Posted on 11/03/2020 4:33:04 AM PST by springwater13
Republicans are up 20,000 in the first 20 minutes of voting. So far Republicans have a 32% advantage in the Florida Early Vote.
My guess is between a 150k-200k victory...
I expect we gain some D and Independents +3% for a 350-400K win for the good guys. We WILL have some black D crossover and we WILL have more PR/Cuban Independents than 2016. Depending how big those crossovers are we could have a 500K win for the night. Wouldn’t that be awesome !!
10 out of 10...
One big assumption here and that is everybody votes for their party’s candidate. For the pubs we know from the primary Trump got over 90 percent of his party’s vote. Biden, less than 50. Add in Scamdemic, anti-fracking, pro-rioters, anti-cops and the fact that Cuban vote is breaking so heavily for Trump and that 225k to 300k becomes a baseline minimum.
Well one thing is for sure, we now know what to expect from Palm Beach County and Broward County when there’s a fair election. Both election supervisors are Republican appointees by Desantis after he cleaned house when he took over in 2019. He canned the impeccably corrupt Brenda Snipes and the slightly more subtle Susan Bucher. There’s a reason they called it the Broward County Vote Factory and the Palm Beach County Hanging Chad Palace.
“For the pubs we know from the primary Trump got over 90 percent of his party’s vote. Biden, less than 50.”
Except that’s not really a fair comparison because the Dems fractured between different candidates for the same party. If Biden was running unopposed in the primary, one would assume his % would be much higher. I suspect instead it is more like 85% of Dems vote for Biden, 95% GOP for Trump.
We're rootin' today for Prez Trump
He's been brilliant this week on the stump
We'll know he's a winner tomorrow
When the Dems will be drowning in sorrow
And Joe will be nursing a big whump in the rump!
Leni/MinuteGal...Florida
Bump....
Well one thing is for sure, we now know what to expect from Palm Beach County and Broward County when there’s a fair election. Both election supervisors are Republican appointees by Desantis after he cleaned house when he took over in 2019. He canned the impeccably corrupt Brenda Snipes and the slightly more subtle Susan Bucher. There’s a reason they called it the Broward County Vote Factory and the Palm Beach County Hanging Chad Palace.
WOW!
True but he also got record turnout for an unopposed candidate.
That 92K lead is now 108K, as of 50 minutes ago.
I don’t like nor trust Cruz.
Remember when pollsters to us Gillium was going to win? And that Scott would lose? We are so blessed.
That 92K lead is now 108K, as of 50 minutes ago.
121,700 lead now :) and that is with about a half dozen counties not in the count.
Bump....and a chump thump....to Creepy Joe, just so you know :-)
Love your poems!!
Thanks - I’ll take any good news I can get.
When I first saw the map, M-D and Broward were white.
Now I see you get breakdowns highlighting a county.
Thanks again. Maybe the times are changing. ;-)
Make that 121k now...
NO!!!!
cRuz just needs to stay here, in TX, and work at keeping his Senate seat.
Too many ahead of Cruz now:
Pence
Noem
DeSantis
just to name a few
Exactly.
He needs to stay put, and work at staying put.
Totally agree with you!
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