DEMS: -123,617
REPS: +109,628
UNAFFILIATEDS: +395,578
DEMS: +3,329
REPS: +7,089
UNAFFILIATEDS: +6,044
Not bad. Unaffiliateds in Blue Counties tend to vote for the Blue team and Unaffiliateds in Red Counties tend to vote for the Red team. I didn't post this but the Unaffiliateds appear to be disbursed pretty evenly throughout the state and not just concentrated in Blue Counties (Durham, Mecklenburg, Wake, etc). They will vote pretty much how their particular county votes so that's important to know. Also couple of interesting things to me - first there is now a Constitution and Green Party in North Carolina that have active voters (who knew) and the next is important. This particular week in 2016 the DEMS were out-registering the REPS. The situation is completely reversed this time - the REPS are out-registering the DEMS. This is huge to me. The Dem voter registration machine is failing big-time compared to 2016 and voter registration closes in 4 weeks so there is not much time left. A similar situation is playing out in Florida.
Just as a side note I wish all states would let you pick a team like some states do - it would make analysis a whole lot easier.
ping
Thats a lot of new unaffiliated.
Bookmark.
Libertarians are gonna F it up for the whole country
Thanks
A few years ago, NC changed the rules and Unaffiliated can choose to vote in either the D or R primary.
It is crazy not to register Unaffiliated with this rule.
I am Unaffiliated and voted for Bernie in the primary and will vote straight R in the general election (I will vote about the 4th day of early voting at the Carrboro courthouse using an OpScan paper ballot).
Don’t read too much into the numbers. Strategic thinkers are registering Unaffiliated so they have more impact on the outcome.
“The Dem voter registration machine is failing big-time”
I’ve been saying, for all the damage of the pandemic, the pandemic has blunted the usual DEM registration drives that normally occur in the run up to an election.
The pandemic is also costing DEMs money and manpower from unions. Union dues are down. Union “volunteers” aren’t knocking on doors. NV is a prime example.
My suspicion is that the Democrat shortfall is largely due to drops in new registrations in college towns. Have you compared 2016 v. 2020 in counties with large colleges?
Makes you wonder how a Republican wins in that State. Sure Unaffiliated must break for Republican’s that and some of the RATS must be of that dying breed > Blue Dog that votes to the right of center often.
Bookmark
Interesting... Where can I get info on parties from other states?