Posted on 06/27/2020 7:56:35 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 101
As of 06/26/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Global 10 millionth Case Declared 06/27/2020
On the Global Scene, there have now been over 10 million COVID-19 cases
declared.
At the present time there are 4,119,941 cases still Active.
New Cases Affected by Big Day of Testing, Increased positive Percentage
There were 618,534 tests run on Friday. That's 26.64% more testing than the
average. This 26.64% over average level of testing, means 12,863 new Cases may
have come from nothing more than the elevated level of testing. If we reduced
the Declared Cases for the day by that much, the new number would be 35,417
That's not the whole story though. The positive percentage of testing has risen
from a daily figure of 5.464% the week before, to 7.806% yesterday. That's
spread of 2.342%. If we take the normal average of tests and calculate how
much that 2.342% of it is, it would account for 11,439 additional cases.
If we take the 12,863 from increased testing and subtract the 11,439 run up
due to more positives, the difference wold be 1,444. That's not statistially
sizeable enough to be concerned about.
These things do fluctuate also, so nothing is static related to these numbers.
Still, there are times when we must stop in and address issues.
China Decides to Play the 'Who Did the Most Testing Game?"
China evidently got a little jealous of the United States number of test
reported out, since the raw number dwarfed all the other nations. Yesterday
China reported out 90,410,000 tests so far.
I removed that number form the Testing Sorting area of Nations vs Nations, for
several reasons.
China has been abysmal from the very start with its reporting. Then there's
the issue of the number they chose to make public. Every other nation reports
out numbers to the last digit. China's number as you can see, isn't rounded
from single digits to tens, hundreds, or thousands. It's rounded to at least
the ten thousandth place. Nonsense. It' a bogus number.
FAIL!
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United Staetes of America
Here we go...
I addressed factors that affect New Case declaration in the U. S., up in
Section 01, Commentaries.
Elevated levels of testing and an inreased level of postive percentages
offset each other, creating a fairly decent reporting day.
This was our highest ever single day reporting level of New Cases. It topped
the 41,723 day on 06/05.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active cases are once again going up at an increased clip. You can check out
the progression there.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been dropping recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
We're struggling here. Yesterday was a mixed bag.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point withone.
Note that this presents the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Clearly the single, seven, and fourteen day lines are goig up.
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that.
Take a look at those positive testing percentages, where they have been and
where we are now. Not good. The popultion has more positives in their midst
right now.
What comes to mind, is a question of accuracy in testing.
Not liking the new direction here.
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
Here we see Active and Resolved lines getting closer day by day. it may not
continue to get closer the way we're going.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
Highest single gain in Declared Cases yesterday. Wow...
Fata.lities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
For your review...
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
This indicator (that middle number) is still rising. Remember, the US has been
broken out from the global scene here and China has also. That fact prevents
our numbers for tainting this area.
Inching (or is that yardsticking) back up there to rival last week's numbers.
Ouch! That hurts...
These charts are now not only seeing growth internationally, but domestically
as well. We are in uncharted territory right now.
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the U. S. version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new declared Cases. These are remaing active cases.
That single day line is active, up and down, or should I say up and up more.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
Everyone including the U. K. seems to be flattening out there. Hope they
can keep that up, or begin to slide back down soon.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
Sweden still remains a hot topic, and it's tragectory IS NOT looking good
on that Chart. In it's own group, it's not good at all. If you compare it
to some European Nations, it looks no worse.
Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
Sure don't like that distinction on the left.
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
I like being able to follow the movement of these stats visually.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.010% of today's total global numbers.
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
That Resolved Cases percentage is leveling off at 59.0%.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
For your review...
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
US Fatalities for the day were up 18.92% from the same day the previous week.
We have looked very good in this area recently, but I am very concerned what we
will look like in a week, what with the growth in new cases. IMO < deaths are
about to join New Cases in growth.
Here, let's look at data for the U. S. broken out by itself.
Still under 1,000 cases.
New York, New Jersey, I'm sure you'll have a very hard time figuring out where
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
We're still slipping here, and I'm looking forward to better numbers.
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
It's hard to belive there are that many nations with massive numbers.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
Near as I can tell, yesterdy's number was a record for the day. I don't
see anything right off that would bring the numbers down.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Look at that. We have come down from 43rd, and now reside at 26.
That's the best we've reported out as so far, and we seem to be resting up
here for a while. Testing has been ramping up, so that was just a figure
of speech about being 26th for a while.
Progress...
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations214,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
So what if we are getting a lot of new cases? Deaths are way down.
1) I hope you got paid for this.
2) Out of the entire State, there are *14* people in hospital. 14 out of nearly 3/4 of a million.
Not buying the hype.
Executive summary, please.
At Monty Phython’s Gumby would say, “Duuuhhh....my brain hurts!”
Yesterday’s Fatalities were 18.92% higher than the same day
the week before.
Are these Positive or Positivity of?
Can you find Positivity as a medical term?
More testint >>> More cases.
Paging Captain Obvious.
What really matters are:
1) % of postive cases
2) number of hospitalizations and % of postive cases
3) number of inubations and % of hospitizations and % of + cases.
The data appears to indicate that:
more people are being exposed (good thing)
most exposed people aren’t sick enough to seek testing (good thing)
most people testing positive aren’t sick enough to be hosptialized. (good thing).
Was THIS worth crushing the economy and curtailing civil liberties?
Im so done with COVID-19. If we have 65 and up stay inside their homes while the rest of us catches it, we will be over this by the time the football season starts
Which site/s do you prefer to obtain updated fatality/mortality numbers and rates?
TIA
Nevermind....I just saw your worldometers link ;-)
Later
Thank you for your work
useless without covid sepated out
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