Posted on 09/12/2020 9:36:12 AM PDT by Ravi
DEMS: 2,769,923
REPS: 2,004,328
UNAFFILIATEDS: 1,642,118
LIBERTARIANS: 16,200
DEMS: 2,676,253
REPS: 2,031,678
UNAFFILIATEDS: 1,978,589
LIBERTARIANS: 29,507
DEMS: 2,549,307
REPS: 2,134,217
UNAFFILIATEDS: 2,368,123
LIBERTARIANS: 42,312
CONSTITUTION: 3,966
GREENS: 2,813
DEMS: 2,552,636
REPS: 2,141,306
UNAFFILIATEDS: 2,374,167
LIBERTARIANS: 42,591
CONSTITUTION: 4,030
GREENS: 2,880
DEMS: -123,617
REPS: +109,628
UNAFFILIATEDS: +395,578
DEMS: +3,329
REPS: +7,089
UNAFFILIATEDS: +6,044
Not bad. Unaffiliateds in Blue Counties tend to vote for the Blue team and Unaffiliateds in Red Counties tend to vote for the Red team. I didn't post this but the Unaffiliateds appear to be disbursed pretty evenly throughout the state and not just concentrated in Blue Counties (Durham, Mecklenburg, Wake, etc). They will vote pretty much how their particular county votes so that's important to know. Also couple of interesting things to me - first there is now a Constitution and Green Party in North Carolina that have active voters (who knew) and the next is important. This particular week in 2016 the DEMS were out-registering the REPS. The situation is completely reversed this time - the REPS are out-registering the DEMS. This is huge to me. The Dem voter registration machine is failing big-time compared to 2016 and voter registration closes in 4 weeks so there is not much time left. A similar situation is playing out in Florida.
Just as a side note I wish all states would let you pick a team like some states do - it would make analysis a whole lot easier.
ping
Thats a lot of new unaffiliated.
It was only when Trump came on the scene that I switched to Republican. So that I could vote for him in the primaries.
...
Bookmark.
DEMS: 26,980
REPS: 35,001
UNAFFILIATEDS: 32,117
Either Trump won this county with 62.5% of the vote with the help of cross-over DEMS or with the help of the UNAFFILIATEDS or a combination of both. He didn't win it just with registered Republicans. That's important. The unaffiliateds in this particular county have now increased to 39,994 as of today.
yep Pennsylvania updates early next week. That will be my next post!
Libertarians are gonna F it up for the whole country
Thanks
I’ve been unaffiliated since Bush’s second term. I got fed up with the republican party though as another poster stated, I vote republican 100% of the time.
A few years ago, NC changed the rules and Unaffiliated can choose to vote in either the D or R primary.
It is crazy not to register Unaffiliated with this rule.
I am Unaffiliated and voted for Bernie in the primary and will vote straight R in the general election (I will vote about the 4th day of early voting at the Carrboro courthouse using an OpScan paper ballot).
Don’t read too much into the numbers. Strategic thinkers are registering Unaffiliated so they have more impact on the outcome.
That’s good to know.
Im not so sure about that this year. Jorgensen is way more left than Johnson was in 2016. Shes going to pull votes from Democrats who cant stomach Biden.
“The Dem voter registration machine is failing big-time”
I’ve been saying, for all the damage of the pandemic, the pandemic has blunted the usual DEM registration drives that normally occur in the run up to an election.
The pandemic is also costing DEMs money and manpower from unions. Union dues are down. Union “volunteers” aren’t knocking on doors. NV is a prime example.
It looks to me like a number of Democrats have shifted to Unaffiliated or Independent. Maybe the Democrats’ mad dash to being explicitly left (as opposed to pretending to be moderate) is turning people off.
Primary in March 2020. The changes since then especially when compared to 2016 around same time is especially significant.
Definitely some truth to that
My suspicion is that the Democrat shortfall is largely due to drops in new registrations in college towns. Have you compared 2016 v. 2020 in counties with large colleges?
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