Posted on 09/25/2020 11:50:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is the odds-on favorite to win the U.S. election against President Donald Trump, according to an average of 7 different forecast models released on Thursday.
Presidential elections in the U.S. are not decided by who gets the most votes. In order to actually win the contest, a candidate must receive a majority of votes in the Electoral College. There are a total of 538 individuals from each state who decide which candidate becomes president. Candidates need at least 270 Electoral College votes to clinch the presidency.
While those electors often follow the popular vote, that has not always been the case. In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote against Trump, gaining 48.2 percent of the vote to Trump's 46.1 percent. However, Trump picked up 306 Electoral College votes to Clinton's 232 votes, making Trump the president.
In each of Thursday's seven election forecast models, Biden was projected to win both the popular vote and the Electoral College. As averaged together by the website Election Dice, those models predicted that Trump has a 17.9 percent chance of winning while Biden has an 81.8 percent chance of winning. Biden's odds of victory are projected to be nearly five times greater than that of President Trump's.
Data from The Economist showed Biden holding an 8-point lead over Trump, 54 percent to 46 percent respectively. Biden was projected to get 335 votes in the Electoral College, more than the 270 votes needed to become president. Trump was projected to receive 203 electoral votes.
Polling site FiveThirtyEight placed Biden ahead of Trump in the popular vote. Biden held 52.7 percentage points to President Trump's 46 percent. Based on those numbers, Biden was projected to receive 328 votes in the Electoral College
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
I guess that means Trump supporters need to try harder and Democrats needn’t bother to donate or vote.
Wow, just like Hillary
What?! You don’t trust rcp.com? LOL!
Same models that said Cankles had a 98% probability of winning.
First: is that true?
Second: Would you not think they would would have fixed whatever made them get it so wrong considering theres real money at stake?
I really hope your statement is true because there is a ton of discouragement floating out there today.
Five times? Might as well make it 5,000 so the loons will be really miffed when Trump wins in a landslide.
Not remotely possible with an incumbent whose approval rating is above 50%.
It’s ground prep for the attempt to steal this.
Aren’t these the same models that gave Hillary a 95% chance? Biden is in DEEP TROUBLE at <90%!!!! Look for Trump to garner 335 EVs.
bkmked
Noosweak.
Can you make one thing propaganda media did not lie about since the day Trump came down the Trump Tower escalator?
I’ve seen maybe 3 Hidey Ho signs around here, in San Jose CA. I have seen way more Trump Banners, stickers, car magnets and whatnot.
Duly noted.
I do not know if Covid hurt Trump, but I find it very hard to believe Biden is more popular than Hillary at this point.
This is 100% gaslighting
Looking at Stossel’s map Trump is only PENN and one more midwest state away from winning. In fact he could win with PENN and say New Hampshire.
Fake media at its finest.
Election night, I was watching some site that had a percentage meter that updated in real time as the counts came in.
It started at 99% for Hitlery and I watched it slowly and surely keep dropping until he hit 50% and then it just rolled.
I want some f what they smoke!!!
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