I'm not faulting him, but I believe his hand was forced due to the
media getting ready to trash him mercilessly unless he went all in.
The demonicRats were all poised to do the same thing.
I'm not convinced some of this shelter in place was wise, but if he
hadn't gone that route, he would have been skewered.
I'm watching the numbers very closely, and they continue to grow
unabated.
For instance today, we had the largest growth to date at 13,940 so
far. We have another hour to go. The closest to this was 11,263 on
Monday.
Have we stopped anything? It's hard to see what.
Once something like this gets loose in the general populace, I'm hard
pressed to spot anything that can truly stop it.
There's still time for this tactic to reveal positive effects.
Perhaps we'll see a big drop starting tomorrow. Perhaps not.
I'm pretty well convinced that this exists in much larger numbers than
we know, and that a low grade version of it is rampant out there.
I'm still not sold on the idea we're up to speed on testing.
I'm still not sold on the idea the mortality rate is ten times higher
than other things including the flu.
I say that because the people who only have very mild symptoms are
not being tabulated into the mix, to give a proper perspective on
mortality.
What we're winding up with > IMO < is the worst case scenario, that
just isn't accurate.
Am I right? Perhaps. Perhaps not. Will we ever know? I'm not sure that
we will.
This is something I predicted in part, when people were trashing China
for the reporting it was sending out. I predicted we would not see the
full picture here either. Some people (perhaps the very worst) show up
at the hospital. Others stay home for a few days, and they're well.
There's only so much we can do to document the cases, and I do not think
that is limited to COVID-19. It's just how things go. Again > IMO.
I'm still finding information on the Diamond Princess that fascinates me.
The dire reports from that ship had us thinking a lot of people were
going to contract the disease and die. It just didn't turn out that
way. Here is an article I dug up in the last 36 hours. It is a preliminary
report of stats, in that (from memory) here, address the case at about
the 630 case point. (It went up to 712)
It's a fairly interesting read. I think it covers things rather nicely.
I'm also hearing that Italy is counting a lot of deaths as COVID-19 related
that might not be that at all. That could be why things look so dire
there.
For the time being, it looks like massive new cases per day. Globally there
have been 48,662 new cases as I type.
Here's a link to the Diamond Princess Article.
The way I look at it, the day to day numbers are not an accurate reflection of the problem, they are a reflection of the testing variable.
The increase in testing is the U.S. STILL getting her arms around the problem. We still don’t know what the bottom line number will be, but the aggressiveness in testing is making the big picture clearer everyday.
Today’s number of 14,024 new cases is scary, but what is even scarier is the idea that they were all around the country, undiagnosed the day before. As Drucker said, you can’t change what you don’t acknowledge.
I’ll check out the article, thanks.
Have you watched the correlation between number of tests and number of new cases?
what I will look for the beginning of April is what the total number of deaths in Italy in the month of March was.......and then compare that number to February,January,etc....if its not much different than normal, we’ll know they gave false data or at least did not have proper data...