Posted on 10/26/2020 7:13:04 AM PDT by dynoman
Nate Silver has a do-it-yourself election map that we can use for our own projections.
Post your projection!!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/
Arrange the map to what you think the resuult will be and post it!!
Join in the fun!
https://www.270towin.com/ is also a good place to explore numerous options.Each state is clickable to read Trump,Plugs or tossup.Easy to use.
Your linked site is the one I use. I would rather avoid Nate Silver’s site, thank you very much.
Looks like Nate is trying to see what other people are thinking.
He may be doubting his own predation of a Biden win.
Nate predict a 12% chance of a Trump win.
I believe he had it at a 4% or less four years ago...
Some putzes never learn.
I avoid Silver/538 site/content/methodology as well.
For the record Nate Silver has not been correct in a long time.
He got one or two rigged elections right because his exboyfriend at the time was in on the Obama scam to steal the election.
This is why Nate would never share how he came up with his data. Which was very suspicious since most people the same field DO share their methods, and are proud of it.
Nate did not share is method because Nate did not have a method. He just got the scam info from his boyfriend at the time who was high up in the Obama Administration.
Nate has been off every election since he broke up with his boyfriend a decade ago.
Even ESPN hired Nate. He was so bad and off they let him ago.
I would not waste my time with this pseudo pollster. He is a conman.
I feel less confident about Pennsylvania than I did a while ago, due to intense DNC concentration on vote fraud there and the decision by the Dread Pirate Roberts. But I believe Biden would have to be very lucky to win all of the indicated tossup states and that NH, WI and MI have now slipped away from his party's grasp.
The Cartoon Network. Barforama.
Nate Silver is a Democratic Party hack.
He stopped being relevant long ago.
I know Nate has been wrong, and will be wrong again. His interactive map is fun because we can make a map more accurate than his model will be.
I predict:
Trump....314
F’head....194
RE: Your map
Even if Biden takes PA: 20, MN: 10 and NV: 6.
That would be 213 + 20 + 10 + 6 = 249 for Biden. Still not enough to get to the magic 270 eV’s.
Wouldn’t it be hilarious if Trump won California? LOL
There have been some pretty big Trump caravans out there.
High-324. Low-294
That would be great. I would be surprised, but I do think republicans will take back some house seats there.
He predicts 12%, but move just one major borderline state into the Trump column and see what happens. Michigan, for example - move that to Trump, and Nate suddenly says Trump is 87% likely to win, just based on that one state.
I have Trump with 334 votes
I like to see that he wins with neither PA or MN. Either or both would be nice. Good cushion.
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Click the map to create your own at