2020 as of 09/30/2020
Dems - 603,039 (45.4% of state)
Reps - 413,605 (31.1% of state)
Others - 312,231 (23.5% of state)
Dem gain 2016-2020: +3,226
Rep gain 2016-2020: +13,675
Other gain 2016-2020: +22,554
Results from last 3 elections
2008: D - 56.91%, R - 41.78%
2012: D 52.99%, R- 42.84%
2016: D 48.26%, R- 40.04%, L 9.34%
The Dem vote has gone down 3 straight elections. In 2016 Libertarian Gary Johnson (former Rep Governor of New Mexico) receive 74,541 votes. Trump + Johnson exceeded Clintons vote.
In 2008, the Libertarian candidate only received 2,428 votes.
Clinton beat Trump by 65,567.
New Mexicos 2016 turnout was 55% Voting Eligible Population (Ranked 45th highest in US).
State Facts
New Mexico has a higher percentage of Latino residents than any other state.
In 2008 Taos opened its slopes to snowboarders, ending one of the longest standing bans on single-plank riding in the worlds resort industry. Ending the ban, is widely recognized as a sad chapter in American history.
Outlook
While New Mexico leans towards Biden right now, New Mexico could surprise in November. Expect the results to be much closer than 2016 with Johnson not on the ballot. Possibly a 1-2 point race.
ping
Correct me if I’m wrong but, I believe that NM passed a law that their Electorial College votes would go to whoever won the popular vote. I believe Colorado did the same.
Dumb! Dumb! That means those running for POTUS couln’t care less about those states.
Trump needs to be running on protecting fracking here. Southeastern New Mexico is part of the Permian Basin. Fracking is a source of high paying jobs in that area. Without it all they have is some spotty agriculture and the tourist attractions in Carlsbad and Roswell. If you travel there you will see obscure places like Jal NM that are boom towns now, 20 years ago they were a flyspeck on the map. Also 30 to 40 percent of New Mexico’s state revenue comes directly form oil and gas taxes. Without fracking you are looking at massive cuts to education and other state services. Also, New Mexico’s governor is an idiot. Rumor has it she was on Biden short list for VP but he managed to find a bigger fool to run with. She is one of these far left loons that appeals to the hippie dippy types you find in Santa Fe and Taos. She actually ran on banning fracking and then had to change her tune once she got in office.
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Trump has a chance of carrying NM. Better chance than CO. Who da thought?
LOL, and yes, NM could go for Trump.
Its early but, “more New Mexico registered Republicans have voted in-person early than Democrats”
https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1316439209465573376/photo/1