Posted on 06/27/2020 10:10:00 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
That percentage, which is higher than other current estimates, nevertheless sharply contrasts with the alarming estimate of 3.4% announced March 3 by the director general of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesusin, which fueled the global lockdowns.
In fact, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the top White House infectious disease expert, co-authored an article published March 26 in the New England Journal of Medicine predicting the case fatality rate for the coronavirus would turn out to be like that of a "severe seasonal influenza."
In an exceptionally bad flu season, the rate is about one-tenth of 1 percent, the authors wrote.
The rate may have turned out to be considerably lower among people under 70, according to a paper published this month by John Ioannidis, a professor of epidemiology and population health at Stanford University.
He found the infection fatality rates in that population ranged from zero to 0.23%, with a median of 0.04%.
His finding was based on a study of 23 "seroprevalence studies," which measure infection rates using the presence of antibodies in blood samples, Just the News reported.
The studies, Ioannidis wrote, "typically show a much lower fatality than initially speculated in the earlier days of the pandemic."
"It should be appreciated," he writes in the paper, "that [the fatality rate] is not a fixed physical constant and it can vary substantially across locations, depending on the population structure, the case-mix of infected and deceased individuals and other, local factors."
The implication for decision-makers, he said, is that they can tailor measures "to specific high-risk individuals and settings" rather than implement a "blind lockdown of the entire society."
(Excerpt) Read more at wnd.com ...
Lots of people had it and recovered and didn't even know what they had.
Its the flu bro, bad flu but... bro, its the flu.
“Lots of people had it and recovered and didn’t even know what they had.”
Vast majority who have been infected with it are in this category.
The flu that the TDS cabal used to destroy the global economy.
No, it was never the flu. Flubros are morons.
But the ChiCom Virus has a far lower mortality rate than predicted. There are many sad deaths below 60 and they are as sad, far more numerous over 60.
The statistical data is however very important to match the strategy as the author indicated.
Protect the vulnerable population and move forward.
No, it was never the flu. Flubros are morons.
But the ChiCom Virus has a far lower mortality rate than predicted. There are many sad deaths below 60 and they are as sad, far more numerous over 60.
The statistical data is however very important to match the strategy as the author indicated.
Protect the vulnerable population and move forward.
And when broken down by age, the rate gets even smaller for a good percentage of the population, even if it goes up for others.
you’re still off base.
How can any of you exist still?!?!
It’s sickening.
Say what you really want to.
It was BAD!!! We should have hid like b.tches!!!
Have you ever considered that YOU’RE the moron
Get out of here
Please note that for the very first time in all of recorded history the case fatality rate is calculated including people WHO WERE NEVER SICK in the denominator.Bring Out Your DeadPCR and antibody tests have forever changed how fatality rates are calculated.
This will doubtless get lost in comparing future pandemics to past pandemics.
You can tell your grandchildren that you were there the day the universe changed....
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
The false positive rate was 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one life, it's worth it.
One-Fourth of 1%
“The CDC estimates for planning purposes that the overall infection fatality rate of 0.26 percent (as of 20 May).[399][400]”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic#Deaths
GFY
The WHO was talking about the case fatality rate - the rate for reported cases.
The infection fatality rate is probably 10 times smaller but we can only estimate it since we'll never know total infections.
To be fair, the number was higher than it is now. Obviously the number of cases (the denominator) has gone way up. But the doctors have far better procedures to keep people alive. They rarely use ventilators any more. They do breathing exercises and give oxygen. They move people from side to side and keep them off their back. They have several drugs that lower the impact of the disease. So now, in the past 2 months, the virus is killing maybe 0.1% of people who are infected. That is less than the flu. Which you can’t say, even though its true.
Clay Travis was bringing this up on Twitter we have more cases but a lower mortality rate which is actually really good news the virus is still very contagious but losing its potency
My county’s confirmed cases to deaths is 3%. Those deaths were after the reopening. Confirmed cases have increased 4X since the opening and skyrocketed the past 2 weeks. It has nothing to do with testing. You have to be sick already to get a test sent out from the city.
Houston and Austin, TX are prepping the coliseums to take hospital patients. Yeh, the flu bros are in denial and will chalk the coliseums up to basket weaving contests.
Oh you are very good, you adopt the flubro plan and yet say its not just the flu. You, ExDemMom, DannyTN, Rummychick, Kozak, and the rest of the Fearpers are hacks and scientific harlots. You back pedal and still try to sound as if you have a single modicum of knowledge and credibility.
You are exactly what the president warns about with fake news. How about that the CDC says infection rate is at minimum 10x what is reported now, and that testing is picking that up. That means that the actually death rate is that of the season flu OR LOWER.
I am sick and tired of all you pretend scientists lecturing the professionals on these issues. You have no idea what you are talking about — Oh, and those who you smirk and scoff at? Eight weeks ago we said protect he vulnerable and move forward
Welcome to the club, its just the flu, bro. (actually its just a cold)
WOW, GFY, from Walter — such an erudite and reasoned argument. Consider it a badge of honor when the ignorant and galatically stupid take umbrage at you.
Boy, there is the erudite argument of the ages. Pisses you off when you get called out for your fear porn, eh?
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