It’s my understanding that numbers are coming out of Miami-Dade, but just not part of the live tracking. LS keeps updating that information, so it’s there (maybe behind by a bit).
Don’t count on Democrats winning election day vote in Dade.
Palm Beach Republicans are way ahead today, and Broward D only has a 40K lead today.
Very possible Republicans could outvote Dems in Dade today !
If that is true... this is going to be a bloodbath....
Not sure about a bloodbath, but doubling his 113k spread in 2016 to 225k seems quite doable, and many are speculating higher. I believe 225k was LS’s prediction the past couple of days.
What is your confidence level on the following:
1. Trump gets a larger share of NPAs or indies?
2. More Ds crossover to vote Trump than Rs crossover to vote Biden?
Me:
1. 9 out of 10
2. 10 out of 10
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