Posted on 10/27/2020 5:24:24 PM PDT by Coop
...Why do we think the Trump campaign is seizing on this opportunity to grab Virginia’s 13 Electoral College votes?
First, the polls are tightening. The most recent Judy Ford Watson Center for Public Policy (Christopher Newport University) poll has Biden with only a five-point lead on Trump among likely Virginia voters. It is a significant change from the double-digit lead Biden held in the spring and over the summer.
Second, the Trump campaign’s ground game and voter outreach is outclassing Biden’s. The Virginia Trump Victory effort has already been in contact with over 2.1 million voters via phone banking and door knocking, especially in the Northern Virginia suburbs. This is over half of Virginia’s voters and compares to a minimal effort by the Democrats this cycle. In 2016, Northern Virginia residents were besieged by mailings and union and liberal special interest groups undertaking extensive door-knocking campaigns for Hillary Clinton. Not this year. The Biden ground game and enthusiasm are a shell of Democrats’ historic efforts.
Third, President Trump has made real inroads with minority communities. Black voters make up one-fifth of the state’s electorate, and President Trump is moving the needle with Black (and Latino) male voters. As a Politico headline stated, “Biden’s weakness with Black and Latino men creates an opening for Trump.”...
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
Crush the Dems!
Ping
2A movement could bring VA home
That, along with the full frontal assault on monuments from American history (and not just Confederate).
Boo yah!
Rubbing Joe’s face with the loss of Pennsylvania will be enough
I have had "TJ" High School students in my church youth group in years past. I am hoping that the antics of the Fairfax County teachers' union and screwel board finally wake up some of the Karens around here. But I am not holding my breath.
Nonsense! There’s always room for more gloating.
When you get down to it and cast away all the biased polling and look at objective sources, Trump wins Virginia.
It doesn’t mention what percentage of the primary vote Trump got in VA this year. Anybody know?
I have seen many people stating that there’s no way Pres. Trump can win VA, that’s it’s “deep blue” or other such comments. I find such opinions misinformed at best. In 2016 Trump lost VA by 4.9 points, with Gov/Sen Tim Kaine on the Dem ticket. Johnson earned 3.0% of the vote, while McMullin took another 1.4%. Stein only took 0.7%, presumably from Clinton. For simplicity’s sake, presume all GOP votes go to Trump and all lib votes go to Biden. Suddenly that 4.9-point deficit becomes only 1.2 points. 4.9 minus Johnson/McMullin (3.0+1.4) = 0.5, add on Stein’s 0.7 = 1.2. A much more manageable deficit, even if northern VA is blue.
And neither Biden nor Harris are from VA. I was encouraged by Trump’s visit to Newport News. He was trying to help Scott Taylor (VA-02) and Nick Freitas (VA-07) flip a couple of House seats to take the gavel away from Pelosi. If the Trump campaign made a real play (read: $$) for VA’s votes, I’m confident he’d win. But since he doesn’t need VA’s 13 votes to win re-election, I’m not sure if VA ultimately falls into his column. By the way, US Army LTC Daniel Gade is the Republican trying to take Mark Warner’s Senate seat away from him.
Sadly Pres. Trump received 0% of the votes in VA's primary.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-primary-elections/virginia-results
(It was only for Democrats.)
I don’t see how Trump takes Virginia- the commies and angry women’s marchers here in Fairfax County are in full revenge mode.
ha, ha, duh! As Emily Litella said, “Never mind.”
I am NOT “calling” VA for Trump but here are the numbers:
*If 15% of blacks vote for Trump, and another 5% stay home, you’re looking a a shortfall of about 50-,000-60,000 voters.
*If, as I suggested earlier, the 18-24 student shortfall is 30% off 2018 levels, that’s another 40,000. That puts you at about 90,000-100,000 of the 125,000 voters Trump has to flip.
Wishful thinking for Trump to take Virginia. Northam and his band are fairly popular with the voters. Freitas doesn’t stand a chance taking the seat from Spanberger. She must be immensely popular from all the signs I see in Richmond. Rarely spot a Freitas yard sign.
Man I’m hopeful about VA
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