Biden up by 10 in Wisconsin????Cmon man!
If this poll is anywhere close to reality, America is doomed.
When they steal the election they will point to these polls as proof Biden was way ahead. We’re in for a fight.
31% D, 31% R and yet Biden up by a whopping %10 in Wisconsin?
This can only happen if the Independents are breaking 3-2 for the Rat or a lot of these R’s are really D’s.
Either way, this poll is NOT credible.
I might normally says these polls are garbage, but we have been down this road before. One election, the polls are garbage, and so we assume they are garbage for the next election, but it turns out the polling companies adjust their polls and get it more right than the last time, so who knows, who knows..
If we don’t believe polls (especially ones that don’t go in our favor) why do we post them or read them? If we don’t believe polls, why do we like ones that go in our favor? Since it is obvious polls are designed to create a narrative and really are useless for the variety of reasons previously posted by many, why do we post them or pay attention to them?
Oh look, the Soros sucking Satanist is back again cherry picking polls. Notice that nwrep only posts “polls” from organizations with a bad track record and a Democrat house effect. You never seen him post Trafalgar polls (which were the most accurate polls in 2016 AND 2018) and you never seen him post Rasmussen polls except when the results were down.
It is abundantly clear that nwrep is a Soros-sucking troll. There are a few of these clowns on here and they’ve been here a long time so they get a pass to play their games.
Scroll trough nwrep’s posting history and you will see what I am talking about.
It’s pretty clear that he hates the President and he replies with snarky comment after snarky comment and only posts negative poll results because his only goal is to demoralize and paint Biden as inevitable.
I've been called and after they determine I'm conservative they stop asking questions.
I hate to give FiveThirtyEight hits, but they had Hillary with an 83.5% chance of winning Wisconsin in 2016. I guess the question is ‘What is the goal of pollsters?’.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Clinton (D)
|
Trump (R)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 46.5 | 47.2 | Trump +0.7 |
| RCP Average | 10/26 - 11/2 | -- | -- | 46.8 | 40.3 | Clinton +6.5 |
| Remington Research (R)* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 2720 LV | 1.9 | 49 | 41 | Clinton +8 |
| Loras* | 10/31 - 11/1 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 44 | 38 | Clinton +6 |
| Marquette* | 10/26 - 10/31 | 1225 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 40 | Clinton +6 |
| Remington Research (R)* | 10/30 - 10/30 | 1172 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 42 | Clinton +4 |
| Emerson* | 10/26 - 10/27 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 48 | 42 | Clinton +6 |
| Remington Research (R)* | 10/20 - 10/22 | 1795 LV | 2.3 | 46 | 41 | Clinton +5 |
| Monmouth* | 10/15 - 10/18 | 403 LV | 4.9 | 47 | 40 | Clinton +7 |
| WPR/St. Norbert* | 10/13 - 10/16 | 644 LV | 3.8 | 47 | 39 | Clinton +8 |
| Marquette | 10/6 - 10/9 | 878 LV | 3.9 | 46 | 42 | Clinton +4 |
| CBS News/YouGov* | 10/5 - 10/7 | 993 LV | 4.3 | 43 | 39 | Clinton +4 |
| Loras* | 10/4 - 10/5 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 43 | 35 | Clinton +8 |
| Gravis* | 10/4 - 10/4 | 1102 RV | 3.0 | 48 | 40 | Clinton +8 |
| Emerson* | 9/19 - 9/20 | 700 LV | 3.6 | 45 | 38 | Clinton +7 |
There is something wrong with recent polls. After Labor Day, most polling organization switch to Likely Voter polls rather than Registered Voter polls. The they apply their model to determine who will go to the polls. Normally, the likely voter population is 3-5% higher Republican than the registered voter population.
These recent polls show no real difference between the likely and registered voter polls. Why is this? We could say that the polling organization could be manipulating the data. That’s possible, but I suspect something else.
Many Trump voters are not responding to polls and, if they are responding, they are not saying what they intend to do. There fore, those who respond do not trigger the likely voter model. I believe that polls will continue to be very unreliable right up to election days. Additionally, polls will not capture voter fraud that is a centralized and systematic scheme this year. How success this will be we cannot know, so the ultimate outcome is very much in doubt.
They forgot the X in Marist.
So the poll is telling us that 30% of the voters are college degree holders and all of them will vote for Biden.
Cause a leprechaun riding a unicorn told them so.
From link:
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump in three key battleground states after the conclusion of the political conventions, including in all-important Ohio, according to a trio of new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.
This misinformation brought to you by the makers of ANTIFA/BLM terrorism.
You'll find them on the streets and in local restaurants and businesses near you
If Biden is up this big in MI and WI, that translates to him winning nationwide by about 12 points.
Can’t really buy that, but I guess we’ll find out in a month.
the large numbers of independents in the polls help Biden, because independents are overwhelmingly for Biden, but unenthusiastically so.
The enthusiasm gap between Trump voters and Biden voters is partly contained in this fact. Many independents voting for Biden are really just enthusiastically voting against Trump.