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How could Iran retaliate for Natanz explosion? - analysis
Jerusalem Post ^ | July 7, 2020 | Seth J. Frantzman

Posted on 07/07/2020 4:35:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv

[Tehran] is in a difficult position because it labeled the explosion an accident, but it is now facing a deluge of foreign media reports seeking to conclude that the explosion was perpetrated by a state or group.

This is what Iran's regime is reading: Major media from The New York Times to The Washington Post and local media such as Kuwait's Al-Jarida have all sought to assert that Israel was involved in the mysterious July 2 explosion at a warehouse in the Natanz nuclear enrichment facility... [t]hat could set back the program for months or a year.

Iran, however, is at a crossroads in other ways. It has sent tankers to Venezuela to boost gas trade. It's supporters in Iraq may have gunned down a well-known local commentator named Husham al-Hashimi. Iran is also benefiting from a UN expert opinion that deemed the US killing of IRGC Quds Force head Qasem Soleimani an 'unlawful' killing. The Islamic Republic has also triggered a dispute mechanism regarding the 2015 Iran deal.

That means Iran must weigh any response to the Natanz explosion against military and political fallout...

(Excerpt) Read more at jpost.com ...


TOPICS: Cuba; Egypt; Israel; Russia; Syria; US: District of Columbia; US: New York; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: aljarida; cuba; districtofcolumbia; djibouti; egypt; erdogan; eritrea; fordow; gaza; hamas; hushamalhashimi; iaea; iran; iraq; irgc; isis; israel; jeffbezos; jerusalem; jordan; kaboom; kurdistan; kuwait; letshavejerusalem; mohammadjavadzarif; natanz; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; nicaragua; parchin; qasemsoleimani; qudsforce; receptayyiperdogan; russia; sinai; sudan; syria; tehran; turkey; venezuela; waronterror; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost; yemen
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IOW, Israel's timing was perfect.

View of a damage building after a fire broke out at Iran's Natanz Nuclear Facility, in Isfahan, Iran, July 2, 2020. (photo credit: Reuters)

View of a damage building after a fire broke out at Iran's Natanz Nuclear Facility, in Isfahan, Iran, July 2, 2020. (photo credit: Reuters)

1 posted on 07/07/2020 4:35:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Hey, those technicians were warned more than once about 'pull my finger'...

2 posted on 07/07/2020 4:36:35 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv

I guess they will make all kinds of threats.


3 posted on 07/07/2020 4:37:57 PM PDT by yarddog ( For I am persuaded.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Eff Persia


4 posted on 07/07/2020 4:39:29 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Persian bards made me pick up arms under Jimmy carter.


5 posted on 07/07/2020 4:41:23 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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Mystery fire at Iranian nuclear facility is the latest in a series of unexplained incidents
Analysis by Nick Paton Walsh, CNN
Updated 3:39 PM ET, Mon July 6, 2020
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/06/middleeast/iran-nuclear-plant-fire-analysis-intl/index.html

This satellite image from Planet Labs Inc. shows the substantial damage done by an explosion and a fire at an advanced centrifuge assembly plant at Iran’s Natanz nuclear site.
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/200706145042-iran-natanz-nuclear-site-restricted-large-169.jpg


6 posted on 07/07/2020 4:41:57 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv

From what I have seen over the last 50 years, Israel must have a policy of always retaliating.

I wish the U.S. did. We owe Iran big time.


7 posted on 07/07/2020 4:43:27 PM PDT by yarddog ( For I am persuaded.)
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The Curious Case of the Exploding Iranian Nuclear Site
Iran now admits that a fire at the Natanz nuclear site destroyed a centrifuge assembly center, prompting speculation of outside interference.
By Colm Quinn
July 6, 2020, 4:47 AM
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/07/06/explosion-iran-nuclear-site-natanz-macron-dominican-croatia/

Iran leaders under pressure to react to Natanz explosion
Iran has taken on a two-pronged strategy in response to a convergence of pressures, upping diplomatic confrontations and moving forward on its nuclear program.
By LAHAV HARKOV  
JULY 7, 2020 01:57
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-leaders-under-pressure-to-react-to-natanz-explosion-634059


8 posted on 07/07/2020 4:45:39 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv

How great it is to be a muslime

If you screw up big time just blame it on your enemies.

You’d blame it on them if they did it or not, anyways.


9 posted on 07/07/2020 4:46:47 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: yarddog

Yes! You sound like me. We will collect on that debt one day, I’m sure.
The days of handling Iran with kid gloves is over!


10 posted on 07/07/2020 4:46:50 PM PDT by sgt_lau (Being tolerant to the most intolerant people on the planet is a losing proposition. Reject islam.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Obama is very sad about this.


11 posted on 07/07/2020 4:49:11 PM PDT by bkopto
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To: SunkenCiv
[Natanz explosion]



Kramer: "That's a shame!"
12 posted on 07/07/2020 4:51:02 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: mylife

“ Persian bards made me pick up arms under Jimmy carter.”

Same here.


13 posted on 07/07/2020 4:55:04 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Cloward-Piven is finally upon us.)
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The real Chinese virus is the U.N.

14 posted on 07/07/2020 4:55:21 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv
Iran is also benefiting from a UN expert opinion that deemed the US killing of IRGC Quds Force head Qasem Soleimani an 'unlawful' killing.

Oh, screw this UN guy!

He should be next on the Predator target list. Make it happen in his office at the Hague.

15 posted on 07/07/2020 4:59:55 PM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The prisons do not fill themselves. Get moving, Barr!)
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To: yarddog
One of the articles I've scanned in the past 15 minutes or so (perhaps one of those I linked up there) mentioned your very point -- Israel has hit Iranian assets in Syria at least 1K times, and the Iranians have talked big about retaliation. They know that if they had a little too much success with that, Israel would knock out the Hizzies' missile stockpile (which they're obviously going to do anyway, but on their own schedule), or behead the Iranian mullahcracy while the rest of the region (even Assad) danced and sang.

16 posted on 07/07/2020 5:00:11 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Carter. Despite Reagan here we are.


17 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:27 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Alas Babylon!
It should be more subtle than that, like, the UN a-hole chokes on his or her food in the last of a long line of expense-accounted lunches in one of the NYC's finest restaurants.

18 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:51 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Thanks for posting! I had not heard about the Explosion.


19 posted on 07/07/2020 5:02:39 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: SunkenCiv

Burn an American Flag and shout Death to America ? LOL


20 posted on 07/07/2020 5:07:07 PM PDT by butlerweave
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