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Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, new election model predicts
CNN ^ | May 20, 2020 | Matt Egan

Posted on 05/20/2020 12:26:20 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness.

Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.

The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.

The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020election; ballotharvesting; clintonnonnews; clowncar; cnn; cnnfakenews; considerthesource; coronavirus; covid19; delaware; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2020; electionfraud; fakemodels; fakenews; fakepolls; joebiden; joeclowncarbiden; kungflu; mattegan; mediawingofthednc; moogoogaipandemic; oxfordeconomics; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; smearmachine; tds; trump2020; votefrauddatabase; voteharvesting; wuhanvirus
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To: Cyclops08

Media has lost the trust of America and it may take a generation to get it back again.

__________________________________________________________

Name one _institution_ in this country that has any trust left.

At my house, we still trust Trump and a handful of Republican legislatures.


161 posted on 05/20/2020 2:00:25 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: MinorityRepublican

Don’t worry, Quid Pro Joementia Biden the groping Pedo has what it takes to fix the Economy. Just ask him.


162 posted on 05/20/2020 2:00:36 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: OttawaFreeper

He lost me at the headline. “It’s an insane time for President Roosevelt to pick yet another fight with Japan, right after a naval catastrophe in Hawaii.” What a freaking moron. Next “model” he comes up with should be printed on stiff cardboard, rolled into a cylinder, and surgically inserted up Mr. Egan’s Hershey highway. On second thought, a sledge hammer would be better than surgery.


163 posted on 05/20/2020 2:03:35 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 ("SHUT UP!" he explained.)
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To: cuban leaf

Well, there has pretty much been a run on guns for months.


164 posted on 05/20/2020 2:14:08 PM PDT by Glenmore
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To: CodeToad

That is a fart in the wind, all people are talking about arevthe governors , it was a great move


165 posted on 05/20/2020 2:16:37 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: MinorityRepublican
Yeh sure. 😆
166 posted on 05/20/2020 2:17:45 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight neiyour way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: keats5

How do these idiots report these stories with a straight face?! The model clearly doesn’t take into consideration the candidacy of Creepy, Clueless Joe Biden....


167 posted on 05/20/2020 2:19:50 PM PDT by 4 Libertys sake (Fighting the good fight against enemies, domestic and unrepentant!!!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Why pay attention to ANYTHING from Trump-hating CNN?


168 posted on 05/20/2020 2:22:13 PM PDT by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine Do you think we have a chan)
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To: bert

There are more of them than there are of us.

_____________________________________________________

Things not being reported:

How many deaths really were there among illegals, Blue Dog elderly Ds, and captive D voters of color?

How have deportation and the wall affected the popular vote in the Blue states?

How does the Blue state exodus break down by party?

How do deaths and exodus effect redistricting?

If solid urban blocs are distributed randomly among various red states, are they then functionally diluted?

What real degree of attrition have the Ds experienced?

How did the stimulus affect voters by party?

How do college shutdowns disrupt D GOTV on campus/in college towns?

How will a concerted R attack on poll fraud affect the % of fraud?

How does effective denial of vote-by-mail affect the D vote?


169 posted on 05/20/2020 2:23:16 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: MinorityRepublican

So Ferguson got a new job already?


170 posted on 05/20/2020 2:25:28 PM PDT by dgbrown
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To: IndyTiger

...DJT loses to Slow Joe in November is if Michelle Obama agrees to run on the ticket with him.
_______________________________________________________

Not even then.


171 posted on 05/20/2020 2:26:43 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: All

They must’ve used Faucki and Birds model


172 posted on 05/20/2020 2:30:35 PM PDT by ssfromla
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

173 posted on 05/20/2020 2:31:56 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Calif Conservative

lol


174 posted on 05/20/2020 2:34:31 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici
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To: oldbill

...Madison...
__________________________________________________
Without the out-of-state students, Madison loses its clout.

Without knowing the demographic effects of COVID vs shutdown, it’s difficult to forecast Milwaukee’s vote and even then, you’d need to calculate precinct by precinct. Rs countering fraud at the polls will cut any D advantage in Milwaukee.

I have no trouble imagining WI D fraud attempts, but then, neither does Trump. I think it’s going to be a cage match.


175 posted on 05/20/2020 2:37:18 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: MinorityRepublican

I DO NOT BELIEVE THAT!!


176 posted on 05/20/2020 2:38:43 PM PDT by Terry L Smith
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To: DoodleDawg

How about Fillmore, Cleveland and Grant?


177 posted on 05/20/2020 2:39:32 PM PDT by sergeantdave (Teach a man to fish and he'll steal your gear and sell it)
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To: MinorityRepublican

That’s always been the plan. They wish it to happen and maybe it could happen. The leftist and fake right media is dead to me.


178 posted on 05/20/2020 2:48:17 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Consider the source.


179 posted on 05/20/2020 2:48:26 PM PDT by upchuck (Windows 10 is just a fancy spying machine with troublesome, mandatory updates.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Another failed model.


180 posted on 05/20/2020 2:52:42 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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