Posted on 03/26/2020 6:30:11 PM PDT by Hojczyk
did they predict this?
The two professors argue that the best evidence of the coronavirus death rate being significantly lower than what is being reported may lie in the Italian town of Vò. On March 6, the town's 3,300 residents were tested. Of these, 90 tests came back positive, indicating a prevalence of 2.7% of the population having the virus.
If one were to apply this to the entire province where the town is located, which has a population of 955,000, it would mean there were actually 26,000 infections at the time, and not just the 198 that were officially confirmed. This would be 130 times greater than the number of reported cases. Since Italy's case fatality rate of 8% is estimated using the confirmed cases, Bendavid and Bhattacharya write, "the real fatality rate [of the virus] could in fact be closer to 0.06%."
A 'cause for optimism'?
The two Stanford Health Policy experts even said the virus' mortality rate might be on par with that of the seasonal flu:
Existing evidence suggests that the virus is highly transmissible and that the number of infections doubles roughly every three days. An epidemic seed on Jan. 1 implies that by March 9 about six million people in the U.S. would have been infected. As of March 23, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, there were 499 Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. If our surmise of six million cases is accurate, that's a mortality rate of 0.01%, assuming a two week lag between infection and death. This is one-tenth of the flu mortality rate of 0.1%. Such a low death rate would be cause for optimism.
A universal lockdown 'may not be worth the costspublic policy experts should focus their measures on protecting the elderly and expanding medical capacity.
(Excerpt) Read more at theblaze.com ...
“What do I know? i’m stuck in the house eating Genoa salami and watching The Godfather 300 times. :”
I like Hard Salami better than Genoa. Hard Salami has a garlic taste which I love. Garlic is a well known protection from Werewolves and Vampires and I have never had an issue with either so I know it works.
so true. it’s like a few on FR threw any sense of discernment right out the window when it comes to listening to the freaks in the media and they BELIEVE them!! some of the comments here are ridiculous. Like talking about how bad it is in Italy but not even realizing that it’s been clarified that Italy has been lumping in all their dead as corona patients. Or libtard govs like cuomo ceaselessly ginning up panic even though he’s FOS. I just heard that NY has plenty of empty beds and between 1-2,000 unused ventilators.
Trump needs to come out asap and green light getting back to work. that will cause huge pressure on states, counties and cities that implemented their own lockdowns to cave
amen
And you are also correct.
The point is, your enemies will complain no matter what happens.
Overprepare for a event that may not occur, you’re wasting money and resources. Underprepare to deal with normal levels of treatment and you’re ripped for not being prepared for an event they themselves never forsaw but somehow you were supposed to, and then .....they would have attacked you for overpreparing because THEY don’t think it’s a realistic thing to spend money on.
But my point is they deliberately hyped this up with their willong media and agenda driven ‘doctors and scientists’ so their attacks could have that much more credibility and power to them.
Quarantine was over here after two days. Landscaper came today and spent hours. There was so much truck traffic it was unreal.
King takes Queen. Checkmate.
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