Posted on 10/31/2020 5:48:13 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Nate Cohn my boy is onto something:
“Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That’s the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump’s Midwestern sweep”
You credit Nate instead of ol’ Coop? I am miffed!
“In denial.”
Next stage will be Anger.
Finally Acceptance.
From Managing Editor, Sabato’s Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics:
“One of the best polls Trump has got in a long while anywhere. This one was a harbinger of broader Dem problems in the Midwest in 2016”
Boom. Did I say Boom.
“Iowa Poll: Republican Joni Ernst pulls ahead of Democrat Theresa Greenfield in closing days of U.S. Senate race”
And the link for Senate:
Nate Cohn my boy is onto something:
“Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That’s the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump’s Midwestern sweep”
______________________________________________________
So if Trump is just as strong in Iowa as he was 4 years ago, that means that he is likely just as strong in southern MN and SW Wisconsin? Hmm...if Trump’s numbers are the same in those areas, and he is doing better in the Iron Range and the WOW counties in Wisconsin....4 more years! 4 more years!
I was on a roll there.
Have to take a break and fix some hot chocolate.
Short answer is yes. Remember, Trump lost MN by only 1.5 points (with two other Repubs pulling over 3 points) after spending no time/money in the state. This time around he has 60 staff on the ground. I really think Dem Sen. Tina Smith will be out of a job in January, replaced by Jason Lewis.
I’m back. Lets continue the good news.
“WISCONSIN
Trump 50% (+1)
Biden 49%
@atlas_intel, LV, 10/29-30
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201031_WI_AtlasIntel.pdf";
“You credit Nate instead of ol’ Coop? I am miffed!”
You will always be number 1 in my heart.
Luntz late to the party again:
“The same poll also gave Trump a +7 advantage the Saturday before Election Day 2016.
Trump ended up winning Iowa by +9.5 and winning the upper Midwest (Wisconsin and Michigan) for the first time since the 1980s by a GOP candidate.”
“National GE:
Trump 48% (+2)
Biden 46%
@sprystrategies, LV, 10/20-23
https://d7330092-c899-4a57-99e1-9e693f9be711.filesusr.com/ugd/68c3dc_c2bdd359266744cfb25ab11cc106e6f8.pdf";
Schale suppose to put out another blog update tonight.
See what the Dem/Dim view is as the bad news piles up.
“Joni Ernst was -3 in every DMR poll this year. Now +4. Wow. https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1322674945432891393c";
New Dem/Dim take: Don’t need to win PA, just win AZ + something, something, something.
Really good news on Iowa.
I saw Potus and Ol’ Joe are statistically tied in NV according to Trafalgar’s poll. That one the campaign saw and have been pro-active there. If NV and MN and NM are swinging towards red, that’s huge. Whether any or all will tip over, don’t know, but this seems to be developing into a stronger surge than 2016.
Now you re talking!! :-)
On PredictIt
Trump odds improved vs couple of days ago:
AZ, IA, OH, FL
NC still 50/50.
But...but...the polls...THE POLLS!1!
Biden up 17!!!! Hahahaha
“Democrats are growing more anxious about Pennsylvania”
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