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Right now, our model [The Economist] thinks Joe Biden [96%] is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. [2016 on 11/08/16 - Hillary!]
The Economist Magazine ^ | 10/28/20 | Staff Writers

Posted on 10/28/2020 5:45:13 AM PDT by SES1066

I'm posting this to dance on their error in November! Unfortunately I cannot post their graphics as it is a series of interactive charts w/ 1 hour updates. HOWEVER, here is their November 8th 2016 prediction for Hillary-v-Trump; "Hillary Clinton has got this. Probably. Very probably"

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.economist.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: british; election; polling; vote
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This is the link to the publicly viewable 2016 prediction. "The most recent nonpartisan, live-interviewer surveys with strong performance records all put Mrs Clinton ahead, by margins ranging from one (Marist College) to six (Monmouth University) percentage points, with the bulk giving her a four-point lead. Plus ça change, that happens to be precisely Barack Obama’s edge over Mitt Romney in 2012."

Oh, this British-based Mag was also wrong on BREXIT!

1 posted on 10/28/2020 5:45:13 AM PDT by SES1066
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The Economist is a Marxist rag.


2 posted on 10/28/2020 5:49:47 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: SES1066

Record turnout.

Is anyone’s polling taking this into account?

“the norms” don’t hold.

Record turnout is people rising up to say “hell no” or “hell yeah”

But the polls show neck and neck.


3 posted on 10/28/2020 5:50:54 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- "First thing I'd do is repeal those Trump tax cuts." (May 4th, 2019)l)
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To: SES1066

The ECONO-MISSED....................


4 posted on 10/28/2020 5:51:46 AM PDT by Red Badger (Sine Q-Anon.....................very............)
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To: Gene Eric

The Economist has tracked to the left over many years. It used to be pretty good but that was a long time ago.


5 posted on 10/28/2020 5:53:59 AM PDT by Wilhelm Tell (True or False? This is not a tag line.)
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To: SES1066

Is the market sensing a Biden win?

This all is making me very nervous.


6 posted on 10/28/2020 5:55:37 AM PDT by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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To: Wilhelm Tell

Yes, it was once a decent mag, but its prevailing editorial is unacceptable.


7 posted on 10/28/2020 5:57:00 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: SES1066
I actually used to subscribe to the Economist back in the 80’s. They used to be a decent magazine.
Right now I wouldn't even piss on it. And neither would my dog.
It's not even good for pissing on.
They are totally worthless.
They have been worse then useless since before George Bush was in power.
They have predicted the Republicans will lose for every single election I can remember. They were 100% wrong on Brexit (and they are a British magazine), they were 100% wrong on the 2016 elections where they predicted not only would Hilary win, they swore the Dems would take the house and the senate too.
If the Economist says Biden will win, you can bet good money Biden will lose.
Trump WILL win
8 posted on 10/28/2020 5:58:05 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SES1066

Whatever the Deep State is hiding, and wants to keep hidden from the American people, must be so horrendous that they’re going all out to defeat Donald Trump with the use of fake polls, putting a lid on all Biden corruption stories, and putting out puff pieces and op-eds saying Biden has it in the bag to demoralize our side thinking its over. Just like in 2016 they’re about to get another slap in the face, but this time even harder.


9 posted on 10/28/2020 5:59:43 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: SES1066

I’m worried about this election - yes I suspect Biden has a better than even chance of winning. I know too many people who have spent the last four years buying every single thing the MSM has said about Trump.

But, as a Floridian, based on what I’m seeing around here, I would be SHOCKED if Trump lost Florida. The economist is giving Biden a 79% of taking Florida - that’s just laughable. But I’ll admit i have no idea what’s going on in the rest of the country. Most news organizations are talking like Biden will win in a landslide, but my own eyes and what I’m seeing on forums like this one are telling me a different story. It could be I’m living in a right-wing bubble. I don’t know what to believe anymore :)


10 posted on 10/28/2020 5:59:55 AM PDT by shaven_llama
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To: brownsfan
I thought the general consensus was that Wall St. is in the Biden camp...

Could be a good thing...???

11 posted on 10/28/2020 6:03:33 AM PDT by RckyRaCoCo (Please Pray For My Brother Ken)
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To: SES1066

Washington Post says Trump is down by 30 points in Wisconsin. Did I hear that right?


12 posted on 10/28/2020 6:04:24 AM PDT by RushCrush (Prayers up for Rush Hudson Limbaugh)
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To: brownsfan

Robert Barnes, who has a better track record than the Economist and makes money on betting election results, estimated Trump as 75% favored to win as of two days ago. A relevent fact is that early voting surge does not have as many millennials as the Democrats were depending on, and pollsters are way umdersamolingvworking class voters who dont trust system.


13 posted on 10/28/2020 6:04:41 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: SES1066

Any “model” which relies exclusively on leftwing biased media/college polling is of course going to forecast a win for whichever candidate the leftwing biased media/college polling favors. Some “model”.

It’s doesn’t necessarily mean they’re wrong, it just means that they are telling us absolutely nothing new at all.

BTW, you gotta love the “nonpartisan” claim regarding their rigorous 2016 analysis.


14 posted on 10/28/2020 6:11:59 AM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: brownsfan

Futures down 2%


15 posted on 10/28/2020 6:17:09 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: SES1066

The Economist is worthless.


16 posted on 10/28/2020 6:18:30 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: shaven_llama

The media are playing a Covid spike like a fiddle for Biden right now and the stock market has been down the last three days because of the Covid thing.


17 posted on 10/28/2020 6:18:43 AM PDT by lilypad
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To: DarthVader

“Futures down 2%”

Yep, third significantly down day in a row.

Even though many on Wall St. support that idiot Biden, they know electing Biden will tank the market. Higher taxes and more regulation will do that.


18 posted on 10/28/2020 6:22:32 AM PDT by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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To: brownsfan

Even though many on Wall St. support that idiot Biden, they know electing Biden will tank the market. Higher taxes and more regulation will do that.

________________________________________________

To the contrary, crony capitalism is loved by Wall Street. They are not giving their money to Biden for nothing.


19 posted on 10/28/2020 6:30:15 AM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: Bishop_Malachi

“To the contrary, crony capitalism is loved by Wall Street. They are not giving their money to Biden for nothing.”

Excellent point, I stand corrected.


20 posted on 10/28/2020 6:31:08 AM PDT by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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