Posted on 10/28/2020 5:45:13 AM PDT by SES1066
I'm posting this to dance on their error in November! Unfortunately I cannot post their graphics as it is a series of interactive charts w/ 1 hour updates. HOWEVER, here is their November 8th 2016 prediction for Hillary-v-Trump; "Hillary Clinton has got this. Probably. Very probably"
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.economist.com ...
“I suspect Biden has a better than even chance of winning.”
My husband is extremely worried, too. I can’t drum up that feeling at ALL for some reason. The moment I reach a bit anxious is when my thought process arrives at “they cheat”. Otherwise, I don’t see how Biden can possibly win. Of course, I could be overlooking some huge factor.
Washington Post says Trump is down by 30 points in Wisconsin. Did I hear that right?
____________
No.... I think the number was 47 points/
How can they be serious. Is this just me?
Only model that matters belongs to Helmut Norpoth. His model predicted Trump’s 2016 win and 2020 as well.
Sorry, should have put a sarc/ alert on....
So delusional!
Why would you think the ‘markets’ know something we don’t. They are just people!
No, Biden’s campaign is dead. Nov 3rd we will hear the same excuses we heard in 2016, ‘how did the polls get is so wrong’!
“Why would you think the markets know something we dont. They are just people!”
I didn’t say that. I just wondered if they were acting on the supposition of a Biden win. The Wall St. types control a lot of money, and can mess with my 401k value, so what they think matters.
The Economist stopped being relevant at least 25 years ago.
Market being down means nothing. The market doesn’t like uncertainty. When Trump wins, these losses will be recovered in two days, at most. Might recoverable later this week as the pollsters try to recover what little they have left of their reputation.
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