Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Right now, our model [The Economist] thinks Joe Biden [96%] is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. [2016 on 11/08/16 - Hillary!]
The Economist Magazine ^ | 10/28/20 | Staff Writers

Posted on 10/28/2020 5:45:13 AM PDT by SES1066

I'm posting this to dance on their error in November! Unfortunately I cannot post their graphics as it is a series of interactive charts w/ 1 hour updates. HOWEVER, here is their November 8th 2016 prediction for Hillary-v-Trump; "Hillary Clinton has got this. Probably. Very probably"

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.economist.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: british; election; polling; vote
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-35 last
To: Gene Eric
The Economist was reasonably good years ago....
These days it won't make good toilet paper.....
21 posted on 10/28/2020 6:38:53 AM PDT by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: shaven_llama

“I suspect Biden has a better than even chance of winning.”

My husband is extremely worried, too. I can’t drum up that feeling at ALL for some reason. The moment I reach a bit anxious is when my thought process arrives at “they cheat”. Otherwise, I don’t see how Biden can possibly win. Of course, I could be overlooking some huge factor.


22 posted on 10/28/2020 6:48:03 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Political Correctness: The inability to speak truth to the obvious. - Bongino)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SES1066

23 posted on 10/28/2020 6:50:04 AM PDT by Patriot_MP (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Gene Eric
The Economist is a Marxist rag.

Partner, there is agreement in your statement above.

24 posted on 10/28/2020 6:52:47 AM PDT by TheConservativeTejano (The Business of America is Business...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RushCrush

Washington Post says Trump is down by 30 points in Wisconsin. Did I hear that right?
____________
No.... I think the number was 47 points/


25 posted on 10/28/2020 6:53:03 AM PDT by hecticskeptic
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Patriot_MP

Partner, you have the best picture of the year.

26 posted on 10/28/2020 6:54:00 AM PDT by TheConservativeTejano (The Business of America is Business...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: hecticskeptic

How can they be serious. Is this just me?


27 posted on 10/28/2020 7:41:47 AM PDT by RushCrush (Prayers up for Rush Hudson Limbaugh)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: SES1066

Only model that matters belongs to Helmut Norpoth. His model predicted Trump’s 2016 win and 2020 as well.


28 posted on 10/28/2020 8:17:35 AM PDT by CARTOUCHE (This response has been peer reviewed.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RushCrush

Sorry, should have put a sarc/ alert on....


29 posted on 10/28/2020 8:24:45 AM PDT by hecticskeptic
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: SES1066

So delusional!


30 posted on 10/28/2020 10:03:42 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: brownsfan

Why would you think the ‘markets’ know something we don’t. They are just people!


31 posted on 10/28/2020 10:04:28 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MayflowerMadam

No, Biden’s campaign is dead. Nov 3rd we will hear the same excuses we heard in 2016, ‘how did the polls get is so wrong’!


32 posted on 10/28/2020 10:06:05 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: fortheDeclaration

“Why would you think the ‘markets’ know something we don’t. They are just people!”

I didn’t say that. I just wondered if they were acting on the supposition of a Biden win. The Wall St. types control a lot of money, and can mess with my 401k value, so what they think matters.


33 posted on 10/28/2020 10:11:50 AM PDT by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Gene Eric

The Economist stopped being relevant at least 25 years ago.


34 posted on 10/28/2020 2:43:01 PM PDT by WASCWatch
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: brownsfan

Market being down means nothing. The market doesn’t like uncertainty. When Trump wins, these losses will be recovered in two days, at most. Might recoverable later this week as the pollsters try to recover what little they have left of their reputation.


35 posted on 10/28/2020 2:50:00 PM PDT by WASCWatch
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-35 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson